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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. CaryWx
    12z Thursday for a resolution on 24hrs out is a bit insulting from a weather forecast model perspective isn't it?
  2. CaryWx
    More funding?
  3. CaryWx
    Tend to believe what ilmRoss posted about baking in that nw trend. Usually do not see less west of me so may be underdone despite models
  4. CaryWx
    Yeah, feel like the Triangle is almost playing with house money here to a certain extent
  5. CaryWx
    He could and betting the sleet-streak for Raleigh is not unwise. That said there was a slight expansion back west on the gfs from 06z but not really a nw trend that I could see. BTW, that snow chances chart from WRAL has a 52.5% chance of being correct.
  6. CaryWx
    closed casket please
  7. CaryWx
    Yeah, think that was expected. Gives some that fropa snow tomorrow evening, but many just get a shower
  8. CaryWx
    Not crazy about these northwest jumps and 850 lines creeping back
  9. CaryWx
    Could just about throw a wet snowball into the sleet zone from Cary
  10. CaryWx
    Made me think of this. Fearing trend northwest now.
  11. CaryWx
    Oh I know that line could waffle and slide to and fro during the actual storm. What we don't want to see is it shift slowly northwest on the coming model runs
  12. CaryWx
    ugh, that Wake county gradient. Is it done at 84?
  13. CaryWx
    whoa
  14. CaryWx
    It does look like a little of your hope might be happening on the 0z NAM. Not a lot, but some
  15. CaryWx
    When I think about the coverage area they have to account for there will be vast differences between say Goldsboro, Southern Pines, Roxboro and Rocky Mount. Then there is Wake county. They'd need to issue micro forecasts
  16. CaryWx
    Looks like next Weds..ish
  17. CaryWx
    Wish he would incorporate more spellcheck products into his forecast
  18. CaryWx
    Kind of confused by that 18z NAM run. Seems like it went off point from 12z and dampened out a bit more. Although looking at 84hrs is a non-no for stuff like that.
  19. CaryWx
    What timeframe?
  20. CaryWx
    UK is usually to far south for it's bias right? If this comes north--whoowee schwing!
  21. CaryWx
    Heck, they are probably in for a few more solid hits this winter anyway.
  22. CaryWx
    I'm sure it's overdone even in the best of times but gives you an idea what could start happening if ratios go above 10:1 for a bit
  23. CaryWx
    Accounts for fluffier ratios
  24. CaryWx
    Try this one at 102
  25. CaryWx
    There's more alignment than you think, especially up around Norfolk area
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