CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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So does everyone believe we're ok for the most part in the triangle with regard to power outages? Not really making any special plans for Sunday to cope as I just don't see it as a problem in Cary. Just a messy day
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Thanks HKY but our problem in the RDU area is not helped much by the south trend as this low just will not track far enough east once it turns up the coast no matter how far south it trends. I don't see that changing or even being influenced to change much based on these new "south" trends
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This where the euro and it's ensembles are going to be looked to. Do they trend se? I just cannot stay up that late
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0z GEFS gonna be better than 18z GEFS looks like
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As the GFS 0z op?
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That ICON run show the massive zr we would get in the Triangle from that run?
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1026 HP isn't so stout as other depictions. 1034 and even 1040 albeit they were in higher latitude locations on other runs
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With the NAM I always thought focusing on precip. amounts and temps (bl and maybe 850) beyond about 48hrs is not too reliable. Use it for the large feature movement trends
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At least we're not in Tennessee any more
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WWA Gracie? Don't you mean WAA. If it rains we get less WWAs.
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So from there it progs eventually to transfer around Savannah and move up just inland right? We need it to move east more before turning
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Will this show the transfer you think?
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Just need to see where that LP transfers to. Next 6hr frame but alas it ends at 90 <sigh>
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Hi newbie! You're going to do well on this storm.
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Show us this trick again!
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I may have to clutch my pearls if it does this shift again on the 0z
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The Op run took the top of the inner circle but the GFS center plot mean looks off Myrtle Beach
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Be interesting to see where the scatter plot has the transition LP evolve.
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Some folks getting back into the game this run
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My thought too. That LP was evolving just east of Raleigh at one point
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Where are we getting the transition miller-B Wow? Looks over Wilmington now as opposed to much further north earlier
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Hadn't really begun to look past this weekend but we have some legitimate conditions through the end of the month to get at least one more shot
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Important point to bring up Ross and I agree. In fact I posted on another board about the longer range models ability to even semi-accurately predict such an ice accrual forecast. Let alone a meteorology scientist intuitively interpreting that data to forecast in the longer range. It's such a thin area (zr) of the precip medium (between sleet and rain) that the probabilities of predicting locations for either of these other two is far more reliable
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Looks like a big damn mess to me
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Eric Webb says it ain't happening
