michsnowfreak

What's interesting is that locally, Decembers were great in the 2000s and pissy the last decade, yet despite the contrast, White Christmases have remained steady around 50%. Definitely not a fan of mild Decembers, but with lots of Christmas activities it's a lot busier than January/February so easier to forget about the crappy weather. Time will tell if February is once again the star month of winter.

White Christmases have never been common on the east coast. The rate of white Christmases here in Detroit has remained steady (around 50%).

Lol I forgot. That was a wild one with the temp contrasts. I always hear you guys joking about grinch storms. But I wonder if there is actually any mathematical support to having a little more bad luck on the east coast on Dec 24-25 than surrounding dates. What's interesting is that locally in SE MI we have stayed remarkably consistent with our 50/50 white Christmas climo despite awesome decembers in the 2000s and less desirable ones the last decade.

I remember that because it started here with 7" of unexpected snow Dec 24/25. The forecast the morning of Dec 24 was flurries only. But a huge nw shift gave us a storm. 3 of the past 6 Christmases have had perfectly timed snows here. 4.5" synoptic on Dec 24, 2017, falling late afternoon through evening. Then another inch in LES christmas day. 3.6" on Dec 24/25, 2020, from 11pm christmas eve thru mid afternoon christmas day 2.4" last christmas eve and day atop a few inches of snow from the 23rd.

Nothing wrong with that! We all have our preferences. You absolutely are not a troll.

Nah he is far beyond trolling. And actually I wouldn't say its sacrilege. Board is still full of cold lovers, but there's a little group of warm trolls. I think they all live in a commune somewhere together with palm trees and they hold fire next to thermometers to see how warm it'll go.

That's what I did. Just sucks when his posts are quoted by others and still show lol.

After morning flurries, the sun peeked out a few times in the afternoon for the first time in December.

It will be a mix of disappearing storms and sneaky surprises.

Same! I went from WWBB to eastern to here.

It was a nuisance mist with some wet snowflakes. A misty drizzly 37° day in early Dec has no more bearing on this winter than the 25° and fluffy snow did a week ago.

It was arguably worse during the amazing stretch from 2007-15. The board was full of members, and some of them had IMPOSSIBLE expectations. Plenty of complaints in winters that featured 150+% of normal snowfall.

It's crazy how far removed we are from the "hey day" of weather boards. I think the declining popularity of internet forums in general plays a big role (many seem to gravitate to personal chats on messenger or other platforms), as does the increasing amount of trolls and/or people who arent even on a weather board to discuss weather.

It's really a subjective conversation. Rogue mentioned that the first real snow threat last winter wasn't til Dec 23rd. And I brought up the Arctic front snow band from Nov 19. The word "heavy" was I guess the key word for everyone. I meant heavy in terms of visib at DTW going below a quarter mile, not that 1.7" is a ton of snow lol. But my point was that the lakes often "help us" in MI when synoptic is zzzz.

I like all snow. Nickel and dime or big storms. But you read too much into that post. All I said to Rogue was "We had that heavy frontal snow thanks to the lake Nov 19th, kinda similar to Nov 27th this year. The lakes definitely help out when synoptic doesn't".

I'd love to see what actual goes into compiling a map like this. Because raw data here would show there has been very minimal change here. In fact, from 1973-74 to 2022-23, Nov-Mar precip increased 0.06" and snowfall increases 1.1".

Obviously the latter.

Lots of talk about a SSW near Christmas. Will be interesting to see what transpires.

Amen brother!

Actually steve's criteria is all about rates, and that's what I was referring to on Nov 19, 2022. Obviously less than two inches of snow is not a heavy amount of snowfall but the fact that it came in in a blinding band is what I was referring to.

Yes. Considering it fell in less than 2 hours lol.

You have been on a mission to prove that this is not going to be a super event for months. Like it’s some boogey man that you’re terrified to see. I don’t think the paranoia lies with me lol But you have been on a mission to prove this IS going to be super lol.

We had that heavy frontal snow thanks to the lake Nov 19th, kinda similar to Nov 27th this year. The lakes definitely help out when synoptic doesn't. It would appear there are thread the needle chances the first half of December, but it will be mild. Of course the potential turn to colder/stormy around Christmas is what has my early attention.

Too funny! Completely accidental. But I like!

There have been many instances where a drier than average winter produced above average snowfall. What happens this winter though remains to be scene.