Jump to content

CaryWx

Members
  • Posts

    2,832
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. Enough to make me want to steal a peek at the midnight models
  2. Are you falling into that "I got my hopes up" camp now? C'mon son, kiss dat baby.
  3. I don't think anyone here is really believing that at least not in this thread anyway.
  4. Ha ha, Bullseye for me at 60hrs. Book it!
  5. I'll take some of what v16 is having. Wish it could be true
  6. loller at the contour following the wake county line.
  7. The MJO not going there until Feb 15th earliest. I read. That's getting close to winter overtime around here
  8. It would towel tossing for the RDU area. Quite frankly I'm expecting it but you never know.
  9. We'll know in 24hrs whether gfs is on to something here or is an outlier
  10. I'd like to see the euro continue it's slightly south trend next run. That coupled with the model spread of central/southern Va. to southern NC (suppressed) would have me feeling good at this range.
  11. Does look a bit faster on the trend but diving more south. Was in Ok panhandle. Now in se Ok.
  12. I wouldn't get caught up in amounts or spread just yet. The interactive system behaviors are still there and producing snow so that's important.
  13. Ross, As always thanks for jumping in... Assume you mean euro ensembles have differences with respect to other model ensembles and not 'stark differences' among their own individual panels. Haven't looked. If I'm not mistaken though it was the euro that saw this signal originally several days ago before the other models caught on. So we got that hope going for us.
  14. If those GL lows weren't such a fixture most of the time I would tend to have more faith in this v16 run
  15. Makes me almost want to stay up for the 0z euro
  16. You think the CAD might be underdone at this range?
  17. Could end up being a Hwy-1 and US 74 points north and west for NC. At least to included sleet and ice. Depends on how stoutly the CAD is driven south.
  18. We have over 200hrs to go my friend. Hope it doesn't end up in Ohio.
  19. Looks somewhat to be progressively building in around that time too.
  20. This looks like a storm moving into a deepening CAD event that pushes south. If that is to be believed just need timing to work. 6-12hrs faster for either the CAD or slower for storm arrival and this would be a decent hit in a lot of NC.
  21. MJO drives it. In many cases (depending on what you what to see happen) it's the kabal force measure on how these indices will behave.
×
×
  • Create New...