michsnowfreak

The last 2 Februaries were rocking though. Snow depth was over a foot here in February of 2021. So basically season snowfall the last 2 winters was around average. This year not so much. I do understand the SAD though, lots of people have it with the constant overcast. I don't expect much Sunday but I'm definitely looking at Wednesday with cautious optimism.

I don't count the Ts as events either, just thought i would see how many we've had for the heck of it. An average season will probably have around 80 or so once you add up October through April.

UHI is typically something that's most pronounced on calm clear nights. I can honestly tell you I have never seen a storm that has solely screwed us because of UHI. Again, track is one thing but I wouldn't worry about UHI. Also, you're fairly new to the area so I don't believe you've experienced some of those Eastside specials that you always lamented while you lived further west. At this point of course nothing to do but watch the model mayhem unfold.

Track may screw us, UHI will not.

For DTW GHD2 hands down was the winner. GHD1- 10.3" GHD2- 16.7" GHD3- 9.3"

Believe it or not there have been 29 days this season with a trace or more of snow at DTW, including 12 days of measurable snow.

The surface temps were not a blowtorch tho.

to be fair, I said theres been too much complaining in average or above average snow seasons. NOW is the time to complain. Remember, I love snow as much as you. I just have realistic expectations of our climate. We are not supposed to be the Arctic, but we are supposed to be a LOT wintrier than this January has been.

It's only going so far North though. Still far out let's just keep this storm alive lol.

Gfs ensembles seem SE of their op

Looks good at this lead time. But still an eternity to get there.

At this point I would take a couple inches of snow blowing and drifting everywhere in a heart beat ala December.

We've had multiple days of flurries in January but have not had snow on the ground since December 29th. I'm going through withdrawals. Shit winters, and especially shit Winter months, happen from time to time but it sucks. This is why I get irritated when people complain about little things like the models overdoing it or snow rates or whatever during average to above average snow seasons. It was nitpicking and after so many snowy winters an average snow season was unacceptable. Welp....NOW is the time to complain!

You may lose a few inches of depth but the rain will actually help solidify it with the coming cold.

With a handful of traces and only a dusting of snow in January, the last day with 1" of snow on the ground was December 29th. Technically not THAT long ago but it seems like an absolute eternity. So glad the light is finally at the end of the tunnel, hopefully the colder pattern produces for us all.

All the models/ensembles show an active and colder look finally inching closer.

I never knew palm tree weather was temps around 15°F. Learn something new every day!

I'm not feeling this one for Detroit. I think we will get some of the following ones. Just my gut instinct though, as we all know nothing is certain until show time.

The saturation is definitely turned up though, no one's grass is that green in January.

The week around Christmas was great but other than that its been a frustrating Winter here. This shit winter aside, the Midwest does just fine with snow. After many excellent winters in the 2000s-2010s, a snow weenie thinks an average Winter is bad, so it's no surprise so many lose it in an actual bad winter. Snowfall averages have increased in much of the Great Lakes, including outside the snowbelts. I know very little about the mid Atlantic climo but I just cannot attribute their record snow drought to anything other than bad luck. Especially when almost any given year you hear about a snowstorm hitting a warm climate place that rarely sees snow.

The long range certainly has an active look for this region. Hopefully something pans out for us all.

I like your new pic lol

Admittedly I'm not always the best at remembering what type of event any given snowfall was. I remember the amount, but not always what it was. But this is actually an interesting topic because I too have noticed we don't seem to get as many clippers as we used to in the 1990s, but we get a lot more snow now than we did back then too. Back then they were our bread-and-butter and now they just make occasional appearances. And cyclone mentioned icing. Back in the 1940s and 1950s we had way more ice storms amd glazing events than we do now, but way less snow.

You prompted me to look it up for Detroit as this is a stat I've never looked up lol. As you can see, plenty of 0.1s since the records began. Of course every season also has dozens of traces. 1880s- 70 1890s- 62 1900s- 74 1910s- 74 1920s- 76 1930s- 73 1940s- 60 1950s- 75 1960s- 83 1970s- 81 1980s- 64 1990s- 43 2000s- 68 2010s- 72