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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Some Ob’s from my travels. Palmyra to line grove had a solid 1”. Plows were down near catawissa. Bloomsburg barely a coating. Williamsport to Mansfield university much the same. Cabin down low a coating. Up top 1.5-2” and icy as hell. In Westfield now. Wing nite. I’ve got pics for proof but damn things are too big. Happy for all that got some flakes today. About 260 miles for the day.
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BEAUTIFUL ride into work. Winter wonderland, and lititz to manheim had many roads caving/caved, and its almost as much snow as we received down here for the entirety of last season, and its only 12/7. Its a win. Happy for all that got some (2 days in a row mind you). I'm off the grid seeing clients up north, then headed to cabin till mid day Saturday. Yall need to work your mojo to make sunday happen. Enjoy
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as i suggested the other day when the backend changeover look started to show, gotta hope for the earlier secondary pop so thermal boundary can collapse like a cheap tent. As depicted overnight, and as bubbler suggests, we typically dont do well w/ anafrontal snows (modeled vs reality).
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Sad to hear. His site is/was of big interest to the snowmobile community, and I used to visit often during winter months. He was the one to listen to in the UP. Hoping they keep it going as you suggest. RIP fellow weather weenie.
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Glad to hear/see all getting a little love from above. Looks like the north country is the big winner with the overnight and morning event. My obligatory cam post of link near cherry springs where stars shine "brighter" http://www.swedenhillsnocam.com/CherrySprings.jpg
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yeah its really light snow here in Etown as well. Good for the mood if nothing else.
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congrats to the GFS for sniffin this out a week ago. Check radar verification.
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Root on that secondary to pop earlier off carolina coast and maybe just maybe....
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I also had some falling on way into office. They looked lonely, but I'll take a lost snowflake over none at all. beggars.......
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Our own Mitch has been on them like a wet blanket. We dont need to wait for DT to say somethings happening...and at last check, his track record isnt too stellar. Good met but not perfect. thats all I'm saying.
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DT has an affinity for all things Euro....not surprising. He saw Mitch's map and started woofin. Mind you, I've no problem w/ it at all, but no "good call" should be given to him. Tellies and MJO progression are 2 big hints that some changes may be looming.
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I'd take that in a heartbeat.
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nooner GFS really trying to thwart any notable warmups fwiw....and beyond 5 days, I'm hedgin w/....not much. If ever it were to be right tho. Now would be a nice time to shine.
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yeah, nice to see mention of snow showers in the next 2 days. Regardless of the outcome (which appears to be similar to what we saw almost a week ago), it has been well modeled for the last week.
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well after the cold push that is slated for mid week the winds are often outta the W/WSW, so that should bring some smiles (and vitamin D) to your local. Get it while you can bud.
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we are still waiting for some over the road hauler to show up with some of your snow from last winter.....
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you "lake enhanced" folk live in a different world from many of us southers. Your statement is not a complaint...just a fact. As you know, my best friend grew up near you, and after moving down here, he said he loves it....cause "the sun shines down here" and that during colder periods, he'd shovel/wisp snow from cars/driveways many days from Nov/March.
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Yeah anywhere downwind of the lakes, can be quite cloudy during cooler periods when winds are outta the W/NW. We see it at the cabin as well (maybe not as pronounced mind you) - but its no joke. While I love those episodes, i could understand the mental wear n tear it may have one ones well being if I lived there. whatchu end up w/ from this recent event?
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Not sure anyone missed it....but some of us looked at Ens guidance leading up to Christmas week, and it appears that we have a notable warmish stretch to endure with troughing out west and ridging here in the east. AO/NAO trending + is not a net + for us easters. Not pooh poohin at all, but just managing expectations till the signs start getting notably better for a good period. PNA looks to head twds + and that could set the table for the Christmas week.
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Central PA Autumn 2023
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thx bud. Dunno what happened in your hood, but sorry if you got modded to death. To me, some modding would be great in our big basket, but I guess watch what you wish for...and with a few of us not being afraid to speak up....we are sorta self governing. Just came back from 6 days at cabin in Tioga. Saw snow on n off Tues morn. 5 miles north of me they plowed (sabinsville), while i only had 1/2" at best. Still nice to see. I'll be at cabin a few times between now n just after new years for flintlock season. Likely hit Atomix area (houtzdale) as well with my best bud. After that i hope to blow alot of dust off the snowmobiles at the cabin, as they've basically sat for 2 years. if you're down in the area, look me up. would be great to grab a pint. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
wow, sounds like a great trip. Enjoy n send pics too (or maybe you cant where your going -
Central PA Autumn 2023
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Lookin at overnighters, if GFS is to be believed, and follows patterns of the past, it officially has entered the "lose the storm" period for mid next week. Other majors say something is still there, although they too have lost it a bit. Icon still has it if that gives any of you the warm fuzzies, then thats the model to hug. Still plenty cold for that period, so IF we can get something to pop, it should be wintery and not wet. Beyond that GFS has a nice little clipper for next weekend, but I'd say lets just see how vort #1 plays out before worrying about the next. End guidance a tad better than yesterday IMO, and if GFS suite is to be considered, its not a dumpster fire through mid Dec. Not great but not terrible and zonalish twds the end. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hey Matt. Hope all is well up north. We are a pretty decent bunch, and are typically cool about outsiders comin in to chat up weather. I'd say most of us are totally cool w/ that, but of late there's been a decent amount of trolling by a few, and its just gettin under some of our skins. You've been here and know how we roll. I guess a few of us (maybe I'm one of the aholes...dunno) are just calling it out, and trying to keep the chill vibe flowin and not muddied up (like some of the other retional forum threads). I weed through tons of sports chatter to find weather snippets, and as many here are sports junkies, I roll w/ it as its not my board, but if/when we start chattin up weather and get trolled or are told to "wait till the storm happens" so that the same poster can tell us daily about warm climate stats...I hope you see the point. If we want to have off topic banter, we should separate threads, but that's also been shot down, so we have one big basket that all of our chat falls in, and if that's how its gonna roll....sometimes ya just gotta take out the trash. That's all. Lookin forward to seeing more of your posts in the winter months. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
so....back to weather, cause he's right...its the only weather we've got. HH GFS came south w/ 500's and 528 sittin over us as precip breaks out in western pa. Next panel...she's gone. Southern slider kinda gone. At least some majors are showing the vort and CMC not too dissimilar in how surface looks. Icon looks like it hit the happy juice a bit early and is a notably north of others. Just gotta hope the storm stays on Ops, then MAYBE just MAYBE we get a shot at some fun. TTFN Takin wife out for some grub. -
Central PA Autumn 2023
pasnownut replied to Itstrainingtime's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I've often thought he might be "one of us". I'll let ya'll come to your own conclusions to my conspiracy theory....lol Anyone who looks incognito on their sig info gets the instant stink eye.