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CaryWx

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Everything posted by CaryWx

  1. I would be careful here. Don't think we're going back o 3-6 in the Triangle...but we might
  2. Is it slowing down or speeding up in your opinion or about same pace? I do see the larger precip fields and denser moisture
  3. Looks more amplified to me but LP further east than 06z?
  4. Just watched WRAL 11pm weather. They have completely abandoned any snowfall amount predictions now Forget this chart we know it's old. What's odd is they did not even hazard to go with an updated one in the broadcast but rather punted to tomorrow morning. Sort of disappointed they backed off the courage to do that.
  5. "and" differentiator so it's ambiguous. (including the Triangle) could be referencing the former and not the latter. But it's petty for this thread.
  6. Not Triangle the viewing area. I suspect points around Rocky Mount are going to get a bigger hit. I appreciated her info on why they didn't give in to the short range models right now. As always the northwest trend seems to happen in these parts.
  7. 12z Thursday for a resolution on 24hrs out is a bit insulting from a weather forecast model perspective isn't it?
  8. Tend to believe what ilmRoss posted about baking in that nw trend. Usually do not see less west of me so may be underdone despite models
  9. Yeah, feel like the Triangle is almost playing with house money here to a certain extent
  10. He could and betting the sleet-streak for Raleigh is not unwise. That said there was a slight expansion back west on the gfs from 06z but not really a nw trend that I could see. BTW, that snow chances chart from WRAL has a 52.5% chance of being correct.
  11. Yeah, think that was expected. Gives some that fropa snow tomorrow evening, but many just get a shower
  12. Not crazy about these northwest jumps and 850 lines creeping back
  13. Could just about throw a wet snowball into the sleet zone from Cary
  14. Made me think of this. Fearing trend northwest now.
  15. Oh I know that line could waffle and slide to and fro during the actual storm. What we don't want to see is it shift slowly northwest on the coming model runs
  16. It does look like a little of your hope might be happening on the 0z NAM. Not a lot, but some
  17. When I think about the coverage area they have to account for there will be vast differences between say Goldsboro, Southern Pines, Roxboro and Rocky Mount. Then there is Wake county. They'd need to issue micro forecasts
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