CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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Glad I didn't stay up past midnight for the rest of that Freddie Kruger nightmare. Reading surface temps in Raleigh might hit 50 at some point on Sunday? Ready to throw in a hamper full of towels for the Triangle.
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Yeah, it's been coming north to align with other model guidance. UKMET was way south
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My post from 8hrs ago. Coming true. It'll be even more true tomorrow and the day after I'm afraid.
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That's what I'm seeing
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Not sure how the GEFS can continue to hold serve after that run.
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Can't wait to see the GEFS for this nightmare run
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Burger's likely in bed folks. He's not up for a few more hours. He's on the euro clock
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Makes sense to get this data as soon as possible. Huge expenditures for the eastern seaboard metro areas and scheduling are up for decision making very soon. Weekend overtime work to boot.
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Are those ops runs?
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Only a couple panels with the lp on shore? wow!
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Thanks Burger
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I'm still curious to see if this surface low winds up to a sub 995 as far south as being modeled.
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My debbie downer side says the euro and ukmet continue crashing to the gfs which in turn will jog a little more northwest and we end up at best with January 2017 situation for NC.
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I want me a swanky FEMA jacket to wear.
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enscrambles keeping me out of the gfs op abyss
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Wasn't there some talk earlier about how the gfs has a tendency to try and slam LPs into CAD a little too aggressively in it's modeling?
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Heck, even we'd need it a little east in Cary
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I look at the lower scoring models in a situation like this only as validation to the top scorer model predictions. If they tend to agree then the forecast it is that much more solid. If they do not, it's just a net neutral to the forecast. They are lower scorers for a reason.
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Yeah, I hope the gfs was being a bit of a diva on that run.
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Nobody should really believe it's going to blow up like that but we have a good storm system coming in it's beginning to look like.
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I'm verklempt. I'll need a moment. Talk amongst yourselves I'll give you a topic: Insane coastal snow bombs modeled inside 150hrs
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mercy!
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An MA special
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I wouldn't take it verbatim just yet. A blend of the models at this range give a lot folks something to see.
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The key thing is the euro, gfs and Icon all see it. Plus cmc too?
