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Everything posted by pasnownut
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thats been my hopes from days ago. While we could fight dryslotting, thermally its the better option. Will be interesting to see how the next few hours play out, as this is boom time snow right now. Eyeball 6-7" on my table outside. Will take a measurement in next hour. Sunday funday in full effect. Enjoy all. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
huh...how'd i miss this. my grids didnt update but i like the sexy talk anyway. Enjoy all Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service State College PA 717 AM EST Sun Jan 25 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... * Winter Storm Warnings remain in effect through 1 PM Monday with significant snowfall expected across all of central Pennsylvania. * Increased snowfall totals across much of the area due to higher confidence in a band of heavier snow occurring across north-central Pennsylvania. * Updated precipitation types across the southern tier of Pennsylvania to account for more snowfall, still some sleet/freezing rain mentions retained. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
without a base, lite fluffy (like LES) hi ratio snow has no density. skis push right through to ground. Tears up carbides (stainless steel/carbide runners) on bottom of skis. When pingers pile up, it creates that needed base for you to "stay up/float" on top of snow (but not too much snow). Its as you an I often call it the "densifier". As i actually have about 1.5" ish inches stil otg from last week i'd be fine, but in areas that have lost snow (etown/mt. joy was bare as of friday), the sleet will make the riding super fun, now if it gets too deep, then sleet, it gets challenging as you are now "floating" or carving through the snow. if we get 6-8 then 1-2" of sleet, it will be f'in amazing riding. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You might be the leader early on. IF we can hang on (as Horst stated) for 4-6 more hours before we filp in Lanco, I'll be 100% happy with this event. Who am I kiddin....... I've been 100% happy for days leading up. Seeing it land safely on our yards, is the icing on a fanfukintastic snow cake. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
really starting to come down here. I overstated earlier w/ Cash. I was at 3", but now am 4" and mod/heavy rates picking up. once pingers start this afternoon, that will make for some fantastic snowmobing. 2 sleds out back are ready, and 1 in garage gettin final tweaks. Come on over if ya wanna rip around w/ me. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
yeah south central to skook and areas around have been jackzone in my mind for a couple days. I'll ride that pony across the snowy finish line. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I have a small table as my snow check station sitting on my back porch. I think i've got you by 1/2". Spitballin 3.5" and rippin here. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
With all due respect, can you try to enjoy what the storm is giving you, and not share every detail of thing you see going wrong. No offense, but many of your obs, are often bunk claims. Sit back, listen, learn..... and enjoy. Please and thanks. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I just let grandpup out and got wood. I was surprised as I'm already over 3" in akron. Plows just made first pass. Very happy so far. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Snowing nicely here in Akron over 1" threshhold. Morning NAM has me up to 16". Looks like is gonna be heavy rates before we ping. Lets have furn w/ whatever we get, and NO Ruin, its not sleeting yet. Get more coffee, sit back and relax. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Youre a friggin wiz kid.... even if youre not a kid. Impressive work bud. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
3k ditto. Small improvment thermally. Will it add up to much....dunno, but 700/850's are a touch better for both in NAM suite. Going out to get wood n chores done. Hoping to come back to good news. Reel this one in boys n girls -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Go look at 700's. Thats my focus right now. A bit better for those on the line. And I've not started drinkin so snow goggles are not on.....yet -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
IMO HH Nam is a small but notable improvement. SE'r PA bretheren should approve. Might not make much difference, but every little bit helps down here. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
you sure? at 26 i see a 40-50 mile souther adjustment to sn/Ip -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
3k also tad colder early on -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
HH Nam notably colder surface at 20 snow line still south of PA. Nice start for sure. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Let’s hope that theme continues well east. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As this has an overrunning component to it I sorta expected things to maybe show up a bit ahead of schedule. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I saw it and chuckled. Soon Time to pick a horse. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
of course it is, but you see all of what the other models are showing. you willing to follow just 1 model suite? I'm mean yeah there was 2016, but verbatim, its left end of goalposts IMO -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
damn primary 3mb stronger isnt helping either -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
3k showin its warmth at 700's. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
dynamic cooling w/ best forcing wouldnt be the first time we were supposed to be "wet" while seein big fatties fallin. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
pasnownut replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
700's look to be showing coastal influence at 27 (column collapsing)? Watch that in future runs. COULD be a path to victory for southers. This is the warmest model and I'm gonna keep an eye on that. Might be noise. Dunno
