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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. Has to be associated with the clipper system coming earlier maybe?
  2. Looks clipperish which is what RAH alluded to earlier
  3. Doesn't sounding for rdu support a longer period of ip
  4. Not a lot of ensemble support. Lots of pretty dry panels
  5. As burrel alluded to though does a blend of gfs and euro produce more snow or do the synoptics (too amped= warm w/ice but less amped not enough precip?) on this particular set-up just not going to work that way.
  6. Yes I know I was just renaming eyewall eyeore. Sorry it was confusing.
  7. Does that include sleet. Always forget about what UK and CMC reflect in their frozen precip maps
  8. Thanks Burrel. Looks like a pretty good snow sign at 850 (at that specific time) unless I have something wrong. Ground truth would be what I call dripping snow though unless 2m temps do indeed get driven down below 0c while 850s stay below 0c.
  9. I'm skeptical this event produces much of anything for the Triangle beyond a little zr early on. As pointed out by others the cold is simply not there enough early on and retreating rapidly as storm develops. Congrats to the mountain (maybe foothills) folks. Think you score decently here.
  10. Have to see if 0z gfs still has the system. Maybe colder like the euro?
  11. Better than SC I would imagine unless it is a slider
  12. unless I'm mistaken that's some pretty solid continental cold
  13. Yeah, Fv3 was more like 18z gfs and euro. This 0z suite will be telling maybe. Need to see it swing more to NAM look
  14. Almost all inside it's wheelhouse of 48hrs. Vast majority of this activity anyway. This is not some 72-84hr window we're looking at
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