CaryWx
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Everything posted by CaryWx
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Still hard to believe a 1050 will be out there. I tend to believe the artic surge is coming and with a stout HP...but a 1050?
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Yep, gives it more believability at that range. Maybe this will hold in some varying shape, intensity or form over the next few runs.
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Feb 6-7? Feb 10-11? Feb 13-14? The fourth?
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Talk about a heat island. Place must be a proverbial tanning bed of snow holes
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Yes, but a 30degree low for Monday night at rdu is not much to write home about in early Feb..Not when supposed bitter cold was recently being forecast.
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Question: Isn't the 'Mean' a better reflector than the Control run... or does it depend? Wasn't sure so thought I would pose that.
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1059! Get outta town
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More cold air for sure but is it's bias showing here?
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Per what model?--gfs? Maybe. Not the euro I don't think
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1005 eh? Is that what you'd call a baggy low
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A more indoor winter for sure which is unusual for NC regardless of large snowfalls or lack of.
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That's sort of what I was thinking and hoped the ensembles would bear it out a bit. Maybe next run.
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Yep. Some solid heavy stuff there. Not popping that off the limbs with your fingers.
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Yes. Panel#30 from Grit's 12z GEFS post
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Maybe for you. Meanwhile I'll be down here in the ice palace...shivering perhaps
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Yep. Looks a bit more on the move now.
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Is that precip. in mid SC going to move northeast into the Triangle? Seems to be just developing in place.
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The fact models seem to have this event next Wednesdayish and place it anywhere from below NC (miss) to up into Va (rain) is about the best we can hope for at this range given the model mayhem this season.
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Great day at that panel in lower right. Buried I tell ya!
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The question though Bull, is this transient cold air that is moderating (or moving out) by Weds afternoon.
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Sleeting in Cary
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second this
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subtract 5hrs for ET. euro runs 4x a day now 0z, 6z, 12z, 18z. The 6z and 18z do not have all or full up-to-date inputs the 0z and 12z use
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Thanks Grit. It's the NW artic flow I was referring to. Have a good feeling the blocking may stick around BTW, your snow forecast was pretty much spot on for my location in Cary.
