pasnownut

I agree on the first part. Still have to work on you a bit for the second part. HEHE.

You slip on da ice??? You OK. Us snohounds are proud of you.

until models resolve what bundle of fun to focus on, easter - wester solutions will continue. west solutions show better phasing where easter ones keep separate and more progressive look. 500s diving in on all, so we still need to resolve how well upper and lower levels want to play together. All the fixins are there for a vertically stacked humdinger, but just like a great football team, you can have all the right players, but that only looks good on paper when you are golfing during the post season.

Icon was trying. CMC wonky - east but could be right UKI east. consensus IMO - there is none yet

Ukie misses the phase at 500, hence the easter solution.

Remind me not to give my opinions before run finishes. CMC ries for a late save. Still a miss but still rather close. QPF still in SE pa. they get scrapped.

Pos tilt on CMC is no crowd pleaser. gonna scoot me thinks.

CMC wonky and SE evolution out to 102.

lower Chessy I see a 28" max that was 150 miles south 2 runs ago. lower astern shore went kaboom

nothin atypical of miller A's. winners n losers on NW quadrant of qpf shield know this all too well.

GFS says 4-6" for philly Nice step.

500 dives in nicely. Good step towards somethin.

yes but SE Pa approves of the moves. They are back in game. Not sure how long youve been doing this, but this is normal and expected ebbs and flows of modelwatchology.

at 120 snow breaking out SC and SE pa closer for sure.

GFS notable tick W at 114. ....

IMO its because 7/10 times that attitude wins. GFS trolling hard at 108....

Icon ends as a closer miss. Still a ways to go for us to get excited. at least it keeps hope alive.

out to 108 ICON says, this aint over yet. Tick W is evident.

ok, i'll point out one negative. Euro at 114 shows another piece of energy SE of it and next few panels it pops a secondary way east. Others also need to resolve the primary and where it pops off coast. Me thinks this is why it shows east progression, and while Im not calling that bunk, I am raising the skeptical flag. Euro needs to sort that out before we really can use it for a viable solution. That energy tugs this bomb (primary) east.

you and I are similar in thought. With this setup, a little more tucked would go a long way (thinking wester) in qpf. Based on overnighters its not unreasonable. 6z GFS ticked west off Va coast as did qpf. couple more moves like that and we back into something. at 114 Icon notably west of 0z 6z euro at 123 is stalled off carolina coast, and trough going notably neg. Thats a good sign as itll give this big dog a chance to come up and not out. I'm in a good mood, so I'm only posting positive trends (as they are things I look for when sniffing fr storms. Yall can share the negatives

lmao. That's friggin "gold" right there. Well done. I got snow, so I won, no matter the trophy. I'm surely not a participation trophy kinda guy.

hits the cold brick wall. I think it reasonable that it could sit n spin as it does. thatd be a way to get meaninful qpf back this way. If we remember the trends of the last event, anyone sayin its over, should be stripped to undies n thrown into a snow drift.

Thanks for doing what you do. Peeps love to bitch at them for what they dont/didnt do, but seeing it first hand w/ my son and his best friend, puts a notably different perspective on what they do during notable events. He said right around midnight he got ut of wheel loader and stuck his head in the snow to stay awake. Like you I hope we pad stats this weekend. Hoping it ticks west today or tomorrow. Based on setup looks like it has a reasonable chance. Will start back into trackin mode today. Have a good one.

lol. All good. It’s yours. I had fun tryin.

As deep as the trough is it might be some kooky solutions in coming days. it’s just beautiful out. Been outside pretty much last 2 days helping neighbors n playin with grandpup. My son plowed for 22.5 hrs straight. Started at 430 yesterday morning. Got to our house at 3:00 this mirning(DIL, grandson and grandpup weathered the storm here) 1hr ride on sleds to end the day today sunset was a beaut in this awesome winter landscape.