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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    Almost all inside it's wheelhouse of 48hrs. Vast majority of this activity anyway. This is not some 72-84hr window we're looking at
  2. CaryWx
    If the NAM is wrong I don't wanna be right!
  3. CaryWx
    1000mb LP southeast of Frying Pan shoals at 51hrs!
  4. CaryWx
    Yowzers!
  5. CaryWx
    Per 18z gfs precip output model Wake county will be shopping at 'the gap'.
  6. CaryWx
    not so sure this time
  7. CaryWx
    So I'm still struggling to understand here. Is this indicative of an earlier phase the euro and gfs have yet to pick up on?
  8. CaryWx
    Well euro and gfs are aligning more anyway on the 12z runs
  9. CaryWx
    Yeah was thinking that myself
  10. CaryWx
    Not sure I follow. Is this more towards the NAM or a solution further east and a later phase.
  11. CaryWx
    Getting some really strung out snow totals on these models that have concentrations in various and somewhat odd configurations across NC. Have to believe the final fruition would be more smoothly aligned. Wherever that will be.
  12. CaryWx
    GFS lining up with last euro run it seems on that band thru western piedmont. eastern piedmont a little drier?
  13. CaryWx
    ugh
  14. CaryWx
    Granted the NAM has been fairly consistent for what--4 runs in a row now? Still, this just makes me want to see the 12z LR model runs. The diversity in solutions will most assuredly need to start consolidating soon. We have all the RAOBs ingested now right?
  15. CaryWx
    you sure?
  16. CaryWx
    You think the Triangle had another 4hrs or so?
  17. CaryWx
    I'd say it's more or less aboard but not showing this intensity track quite yet.
  18. CaryWx
    I'm not so wound up in NAM snow totals or where/when it changes over this far out, but the NAM hopefully can't be too far off on synoptics of the system track, etc.
  19. CaryWx
    Precip. blossoming west for sure. LP track seems about the same. Maybe a little tick south/southwest
  20. CaryWx
    I'd say it's still snowing in east/northeast NC at 84hrs so this wasn't over. Maybe a several more hours left.
  21. CaryWx
    hang on...
  22. CaryWx
    Yeah, not going to worry about precip amts at this range just yet. A wind up LP off the coast can bring the noise
  23. CaryWx
    If the ensembles tell us it should be where the 18z NAM is or even further sw we could be on to something of scale
  24. CaryWx
    If that was headed up the coast the Triangle was going to get a smoke show in the following 6hrs
  25. CaryWx
    Well now. Not a bad spot. About 75miles south of cape lookout and 100 or so off Myrtle?
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