Jump to content

michsnowfreak

Members
  • Posts

    17,620
  • Joined

  • Last visited

Everything posted by michsnowfreak

  1. 1970 is actually 54 years ago (I know thats what you meant when referencing Chicagos winter temps, because 1970 is THE gold standard for starting-point to overstate winter warming). When you look at period of record, Chicagos (1874-2024) avg winter temp has risen 0.3F, but their summer has risen 3.2F, although Chicago averages WAY LESS 90F+ days now than they did in the 1950s. Yes I am aware station location changes, something all stations face. And Im also aware of terrain, cement/dirt changes surrounding weather stations as well. Thats what happens when time doesnt stand still.
  2. It was more impressive from a standpoint of being 3 weeks later, but id still say 1953 was more impressive in Chicago. At Detroit, its not even a contest. 1953 all the way. Chicago 2017 09-20: 92/62 09-21: 94/72 09-22: 94/71 09-23: 95/72 09-24: 93/70 09-25: 92/67 09-26: 92/70 Chicago 1953 08-24: 90/63 08-25: 95/66 08-26: 97/68 08-27: 97/70 08-28: 97/69 08-29: 98/70 08-30: 96/71 08-31: 99/74 09-01: 101/76 09-02: 101/75 09-03: 97/75 *** Detroit 2017 09-21: 89/67 09-22: 89/68 09-23: 91/65 09-24: 89/66 09-25: 90/68 09-26: 93/68 Detroit 1953 08-25: 92/64 08-26: 96/71 08-27: 95/69 08-28: 96/67 08-29: 96/71 08-30: 97/71 08-31: 97/71 09-01: 98/70 09-02: 100/76 09-03: 100/71 09-04: 91/61 ************************************** September 2, 1953 was an insane day for time of year in this neck of the woods: Detroit: 100/76 Alpena: 97/70 Cleveland: 101/73 Toledo: 100/72 Cincinnati: 102/72 Columbus: 100/68 Indianapolis: 100/67 Fort Wayne: 100/70 South Bend: 98/72 Peoria: 99/72 Chicago: 101/75 Moline: 99/71 Milwaukee: 96/74 Madison: 98/71
  3. There was literally a historic heatwave ongoing at this exact time in 1953. It lasted 11 days. If that heatwave were to happen today EXACTLY the same, I cannot imagine this extremism of posts we would see. Also, how is heat and humidity highly unusual in August? . Many times August is the hottest month of the summer. Detroits 20 hottest temps on/after 8/25:
  4. 2007-08 was a fantastic winter snow-wise. Extremely, extremely active in the Great Lakes region from Dec-Mar.
  5. 1966-67 was the best winter of the 1960s in the midwest/Great Lakes. From a record snowy November, to the infamous Chicago blizzard Jan 26-27, then a cold/snowy Feb/Mar and a late April snowfall. Jan 1967 was indeed mild, but the record or near record warmth Jan 22-25 likely helped set the stage for the record winter storm Jan 26-27.
  6. We had a few oppressive days in June where heat indexes neared 100F. The hottest temp was 95F on June 17th. Surprisingly, Detroit has logged 12 days of 90F+ this year (6 in June, 1 July, 5 August) but the other 11 were all between 90-92. Last year there was literally zero oppressive heat (only 2 days touched 90F, and just barely). We really get very few days in the mid-90s or higher anymore, something that was so common place 1930-1960. I can see Windsor from the Detroit River here in Wyandotte! Stay cool!
  7. Its 90/75 at Marquette. Shocked they dont have a heat advisory in the UP.
  8. Ridge overhead will make it very hot...but what in the world does "a completely different era of climate" have to do with anything? Like most midwest places, Chicagos greatest concentration of 90s was in the mid-20th century. Blame it on the dustbowl, blame it on todays humidity, blame on whatever you want, but it was easier to get the real hot temps back then than it is now. Annual 90+ days at Chicago 1930s- 19 1940s- 23 1950s- 28 1960s- 19 1970s- 21 1980s- 22 1990s- 16 2000s- 13 2010s- 19
  9. Either scenario is fine by me. Really pulling for a good December here. Those are very common in Ninas and we are overdue.
  10. So the early calls are a weak La Nina thats going to act like a strong one? Some of this stuff is so confusing lol.
  11. @Stormchaserchuck1 has noted many times that the MJO is very hard to predict long-term.
  12. The longest heatwave on record for this area happened from August 25 - Sepember 4, 1953. Detroit 8/25/53: 92/64 8/26/53: 96/71 8/27/53: 95/69 8/28/53: 96/67 8/29/53: 96/71 8/30/53: 97/71 8/31/53: 97/71 9/01/53: 98/70 9/02/53: 100/76 9/03/53: 100/71 9/04/53: 91/61
  13. Wild swings with the final cumulative outcome being above avg precip/snow would be a pretty typical La Nina Michigan winter.
  14. Usually that happens in late August, but a bit more color is showing here than usual.
  15. It would take too much research to figure out that since a trace is the same as 0 when running computed streaks in xmacis. But the record for longest stretch without measurable precip, not just for Aug-Sept but the entire period of record, is 39 days from August 20 - September 27, 1908. A trace fell on 2 of those days (Sept 1 & 24).
  16. No doubt it's been a warm year. It was just an observation I had, locally, that for the 2nd summer in a row, we had a lot of fantasy range heat that never materialized.
  17. It seems the weeklies have been warm in the extended range whether it ends up that way or not (this summer).
  18. Another cool morning. 53 at DTW but 40 ann Arbor, 44 white lake, 45 monroe
  19. The Feb 2018 map is a more extreme example of the CPC forecast for this winter and sure enough Feb 18 saw a parade of winter storms in this area before the late month torch.
  20. Big wintertime cold is a given if a pattern works out. Anyone that doesnt realize that doesnt know the difference between weather and climate. A few things Ive noted about winter time cold locally. ~The frequency of winters with below zero temps is relatively steady. About 75% of winter see below zero temps at Detroit, and near 100% in rural areas of SE MI ~From 2009-2019, 4 different winters saw temps of -13F or colder at DTW. Prior to 2009, the period of 4 years with those temps spanned 1982-2008. ~The coldest winter temps, which used to almost always happen on clear, calm cold snowcovered nights, now sometimes come with howling arctic winds creating much lower wind chills. Ive had wind chills of -30F or colder in 2014, 2015, 2019, 2022, 2024. Prior to 2014, Id guess 1994 was the last time it felt that cold.
×
×
  • Create New...