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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    As burrel alluded to though does a blend of gfs and euro produce more snow or do the synoptics (too amped= warm w/ice but less amped not enough precip?) on this particular set-up just not going to work that way.
  2. CaryWx
    Yes I know I was just renaming eyewall eyeore. Sorry it was confusing.
  3. CaryWx
    burrel, that was just funny. eyeore?
  4. CaryWx
    Does that include sleet. Always forget about what UK and CMC reflect in their frozen precip maps
  5. CaryWx
    Thanks Burrel. Looks like a pretty good snow sign at 850 (at that specific time) unless I have something wrong. Ground truth would be what I call dripping snow though unless 2m temps do indeed get driven down below 0c while 850s stay below 0c.
  6. CaryWx
    I'm skeptical this event produces much of anything for the Triangle beyond a little zr early on. As pointed out by others the cold is simply not there enough early on and retreating rapidly as storm develops. Congrats to the mountain (maybe foothills) folks. Think you score decently here.
  7. CaryWx
    Have to see if 0z gfs still has the system. Maybe colder like the euro?
  8. CaryWx
    Better than SC I would imagine unless it is a slider
  9. CaryWx
    Can you post?
  10. CaryWx
  11. CaryWx
    unless I'm mistaken that's some pretty solid continental cold
  12. CaryWx
    and maybe UK now
  13. CaryWx
  14. CaryWx
    Yeah, Fv3 was more like 18z gfs and euro. This 0z suite will be telling maybe. Need to see it swing more to NAM look
  15. CaryWx
    Almost all inside it's wheelhouse of 48hrs. Vast majority of this activity anyway. This is not some 72-84hr window we're looking at
  16. CaryWx
    If the NAM is wrong I don't wanna be right!
  17. CaryWx
    1000mb LP southeast of Frying Pan shoals at 51hrs!
  18. CaryWx
    Yowzers!
  19. CaryWx
    Per 18z gfs precip output model Wake county will be shopping at 'the gap'.
  20. CaryWx
    not so sure this time
  21. CaryWx
    So I'm still struggling to understand here. Is this indicative of an earlier phase the euro and gfs have yet to pick up on?
  22. CaryWx
    Well euro and gfs are aligning more anyway on the 12z runs
  23. CaryWx
    Yeah was thinking that myself
  24. CaryWx
    Not sure I follow. Is this more towards the NAM or a solution further east and a later phase.
  25. CaryWx
    Getting some really strung out snow totals on these models that have concentrations in various and somewhat odd configurations across NC. Have to believe the final fruition would be more smoothly aligned. Wherever that will be.
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