pasnownut

at 108 CMC is vertically stacked. Gotta run but I'm guessing its gonna be a good one in the next couple panels. Sure hope so.

I'll hit the LIKE button for the rest of my forum pals.....

Guys go look at 66 on both GFS and CMC. Basically identical. Thats a good sign IMO. I say this in the veign of continuity. They diverge a bit beyond, but we need to understand where things start before we know where they are headed. And to that point, they seem to start off rather similarly. Hope that makes sense.

@Blizzard of 93 In truth, the movement in the last 24 hours tells me were not done moving yet, but seeing this match more in line w/ the Euro raises BOTH eyebrows.

actually its rather fitting as I'm probably the most SE of the forum, so its me all by myself. edit - Me and Superstorm.

Well well well....Looks the the ship better get patched up quickly. Go look at the 12z Op (snow map too if you want to brighten your Monday mood a bit). verbatim im fringed but 90% of you are getting a beatdown if this finds a way to hold (I know it likely wont, but for the next 6 hours I'm happy for y'all).

I live and grew up in Ephrata. lol Ephrata Black Forest Brewery - downtown near the Cocalico valley Historical society (if your into that) St Boniface Brewery - locally one of the best. Lititz Gen Sutter Inn Bulls Head - also a must Lancaster county Vinyard (down in southern end)

the mighty susquehanna. If you need fun places to go, pm me. I live here

and even if the above statement just misses...its still close enough for cold infusion into the storm and would bode well for western locals.

as I'm picking pieces of the puzzle apart for "how we can make it snow", seeing a 4 contour closed LP on the 500's just W/SW of the 850 LP is surely something to keep an eye on. IF they can pair up and vertically stack....we have a shot at this for sure.

Hes gonna have to...cause while the USS GooFuS didnt sink this past weekend.....we took on water and have some battle damage. We live to fight another day!

I said that in the MA forum yesterday when we were seeing models start to show something worth tracking. The next 4 weeks is about the easiest time for us to snow as climo is peak. We dont need perfect/epic patterns....we need it cold enough (or close by) and ALWAYS have a better chance then they are coming from the south....not the west.

wheres the LOVE button..... dont answer that....i already know.

Reverse psychology at its “finest”

But the look above that I liked showed 500 LP close enough to raise eyebrow. Yes we don’t typically, but if we were going to make some cold...climo says nows the time. That’s my point. Stack that 500 low and it will make its own cold.

That would be funny as sh!t.

While epic looks have degraded, we still are in peak climo and we can do it in less than stellar looks. Something to think about as we wait for the next unicorn to chase.

Boy that’s not far away from a nice look.

fwiw the18z gfs looks like it’s trying to bring LP further east and if one looks at last few runs its definitely something to watch. IF this finds a way to work it will rattle the brains of many. Gotta hope for antecedent cold to hold (much like last event.). Only diff is that this one with exception of GFS starts off with better track.

That’s what I’ve been thinking.

Yeah I agree that right now it’s just a couple models runs and likely a couple more model runs from something way different (and likely worse). Thing that raises my eyebrow is that we have a few big gums showing g something close to workable for us. Enough antecedent cold and maybe we sneak some mangled mess in.

Wouldn’t it be crazy if everyone checks out and we sneak one in?

That how i roll. I'm the guy they all like to see out because during decent events, my big snowblower is everyones best friend (not me of course...) In a good storm, I usually come home w/ a buzz due to them all knowing i "work" for beer(s). Yeah, I wish we could have gotten a bit more white, but as you know, the white look diminished as the sleety looks took over. That verified for sure. Still nice and white around here, so I'm ok w/ it, but sounds like some got a bit more jipped than hoped. Oh well onto the next one.

Just shoveled/scraped neighbors and its about to turn to concrete. Glad i went out when i did. With early to mid week temps, those that got it should hold it for a few days of wintery appeal. Going to be a glacier tonight.

Will be interesting to see what the next few days offer wrt next weekend. GFS showing a cutter much like yesterday has to be a red flag. Sure hoping Euro and CMC are onto something...even if its a rainer for many here.