pasnownut
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Everything posted by pasnownut
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oh shit......GFS is at it again. Game back on for 6 hrs anyway. Truth told, there are several models showing next weekends potential, and if we can get NS and SS to play in tandem. Boom time.
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is there a 1000% button. If so, hit it for me. Well stated. Enjoy your 4". Sounds like 2" is what our area is seeing.
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why dont you throw your thoughs out there like many of us do? You pooh pooh much, but say little as to why. That constant negative undertone adds little to the convo.
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Bubbles and SC crew are definitely in a better spot for afternoon/evening. We've been on the fringe for it, and model depended can smell it, but may not see it as it collapes when it gets east of the river. Enough spread to not discount, and by HH I'm sure we'll see whos the haves and whos the have nots. Mood flakes is my bar for later.
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I'm just going to add a bit to this. You are totally on point here. Models are tools that are used in tandem w/ a myriad of "tools" including climatology and have known biases. We ALL know this. I really get chapped when peeps come in....add little/nothing as to what they think may be right or wrong, and just bash. Guess its always easier and more convenient to blame someone (or something) else. CTP did a nice job here.
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That has been modelled so its clearly an option. Looks like later on things start back up a bit. Well we hope so anyway.
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wife headed there this weekend with gal pals. She told me to shussh last night when I spoke of the weekend biggin potential. Sounds like sheel have snow otg no matter.
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nice to see nooner NAM showing backfilling as 500 vort pass occurs later. Mood snow for much of the day is fine w/ me. edit. most mesos look decent for rest of the day mood snows. Win.
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I hope my backyard in akron is under same band
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Really rippin here in etown. Just need this for the next few hours or my 3" min is in trouble.
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This shows how forcing is often part of the challenge, as I suggested the other day (and its known by most), one doesnt have to be in the jackpot qpf, to be able to maximize potential in areas of best forcing (700's and isothermally). We are seeing just that in central/norther pa. May not be a big win, but to be in the game and not on bench is good enough when livin on the edge.
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Us weather geeksl MUST be wired the same. My backyard bar for any event, is to NOT see my grass blades stickin out. When cleaning patios or paths to woodbin, I will kick snow over exposed grass wherever i can. thanks for the chuckle. Nice to know I am in good company for being a whacko.
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Icon and Rgem both continue the wagons slightly N trend. Enough for me to sleep well no matter what the rest show. Keeps me safely in my 3-6". Glad to see most here will be joinin in some fun.
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yeah if we can get them to hook up, that might be a fun one to watch.
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you can advise my 4" you can watch my 4" you can warn my 4" As long as I can play w/ my 4"....I'm giddy
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mesos joinin in the bump N w/ second tier southers gettin a little more. Hoping we can eek out another bump before go time. I'll be sleepin, so I'll just dream about it and see if dreams really do come true.
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weve got 3 model runs of "ticks" left.... Inside 24, its nice to see N ticks still happening. IF we can get 1 or 2 more northers, many LSV'rs are affected and snow weenies rejoice.
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yeah thats my point. Any reason.....
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add it to "the keep pile"
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Just figurin that out huhh.... This is the norm and has been for as long as i can remember. If on the fringe, yeah I get the frustration, but me thinks anyone between rt 30 and I 80 corridor shouldnt be surprised by whatever transpires model wise today
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I will add that no matter what tomorrow does, ens and tellie guidance sure does look workable or better for the next couple weeks.
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Yeah, I forgot zoom. Still think that school districts need to be reminded that whats easy for them, isnt always easy for homes/families. Multitude of tangible/intangible liabilities attached. But we know this, so I'll stop there.
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based on duration/timing, this one screams SNOW day for many in southern 1/3 of state IMO
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I think you are rather safe in the 4-6". I'm gonna blow the hell outta my 1-2" tomorrow. That didnt sound very good did it?
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dunno bout your hood, but down here, i think they just look for an excuse for a day off. That coupled w/ normal liablities that come w/ snow and kid watchin seems to scare em quick.
