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NorthShoreWx

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Everything posted by NorthShoreWx

  1. Wind ("blow-off") may be part of that, but very likely there are legit reasons related to water temps, humidity and perhaps other aspects of the micro-climate at BDR. Snow may not accumulate as efficiently on that little spit, especially in marginal temps. On the north shore here, I've seen snow melting on the water side of the boardwalk and accumulating on the "inland" side of the boardwalk (Sunken Meadow). I don't doubt that BDR has made some measuring mistakes over the years (much of the ISP snowfall history before 2004 is bad), but it isn't unreasonable that its long term averages are lower than places very close by. I wonder if that is the same problem with the old LI Coop at Strongs Neck (aka Setauket Strong) which has over time produced absurdly low averages compared to nearby areas on the north shore. I used to think the observer(s) just didn't care that much about snowfall, but there may be some legitimacy to it. Some places just aren't good for collecting local snowfall climo. Side note, local average annual snowfall here (Smithtown) 1995-6 through 2020-21 was 38.8" (38.5" at Upton). Before that the long term average was probably around the low 30's although the 1970s (27.2" at Upton) and 80s (23.9" at Upton) were lower. I didn't add in 2021-22 yet, but Upton had 30.8" and Smithtown 36.2" so you can shave a tenth or 2 off of the recent averages. Like the other guy said, we're not going keep increasing snowfall like over the past couple of decades. Average snowfall in the future could fall back to previous levels (or worse), but the higher snowfall regime has been persistent for a long time despite warmer winters on average. Sources: http://www.northshorewx.com/ClimateData/SmithtownDailySnowfall.pdf https://www.bnl.gov/weather/4cast/monthlysnowfall.htm
  2. NJ DEP used to do scientific estimates of bear population: "The 2020 count shows that the bear population doubled from the 1,522 counted in 2018, the last year a bear hunt was allowed on state-owned lands". After 2020 the DEP was not allowed to conduct a count. The Sierra club position that you mentioned seems subjective and not based on any science. Agree that poor trash management is a problem. Disagree with the idea that humans don't belong in the wilderness.
  3. My last a/c day was in September, but still haven't turned the heat on. Old record latest for turning our heat on was Nov 2012. I don't think that even counts as number 2 (no power after Sandy until just before the snowstorm) but we still beat it this year. Looks like we'll have to capitulate to the season by Monday. With this winters heating oil prices, wear a sweater if you come to visit. Briefly touched 71 here today, but was steady around 70 for several hours. 0.90" rain last night.
  4. Watched Weird Al on Roku Friday night. The Snowman been busy rolling out the barrel: https://www.soundtrack.net/album/weird-the-al-yankovic-story/
  5. 0.78" rain here as of 1PM and we've had some good downpours since. Total for October through 1PM 6.07". Had 4.36" in September, 2.89" in August, 2.53" in July and 3.44" in June. It was "dry-ish" over the summer, but really not very droughty IMBY. I know the south shore was a different story.
  6. No other reports here and nothing on the USGS site. It must have been a nearby truck or something. Windows rattled a lot for several seconds. My wife noticed it too and she was in her car in the garage at that moment.
  7. I guess there was no ob from ISP that day. I guess
  8. 34° in Smithtown Thursday morning. Was 35° Wednesday morning. Our growing season continues, at least on paper. Veggie garden is surviving, not really growing anymore, but still stuff to harvest.
  9. Feb 1899. I'd bet the area where JFK now stands was colder than Tallahassee in Feb 1899, and probably colder than -2 other times too, although not recently. I wonder how cold it got around JFK in February 1934, among other dates.
  10. Didn't get power back until 10:30 this morning. 1.11" rainfall last night brings September total in North Smithtown to 3.72"
  11. Close lightning strike behind the house and we lost power instantly. Maybe a transformer back in the woods or a limb on the power line. Looks like a dark night ahead. Same old same old. We're used to it
  12. It's a common phenomenon. Lake front areas downwind of Erie and Ontario have the longest growing seasons in western and central NY.
  13. Three (calendar) days in a row here with a minimum of 50. We did not get below 50. Gonna have an extended growing season with sound temps still around 70. Only chance for frost will be with light south wind on backside of a cold high allowing the north shore to decouple before the humidity starts to rise. Needs pretty good timing in early fall here. Otherwise, a light northerly wind is a warm wind direction close to the sound at this time of year and it keeps blowing while a couple of miles south it can go calm.
  14. Very sad to hear that. That's a big lake; theoretically part of NYC's reservoir system.
  15. North Smithtown rain totals: June 2022 3.44" July 2022 2.53" Aug 2022 2.89" Sept 2022 0.34" (today's total so far) 5.76" since July 1 9.20" since June 1 Nothing profoundly wet about that, but it beats the heck out of nothing. Of note was 1.75" in an hour the morning of 8/24 when most places, including elsewhere on the north shore, got nothing.
  16. .34" here . Still raining a little but the sun popped out for a few seconds a couple of minutes ago. I'm on Neil.
  17. We are in the same neighborhood. Walk to Sweetbriar frequently. Just north of Oakside and less than half as much rain. That's crazy stuff.
  18. I believe it, but we've had about a quarter inch here. Still raining hard. Temp down to 75. We only made it up to 79 before the rain.
  19. With east or northeast winds along the north shore there is a little bit of a sound breeze at play. You can make out a hint of it on the recent radar mainly to the east of the main cell: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?parms=OKX-N0Q-0-12-100-usa-rad Definitely a wee bit of convergence where the storms are popping.
  20. We're on the northern edge of the cell over central LI. It's basically stationary, but we're still getting a pretty good dousing. I've never seen such an extreme difference in rainfall over such a short distance over such a long period of time. Could be another hundred year sort of event.
  21. Check it out...the edge of the clouds right along 495: https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/?parms=local-Rhode_Island-02-24-0-100-1&checked=map&colorbar=undefined
  22. August rainfall here was 2.89" It's raining heavily now. The haves and the have nots. Note: 2.89" is still below normal.
  23. My rainfall is below normal but not as bad as other nearby areas. We had 1.75" in about a half hour around 6am Tuesday morning. Was shocked at how that one added up. I saw 3" at Centerport and zippo at ISP
  24. 0.28" rainfall in N. Smithtown today. Min/max 76/83 through 7:20pm. Current temp 79° F July total rainfall through 7/25 is 2.50" A little dry, but not terrible.
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