michsnowfreak

I never had high hopes for this one. Even if we got accumulation it would be washed away. Not sure what you mean another season of busted storms, other than the Dec 23 storm last year, all other storms met or even exceeded expectations.

How is the ice safe to skate on the Rio Grande when Albuquerque is way above freezing almost every day?

So nice to see more active AFDs Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 615 PM EST Mon Jan 8 2024 .KEY MESSAGES... * A Winter Weather Advisory is in effect for most of SE Michigan on Tuesday as a strong low pressure system lifts into the area. The Tuesday morning commute will likely be impacted by snow covered and slick roads with lowered visibilities. * A rapid accumulation of heavy, wet snow is expected between 4 AM and noon Tuesday for areas south of I-69. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 4 inches are expected with locally higher amounts possible mainly across the Irish Hills. Temperatures rising above freezing will cause snow to change over to rain from south to north from late morning into the afternoon. * Longer duration of snow in the Tri-Cities will bring snow totals of 3 to 5 inches there. Lower confidence exists in timing the transition to rain here, and a low chance (10%) does exist for higher snow totals if snow remains the predominant precip type through Tuesday evening. * The combination of heavy wet snow with southeast winds of around 30 mph may lead to some isolated downed tree limbs and sporadic power outages. Onshore winds will be higher in the Thumb with gusts up to 40 mph. * Strong west winds area expected to develop Wednesday in the wake of the storm system. Wind gusts of 30 to 40 mph will be possible with the strongest winds from Metro Detroit southward to the Indiana and Ohio border. * A quick hitting clipper will bring the potential for a widespread inch of snow Thursday morning. * Confidence is increasing for another major winter storm late Friday and Saturday. The potential exists for significant snow accumulations across Southeast Michigan. Strong winds, below average temperatures, and lake effect snow appear likely next weekend.

All the ensemble means are looking great for Michigan. Only 4 more nail biting days to go.

I was only 8 years old. But I remember it vividly. Playing in the snow it was very deep.

Exactly lol. That is our classic snowstorm track.

The ensemble means look great for DTW

The snowfall sat night into yesterday (0.8" both here and DTW) was more reminiscent of an april snowfall. A beautiful scenic snowfall during the morning melted during the afternoon under a damp, uncomfortable mid-30s chill. But all eyes are on the extended...

Thanks! And I agree, high resolution/convection can put unrealistic amounts during snow squalls or thunderstorms.

I can only speak for myself, I haven't seen too much trash talking the Euro other than stebos comment and my response. Basically, years ago the Euro used to be the far superior model and recently it seems to not be. Not that it's extra bad or anything, but it's not that juggernaut it once was.

Storms like these can really be boom or bust

Yeah I was referring in general, not to any one specific storm. We will see if it locks in on a solution for Fri/Sat in the next few days or if it continues its huge shifts.

It actually is incredible how far the euro has fallen from its King status years ago.

Other items of interest about Friday/Saturdays storm. Its a different setup than Tuesday in that there's a ton of cold air lurking, unlike tuesday. But more interesting is that regardless of the low track, models seem to want to throw a lot of snow well to the east of the L, channeling blizzard of '99

I could not agree more about waiting til Thursday. Im always like that with any event. However I do disagree about Tuesdays storm. Outside of a rogue run or 2 this was always going to be a quick snow to rain scenario.

Ended up with 0.8" here.

Picked up 0.4" of snow as misty light snow fell all evening and overnight.

1978 for the conditions alone is rightfully a storm of lore, but total snowfall in Detroit was definitely a screw hole during that storm with around 9" from the storm and a snow depth of 15" following the storm. Obviously at face value thats great, but considering what happened all around us I actually get annoyed that thats the "go to" storm to talk about. A storm just over 3 years earlier in 1974 dropped 19.3" of heart attack wet snow and does not get nearly its due compared to '78. And of course, as I mentioned just above, Detroit just saw 16.7" GHDII setting the stage for historic cold in Feb 2015. That of course was the winter after the record season snowfall snowfall of 94.9" when snowdepth locally obliterated 1978. Back OT, whatever does happen Friday and Saturday, frigid cold is lurking right behind it. So this really could be an old fashioned winter blast if all goes well.

I wouldn't call January 6th nearly mid-January. I don't live on the East coast either, but not sure what your vendetta is against them.

Those are neat pics!

Detroit had 16.7" Feb 1/2, 2015.

It was more historic in the Ohio Valley. definitely a bit of a cold winter here, but snowfall itself was not impressive. There was a decent snowpack.

A fierce blizzard. although only 5 inches of snowfall at Detroit temperatures plummeted to −16°.

At Detroit, it was 6 inches of snow plus ice. The winter of 1978-79 actually had below average snowfall in Detroit (35.6"), while Chicago had records snowfall. Still with the bitter cold and snowcover it was a pretty harsh winter.

Ten years ago, we had 16 inches of snow on the ground, -50° wind chills, and did not know at the time, but it was only the beginning.