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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    UKMET is a snowbeast dream!
  2. CaryWx
    Bring the goods.
  3. CaryWx
    Noticed the 540 line on the CMC dancing over Wake co. Mixing a bit there you think?
  4. CaryWx
    Won't be up for it but would love the euro to tac back a little towards the gfs and cmc
  5. CaryWx
    Looks colder and less amped than the earlier euro run. Less precip. maybe? but still decent. Not overwhelming ice
  6. CaryWx
    Let's see the CMC
  7. CaryWx
    Well now we have suppressed and amped among the leaders in the LR. Maybe the midnight runs can sort it out but have a feeling it will be Tues night (Weds 0z) runs
  8. CaryWx
    Ok, confused again. Faster phase means more ice in central NC/SC right?
  9. CaryWx
    Let's see if the 18z gfs still has it (2 waves) that way. Any chance the euro has this wrong?
  10. CaryWx
    Sorry was referring to the path of the ULL 850 across Ga/SC and NC
  11. CaryWx
    It's that pesky 850 track though Beach
  12. CaryWx
    Here's the eps mean over last 4 runs. Seems to hold well still if I'm reading it right. Look at the 0-line. Last four runs of the ECMWF EPS valid 12z Saturday.
  13. CaryWx
    EPS is saving eastern NC right now. Operational euro way too amped as you can see the amounts on the control . EPS mean still looks fairly solid.
  14. CaryWx
    850 track screws a lot NC below I85 looks like?
  15. CaryWx
    yeah, but holy cow there's a heck of a lot more data than that. Pretty sure this is more than just "innocent cold fropa". Now who gets what kind of precip and where?--Sure that's only really known to the Gods right now.
  16. CaryWx
    Not really
  17. CaryWx
    Given storm placement and development among the various models not a bad look overall on the blended I bet.
  18. CaryWx
    Is the sharper trough good or bad? Sorry still drinking coffee
  19. CaryWx
    Thanks Ross. This is good knowledge to have. When it comes to Raleigh though for the upcoming storm what is looking like our culprit for mixing issues? Is it the low track with 850 warm nose this time? Goodness we have the cold setting in and would think it deeper/better press than this past weekend and we are not getting some crazy wind-up storm like just went through. This is overrunning more or less right?
  20. CaryWx
    We won't get torchy but track dependent for zr/ip in the Triangle
  21. CaryWx
    It's not good for RDU
  22. CaryWx
    Aren't you outside making snow angels?
  23. CaryWx
    If it's up here in the Triangle it will be fluffy with our cold temps
  24. CaryWx
    My thinking too. If we miss let it be east to the Coastal folks
  25. CaryWx
    Errr, right where we want it?
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