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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. pasnownut
    Shouldnt you be chasing Minnie Mouse around right now??
  2. pasnownut
    thats what my hope is and why I shared the 700's as they show primary pressing right up into wva. it was also evident to a lesser degree on 0z run for CMC, so lets hope its not onto something. 700/850's look fine w/ critical thickness well S of M/D line. CAD feauture also very evident, so IF there was some credence to this solution, I'd think taint in in our hood would be sleet and no ice.
  3. pasnownut
    lol I also saw that, and chuckled.
  4. pasnownut
    Yep, I'm glad to see it came around. GFS/Icon look just fine. CMC a little less fine, but still as you state a great event. my worry is that we are still 72+ out and many outcomes gooder or badder are possible. Based on 700's you can easily see what the CMC was doing as it pops the primary and holds it too long. GFS doesnt show that. Icon also keeps a cleaner look w/ SLP well south.
  5. pasnownut
    the more dig on backside down in Texas early on is the culprit, and imo we need to root for that not to happen, and keep this a little more progressive for a clean event. Otherwise, taint word gets tossed in
  6. pasnownut
    togglin between majors, CMC trough axis notably more neutral tilt, and others more pos/progressive.
  7. pasnownut
    primary held onto 114 and screwed my pooch.
  8. pasnownut
    Verbatim CMC is a step back for southern PA, but central/northers highly approve.
  9. pasnownut
    and based on qpf, sleet on top....no bueno for power concerns shared by some earlier.
  10. pasnownut
    CMC solution is not what i expected. Still a great event, but not as clean. Sharper trough axis it shows is likely culprit. CAD is strong on ALL models, so I'd think if this would verify, itd be sleet below MD line Huhh
  11. pasnownut
    yep at 102 it pops, but I'd think a quick transfer incoming (if this solution makes any sense)
  12. pasnownut
    qpf field ticked north, and that was all i was looking for from the souther outlier. Nice runs with subtle (but good) moves so far. Starting to feel it.
  13. pasnownut
    30 hr event on GFS. Just beautiful
  14. pasnownut
    snowmaps out to 114 also show tick N with best accums.
  15. pasnownut
    at 114, its a Pa pummeling with more to come. Liking the look. May not be epic, but really really nice.
  16. pasnownut
    at 96 GFS may take the bait and go whole hog here. Man it looks nice
  17. pasnownut
    GFS at 90., qpf field a tick N
  18. pasnownut
    Next up GFS. at 84 a little less strung out.
  19. pasnownut
    was going to say the same. Classic CAD signature on it.
  20. pasnownut
    Icon at 84 slightly north of 6z
  21. pasnownut
    at 66, ICON rather Euroesqe
  22. pasnownut
    Next up - its the Germans to keep hope alive.
  23. pasnownut
    yep that was NAM's vs the rest if memory served. Coup scored.
  24. pasnownut
    Extrapolate please
  25. pasnownut
    @66 hrs, 12z NAM looks a lot like 6z Euro at surface
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