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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    GFS lining up with last euro run it seems on that band thru western piedmont. eastern piedmont a little drier?
  2. CaryWx
    ugh
  3. CaryWx
    Granted the NAM has been fairly consistent for what--4 runs in a row now? Still, this just makes me want to see the 12z LR model runs. The diversity in solutions will most assuredly need to start consolidating soon. We have all the RAOBs ingested now right?
  4. CaryWx
    you sure?
  5. CaryWx
    You think the Triangle had another 4hrs or so?
  6. CaryWx
    I'd say it's more or less aboard but not showing this intensity track quite yet.
  7. CaryWx
    I'm not so wound up in NAM snow totals or where/when it changes over this far out, but the NAM hopefully can't be too far off on synoptics of the system track, etc.
  8. CaryWx
    Precip. blossoming west for sure. LP track seems about the same. Maybe a little tick south/southwest
  9. CaryWx
    I'd say it's still snowing in east/northeast NC at 84hrs so this wasn't over. Maybe a several more hours left.
  10. CaryWx
    hang on...
  11. CaryWx
    Yeah, not going to worry about precip amts at this range just yet. A wind up LP off the coast can bring the noise
  12. CaryWx
    If the ensembles tell us it should be where the 18z NAM is or even further sw we could be on to something of scale
  13. CaryWx
    If that was headed up the coast the Triangle was going to get a smoke show in the following 6hrs
  14. CaryWx
    Well now. Not a bad spot. About 75miles south of cape lookout and 100 or so off Myrtle?
  15. CaryWx
    That model also showed 200 mile shifts in a matter of 2 runs last week I believe.
  16. CaryWx
    I think RDU gets a little backside snow as it intensifies and pulls north/northeast but that's about it.
  17. CaryWx
    I agree. Do not understand the more dampened out moisture field with the overall set up.
  18. CaryWx
    actually a little further sw?
  19. CaryWx
    I can't tell if the 84hr synoptics on the NAM are favorable for Carolina snows or not. Can you elaborate a bit?
  20. CaryWx
    probabilistic is the operative word I'm guessing. Some maps are safer bets than others.
  21. CaryWx
    Not a bad place to be at this range.
  22. CaryWx
    Wasn't this storm on the gfs just a couple days ago
  23. CaryWx
    Not sure I have the emotional meteorology mettle to bounce up and down for a third week here
  24. CaryWx
  25. CaryWx
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