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pasnownut

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Everything posted by pasnownut

  1. no matter how next week does or doesnt happen (12z cuts to miller B well north of us), the pattern beyond APPEARS to be more fun, w/ some blues close enough to heighten spirits as we get into the holiday swing of things.
  2. Since we are clarifying, I'm assumed your idea of FUN is colder and seeing blue popping up on maps. Not necessarily shoveling snow outta ones driveway. Thats how I took it anyway.
  3. Ens guidance supports the reload and is not too dissimilar to the Ops on the 500MB loops (generally speaking). Thats the continuity we need. NAO/AO/PNA are all workable in that timeframe and dont go against what the models are showing, and supportive of the slight ridge/trough regime being advertised on globals. Good signs.
  4. Really liking next weeks weather (and beyond). Going to be nice to hear chatter about flakes flying and getting into the holiday season. Saw 3 folks with christmas stuff out and lit last evening.
  5. Total QPF on GFS suite shows east getting some appreciable precip as well. Lets hope the pattern change delivers. Not sure how much coin to throw in, but I'm surely not foldin...
  6. and to add to above, broad slight ridging out west w/ skightly +PNA and some troughiness here in the east, but at times has a zonalish kinda progression, but not a horrid SE ridge by any means.
  7. It definately looks better if one holds much weight in Ens guidance, it will surely be a pattern that might give a little to some of us. Cherrypicked for weenie purposes. if one rolls through GFS ENS 2m temp anomalies, lots n lots of peeps gonna b feeling the blues.
  8. GFS op at 6z showed multiple opps for some early fluffy stuff. 3 distinct chances w/ LES to follow most. Were it mid winter, many would be pretty happy w/ what it shows. Boiled down to reality, it still looks like early winter is trying to make its presence known for a period.
  9. I'm smoking 1 this weekend before any potential early winter shenanigan's occur, so bring it....
  10. Yeah, it's dry for sure. Hoping some of the chances come to light in the next week. I fear they may go poof for a while longer....just like our snow does.
  11. Since its almost Turkey time, I just parsed over the Ens guidance (as I was out for a few days), and have to say I'm liking the trends here in the east for next week. Looks chilly and some snow showers for normal lucky ones, and they may add some spirit to the season (assuming trends continue). Likely transient, but will be a chilly period if this verifies.
  12. Absolutely. I'm all about helping the little guy, and we are very fortunate to have a lot of "little guys" in the brewery space in PA. They were at a local pub the other week, and Josh and his crew were really cool.
  13. Not sure how the food is, but go to New Trail brewery. Beer is good. All I've got for ya. https://newtrailbrewing.com/
  14. My "bar" at the cabin, is an antique shelf 2 x 10 that is approx 6' long and is loaded w/ various spirits. While I've got to be a "good boy" right now, you'd see me w/ Miller Lite, or sippin on some blackberry brandy, or bourbon on the rox/club soda (bullet). After seeing your drinks from last week....i know, I should be kicked outta the drinkin club. I've got nothing on you bud. Cheers all the same.
  15. Frosty pumpkins for almost everyone...Saturday afternoon highs in the 40's will frost em over Sat. night. I love November.
  16. It'll rain at the cabin. Seems to do that whenever we have a big trip planned. Weekend also looking rather Autumnal. Gonna enjoy it.
  17. Glad to hear you are having a good trip bud. I'll be on the hill tomorrow evening and for the rest of the week. Like you, I look forward to the silence (except when interludes of laughter can be hear from good friends/family tha'll be joining me)... as we hope to do our civic duty by keeping dead deer off the road, and in our freezers, as they'll not go to waste there.
  18. Just read your post after I responded to his. We agree (not that my opinion amounts too much....but your not alone in your thinking.
  19. I'll take my chances with an early SSW, and hope for Feb climo to do its thing. I also feel its beneficial for early cold/snow to help the boundary stay further south w/ cold/snow established up north.
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