CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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Show us this trick again!
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I may have to clutch my pearls if it does this shift again on the 0z
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The Op run took the top of the inner circle but the GFS center plot mean looks off Myrtle Beach
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Be interesting to see where the scatter plot has the transition LP evolve.
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Some folks getting back into the game this run
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My thought too. That LP was evolving just east of Raleigh at one point
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Where are we getting the transition miller-B Wow? Looks over Wilmington now as opposed to much further north earlier
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Hadn't really begun to look past this weekend but we have some legitimate conditions through the end of the month to get at least one more shot
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Important point to bring up Ross and I agree. In fact I posted on another board about the longer range models ability to even semi-accurately predict such an ice accrual forecast. Let alone a meteorology scientist intuitively interpreting that data to forecast in the longer range. It's such a thin area (zr) of the precip medium (between sleet and rain) that the probabilities of predicting locations for either of these other two is far more reliable
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Looks like a big damn mess to me
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Eric Webb says it ain't happening
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Glad I didn't stay up past midnight for the rest of that Freddie Kruger nightmare. Reading surface temps in Raleigh might hit 50 at some point on Sunday? Ready to throw in a hamper full of towels for the Triangle.
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Yeah, it's been coming north to align with other model guidance. UKMET was way south
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My post from 8hrs ago. Coming true. It'll be even more true tomorrow and the day after I'm afraid.
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That's what I'm seeing
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Not sure how the GEFS can continue to hold serve after that run.
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Can't wait to see the GEFS for this nightmare run
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Burger's likely in bed folks. He's not up for a few more hours. He's on the euro clock
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Makes sense to get this data as soon as possible. Huge expenditures for the eastern seaboard metro areas and scheduling are up for decision making very soon. Weekend overtime work to boot.
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Are those ops runs?
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Only a couple panels with the lp on shore? wow!
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Thanks Burger
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I'm still curious to see if this surface low winds up to a sub 995 as far south as being modeled.
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My debbie downer side says the euro and ukmet continue crashing to the gfs which in turn will jog a little more northwest and we end up at best with January 2017 situation for NC.
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I want me a swanky FEMA jacket to wear.
