NorthShoreWx
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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx
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Surface temperature gradient is modeled pretty tight just to our north. A little nudge in either direction and most of LI could go below zero ... or struggle to get below +10.
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Not always. Check out January 1985, among others.
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23z HRRR really hitting the CAA hard. Has temps here already in the mid teens before noon on Friday with single digits just north.
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If the core of the coldest air was displaced a little farther to the SW, we'd be looking at forecasts of -10. From that perspective, it's a near miss, but not a miss to our northeast. Basically right in line with the tradition that the coldest eastern outbreaks of my lifetime have either centered to the northeast or the southwest.
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The February 1943 cold spell wasn't in and out as fast as this one, but there are some parallels: YEAR Mon Day Precip Max Min Snowfall snowdepth 1943 2 11 0.42 51 28 0.1 0 1943 2 12 0 32 21 0 0 1943 2 13 0.62 39 25 3.4 2 1943 2 14 0 30 5 0 2 1943 2 15 0 8 -8 0 2 1943 2 16 0 22 4 0 1 1943 2 17 0.02 32 18 0.2 1 1943 2 18 0 30 12 0 1 1943 2 19 0 48 27 0 0 1943 2 20 0 63 40 0 0 1943 2 21 0 60 47 0 0 1943 2 22 0 61 40 0 0 1943 2 23 0 61 45 0 0 1943 2 24 0.11 62 39 0 0 Note: this was back in the days when the weather bureau bothered to record 0.1" snowfalls on rainy days.
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It's like the day after tomorrow. Run before it's too late.
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I've been slightly amused at all of the bets placed (figuratively) around here on an outcome that has never happened before. That's some high rolling.
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This winter is a continuation of the pattern of the past decade. The north shore has had twice as much snow as Central Park. On a more serious, yet equally frivolous note, 0.4" here this morning. Same as the park.
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Central Park at it again. Looks like 0.41" and they only reported 0.40".
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Spoken like a zookeeper.
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Sounds like you and your lawn are green with envy.
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0.3" snowfall in Smithtown this morning. Brings the season total to a whopping 0.9"
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Starting to coat the street and driveways now. January shutout avoided.
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32⁰ with light snow falling. Snow has gotten a little heavier and there is a light coating on unpaved surfaced. Judging from radar, we are about to avoid a January shutout. It's the little things in life...
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Light snow here
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The DJF thought occurred to me after I posted, but for some reason I couldn't edit the post from my phone. The trend line did look reasonable.
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My understanding is that since 2015 is has reverted back and it's supposed to be the peak depth of accumulated new snow in a 24 hour period. I recognize that may not be happening at at least some airports, but the apples to crabapples comparison also applies within the set of contemporary snowfall measurements.
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The underlying data in that chart looks suspect. Just one easy example, January average mean in 1977 was 22⁰. 1918 may have been the coldest, but it was a lot colder than 26⁰. I'm not sure if the average max that year was that high. Not arguing with the trend line, but this looks off.
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Was wondering where he is now. I hope he's ok.
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I can still remember ice. Mrs and me on Long Island Sound, 2015:
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We used to head down to the ocean beaches. No matter if July or August, it was always a shock getting into that cold water. Of course we were kids, so once in the water it was hard to get us out no matter how much we were shivering.
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N Smithtown rainfall for yesterday's event was 1.52". We had a mix of snow and rain for a couple of hours. Briefly mostly snow, but very wet. Temp fell from 42 to 36 during the mixed precip then maxed at 56 shortly before 1am this morning.
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There were a few main theories. Another was some kind of pathogen. The water warming is probably what prevents recovery.
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When I was a kid there was a significant Long Island Sound lobster business. Now they're even struggling in Maine.
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That location on Rt 16 is at about 500 feet. The base of Mount Cranmore (summit approx 1700 feet ) is about a half mile east of there. Really pounding up at Wildcat: https://www.skiwildcat.com/the-mountain/mountain-conditions/mountain-cams.aspx
