pasnownut

Looks like its coming around. Right or wrong, its a CTP special and I'd think most here would take it and run (even if we take totals and multiply by .6)

Great read as always. Good luck out there, you lucky bugger.

In truth, I'm not sure how many of us LSV/Lanco folk, were ever over expecting to be in the big stuff down here. Pattern never really suggested it, and thats why I've stated things about the column is going to be marginal for us, and dynamic cooling in higher qpf was needed for us. For the norther and westers, they should be fine. Nothing we've seen has been supportive of big snow here. Factor in knowing normal biases and climo for your backyard, and it should temeper any big expectations for US. Norther/westers....congrats in advance. For me anyway, my efforts have been to see a storm in for CTP during a time that pattern really hasnt looked great and was written off by some. if I get into the better stuff, then all the better, but my 3-6 for lanco is where my flag is placed, and I'll keep it there until shot down or we take the hill. Everyone has seen our area ranging from 1-8" model dependent, and I'm not gonna say well 25% of this and that worked, as I'm not that good and will not search for ways to say I was right. No matter the end result, the forum is staring down a decent winter event. Thats a win no matter how you slice it.

GEFS and GEPS have been hinting at LR basin look, and tellies are supportive of it. Hoping for ENS guidance to increase that look as it would be a nice pattern to get stuck in for a while. Frozen bowlin balls from the west w/ a 2 finger palm grip for extra left spin to hit us king pins here in the east. and yes....thats how I bowl.

Never heard what the problem was attributed to...but I've never stopped factoring that into my expectations. I'm stickin w/ my 3-6 gun as nothing overnight scared me off. Actually 6z euro that anthony posted was rather encouraging, as euro has been running warm. Regardless, I'm on the razors edge as usual, and have kept my expectations in check for the LSV, but as i suggested yesterday, Altoona (MAG) to Poconos are looking pretty sweet for a nice event.

Since Calhoun and 27’s guy left I stopped watching as well. Don’t miss local weather stations.

Said it the other day…Gotta smell the rain for the best snows. NAM looked way too paltry based on a ton of other guidance, but it has been locked once or twice before. signals been strong for too long. The words “toss it” come to mind (even if it knows something the rest don’t). That fits my feelings better for now.

well at least on the HH NAM, i'm safe from mixing.

Guessing someone got offended and called the popo in. Sure hope Atomix is not out as there are others that have tried harder to muck up our crew...and they are left unchecked. and btw, I'm dead to a couple in here. Enjoy your snow this weekend. You know you will a weee bit.

thats about as good as one could ask for....considering the source and normal bias.

anyone feeling a good ol NAM'ing for HH? Hope that offends noone.....

@Atomixwxi'm just messin w/ ya dude. You add alot of "color" to the group.

Yeah, to the other side, we've had some years that we've been in the goods whily they might have pushed Atomix over the edge a tad....

Agreed. Not sure why my TT is seemingly slower than y'alls/ younz? Happy for you rich retired guys that get the premium stuff.

Its what we do down here. IMO to cry about what we often see here is silly and we should know better than that (or move)..especially based on pattern and lack of deep cold air. Just happy to see "us" in the game...even if some of us are not the stars of the show. Any snow is welcome snow in MBY. I'll be at cabin, so I'll likely be on the northern periphery anyways. NBD. Hoping you get your souther tick before the dreaded norther one comes a callin. At least we are slowly runnin outta time for big changes.

We NEVER separate threads here. You'll get everything you wanted (and didnt) all in one big lump....and like it.

pleasant surprise eh....

or when they say so.

Based on track its no surprise to some of us that are used to this. MAG to Poconos has always been my early goalposts w/ about 75-100 miles on either side "getting the goods". I may be wrong but Im not afraid to share my thoughts. Me thinks 8-10 is big winners and I'm ok w/ my 3-6" until further notice. lol

"Tamaqua split" is what you called it.

No matter how the cards fall in the next couple weeks, it's great to see chances lining up in the short/medium terms. ENS guidance still wants to dump the trough in the west until about 8-10 days when a more basin wide look seems to show. Hoping we can score a couple before that happens. Further out, with AO/NAO still neg and PNA showing a move twds neutral, that basin wide look might have merit and could be fun for us.

and like so many times in the past, that blue dot between the 4.9 is right over my house. Some things never change....hehe (not for a second do I really care or worry about it) - just funny how models consistently do that for Lanco. It's like they troll me.

After general review of nooners, only worry I've got down here in LSV'ville is that 540's ticked north, and at 72hr out, still some subtle jogs left to decide winners and losers....Hoping that trend stops, but as many of us know, that is something that happens all too often. That said, there should be a decent amount of winners in our group (norther/westers).

Definitely the "hug worthy model" . Nice to see nooners upping the % of a widespread event for many snow starved geeses (cause y'all LOVE geeses).

Iget ya. For me/others its all about consensus building and creating goalposts. Happy to see its on board for something. Thats all.