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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    Ya still think so?
  2. CaryWx
    Agreed but the larger feature indices are all we have to go on. Granted many have low score verification, especially in the noise range
  3. CaryWx
    We have two imo. Early first couple (few?) days in Feb and then a period between the 14th and 21st but that's airing it out
  4. CaryWx
    Me as well. For the mjo I don't look too far beyond 7 days for the mean. Even there it has tightened ever so slightly in the last few days closer to the center circle in it's rotation That phase 7 curl back to 6 at day-14? Yeah, not sure we are going to see that.
  5. CaryWx
    It miller B's just a little too far north and late
  6. CaryWx
    We still have time but now looking like February for sure which gets close to if not at winter 4th qtr.
  7. CaryWx
    The mjo will be aligned when we get out to 23rd or so with what should actually be happening in our region. From the 26th on though I'm curious how fast it moves to near the CoD or over to 7/8 space.
  8. CaryWx
    ensembles await
  9. CaryWx
    squashed ain't bad
  10. CaryWx
  11. CaryWx
    Will the cold make it over the apps though
  12. CaryWx
    How long did those nino's hold though? Isn't ours weakening fast? Read we are headed quickly towards a nina in Spring.
  13. CaryWx
    It's in it's warm phases now isn't it?
  14. CaryWx
    Brick's gonna want some NIL $$
  15. CaryWx
    18z gfs says look at my fantasy
  16. CaryWx
    While I'm in the camp of solidly waiting a couple of weeks before looking at this winter (from a pattern whole) more critically I suggest holding off on the 2am looks until we are actually tracking a storm.
  17. CaryWx
    Patience folks. Well know in about 10 days or so where things are headed probably. Can kicking won't mean much after that.
  18. CaryWx
    What's a moderate value? +1?
  19. CaryWx
  20. CaryWx
    and Va becoming what NC used to be?
  21. CaryWx
    This again?
  22. CaryWx
    Yeah, but they have snow on their island.
  23. CaryWx
    Looks pretty good after ~12th-15th timeframe
  24. CaryWx
    Man! That is super torchy for 2m temps considering how cold it is even at 900. Would think BL temps to be 33-34F range at worse with that look. How is that thin surface warm layer squeezing in under there anyway? Of course none of this is fully correct yet anyway
  25. CaryWx
    Porch light prognosis reveals mixed precip now as well
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