CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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We're going to struggle with BL temps in the Triangle
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Trying not to get too up or down on precip. totals attm. Figure it's too early. Feature tracking is key right now
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Thanks Grit. Can you tell us what the track of the 850 ULL is looking like? Is it an Atlanta-Columbia-Virginia Beach run here?
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Reading in other places and from mets not to expect much (snow) with this system in NC outside the mtns.
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I wouldn't put too much stock into NAM precip. forecasts until about 36-48hrs out.
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look like euro carrying it further south than the gfs?
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is this system trending in faster?
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Need to pop that surface LP off Savannah or better yet Jacksonville, FL. Off Charleston is not bad but just out of reach for mby
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Roxboro in there for sure. They get the goods even on marginal close events such as these two
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Was not really expecting a prior to Jan15th to be "our" storm(s) in the Triangle. More just the set-up. Holding out more expectation for something between the 15th & 25th as Eric alluded to a couple days ago.
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Looks like a whiff for RDU on both storms?
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Just had to mention the GL low didn't you Grit.
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One heck of a high latitude ridge that's for sure.
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I wouldn't put a whole lot of faith on an 850 384hr model run even for what you see out west
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Think this might be our "pattern" (winter game) changer coming through?
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Here's one
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Nearly bullseyed here. She was a beaut Clark.
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I had one heck of a good snowstorm in early Jan '02
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Nope
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Would like to see this start showing up Friday on the LR models
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Have a good feeling about this set up. Not sure where but good for somebody outside the mtns
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Yes, if NWS has it right. Between 10am and 4pm
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NWS at KRDU now calling for snow showers on Christmas day (20% chance) So we got that going for us.
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WRAL mentioned flurries a possibility in the viewing area on the 25th. Referenced HRRR
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Did we get one of those last year? Do not remember one.
