pasnownut

verbatim the Poconos stand best chance w/ that second ULL going retro on much of us. Not gonna dive any deeper, but their ski slopes highly approve IMO.

Your weenie may grow after taking a peek at nooner NAM. Much of state would take this for a first of season event. I80 and northers surely approve

I've been of the opinion that 1 person behind the keyboard has 3 online personalities.

I pay no attention to other Pa threads and fully know what he's done in ours. My comments are solely on that.

nah....he'll cherrypick the one spot that shows an AN departure and troll the hell outta us w/ it. Having an agenda has no boundaries. Dubois probably wont be the spot though (now....I fully expect to be trolled). Water off a ducks back to me.

Yeah, its nice to have some events to keep an eye on, no matter what the final evolution is. Troughing is trying here in the east and that in itself is a win....even if many of us still lose. Us old folk are too wise to get caught up in last nights 18z and hold onto that skinny branch.

Really starting to like the look for Turk week n beyond. Morning GFS had too much coffee n went from nothing on 18z/0z to a nice coastal for turk day. Way too much variablity to parse details, but the look from above is notably different/better than what we've been seeing for the last few months. Personally, i'm just happy to see the changes...no matter if my yard is brown, or sprinkled w/ white. Northers/westers should def see some white.

not sure if any of us are believing anything yet, but regardless, its the first legit window of the season, and as stated earlier, it has some support. That in itself is worth chatting about for us snow starved weenies. Evolution on the HH GFS verbatim is a double barrel/duel retrograding pair of ULL's so that in itself give me pause, and I'd bet little money on that being how it plays out, but that aside, the 540s are well south of what we've been used to of late, and see troughiness here in the east (transient/short lived until a potentially bigger trough delivers frozen turkey for all is a sight for sore eyes, not matter how it pans out.

retrograding ULL noted on nooner NAM's says upslope potential is real for snow belt folks. While it is NAM's at range, they also have some global support, so its surely something to watch. Only thing I worry about, it that we've been in a pattern of seeing things dry up as they transition from mid term, to near term model wise. Fun to see all the same.

yeah, I noticed it on the GFS late last week and almost called it out, but was worried it was a fluke, as I've been focused on other things. Reading Bliz/Mag's post definitely raises ones eyebrow. Nice to see ENS runs showin the good stuff w/ troughing, and hoping that the neutral ENSO mutes the SER and we aren't full blown flamethrower here in the east. PDO is and likely will always be the main driver of the tellies (winter wise...when it really counts), but fortunately there's always a few other ways to get the goods....or get screwed. We've got screwed down pat, so here's to hoping we can find our way to some fun as the season approaches.

.01 over yonder in Akron.

maybe a weather word not often heard.... Graupel. Thanks for ticking the "winter" trackin up a notch... May only have a small window of opportunity this year, but we'll take what we can get.

So happy you've come back around friend.

Thanks pal. Wasn't the intent, but as I'm aging, I'm trying to do it w/ more humility and being real, and as I know @candersonpain, I just felt like sharing a little personal stuff that I typically don't do, as we all have crosses n challenges to bear everyday. If it resonates and makes some pick up the phone, pay a visit, or bury an axe....well I'll take it. I've got some good friends in here, that help to make my life "fuller". I appreciate you all as well. My village has many in it. I'm blessed.

Good on you for doing so, and sorry for your loss. told my bestie just that while we were pallbearers for one our our good friends that succumbed to the horrible C word (the other one)....this past spring. I spent the last few months of his life with him in and out of hospitals and bedside. Frequently told him just that. Life closed in a lot this year, as I lost/buried 5 in 3 month period earlier this year. Be humbled and thankful for what you have (especially health wise)...and complain less about what we dont have. Can't get friends back, but we'll see em on the other side.

1/4 sticks of dynamite will keep my hands from getting cold while "fishing".... that is if I dont blow them off while lighting fuse.

we'd all take a 120 over a 240 digi snow map. Hell, we hardly had any of them last year, and it only means there is half as much time left for sh!t to go sideways/south/north/ots...whatevs...

Last year we really did miss out on a couple periods that could have made a notable difference in our mindsets winterwise....

You guys are not the only 2 snowhounds.....some of us just pay a little less attention (ok for me... a LOT less), as it's just less painful...and better for my my mental well being.....and we all love pleasant surprises. Gonna b what its gonna be. My daughter is gettin shellacked in Colorado. Told her to send me pics.

Yep. Like you, I'm one of the few that love it. Mind you, my body is still in adjust mode, and that doesnt get easier as I get older. Guessing I'm not alone in that challenge. As we are a tad beyond the industrial revolution and the need to "save energy" and utilities consumption....I'd be down w/ keeping the clocks the same all year. So would my less than stellar sleep pattern.

and last but certainly not least.... Thanks to all that serve, have served, or support those that do. Your sacrifice and service is most appreciated, not just today, but EVERY day.

Was up north from last Tues night thru yesterday mornin. The warmth was felt up there for sure, but Saturday got back towards normalish fall feel. Glad we all got some rain. Gladder that the birds won, but hate that Dak is hurt. Not the way we wanna do it. Sounds season ending, but hopefully not. Looking at extended early this morning-then seeing Mag's post makes me feel a tad better about the upcoming start to holiday season. Love this time of year. Happy mid fall y'all.

yesterday morning it was 27 deg in Hautzdale (outside of Phillipsburg). Huge frost/freeze, so he may still be thawing out fingers to type on keyboard.

I saw 30-35 on way into office Brrr

I'm sorry that he's now lurking in your thread. He's been muckin it up in ours for a few years, and a few of us early on called him out on is one sided agenda...and finally others are catching on. He does a disservice to real objective climate chatter, as his is rather one sided, and now that others are catching onto him, he's looking for other regions to try to advance his agenda. Sorry for you, but hopefully he'll stay in your thread, where I'm guessing his welcome will wear out much more quickly than our group. Hoping you guys get a good winter up there. Were all due.