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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. mahk_webstah
    Exactly. Down that way and around concord
  2. mahk_webstah
    I asked that yesterday. The forecast seems to have winds gusting past 30 in the snow will get powdery or later in the day. I would think they would be blizzard conditions somewhere east and north of Concord New Hampshire and west of Portsmouth and Portland Maine
  3. mahk_webstah
    That’s a weird map. 6-8 in concord and 12-18 in Laconia? With 2-4 just north of concord? I get 3 and you get 15? I mean my house is a literally less than 5 miles from the 2 to 4 zone, the 6 to 8 zone, the 8 to 12 zone, and the 12 to 18 zone,. It might even be in that little blue spot just north of Concord. That map is trying to speak to elevation in a way that’s not realistic I think.
  4. mahk_webstah
    I think you should be somewhere where you can walk around. You are probably good where you are for 10+ at least according to the zone forecast. If I were you and wanting to leave I would probably go south towards the hills of Northern Massachusetts north of Worcester or maybe in the Monadnocks. But you don’t wanna be sitting in some hotel along the side of a highway. You got to be able to walk around.
  5. mahk_webstah
    You’re my hero
  6. mahk_webstah
    And the zones reflect that
  7. mahk_webstah
    Yeah but in a changeover situation it is nicer to not be 39 or 40 while it’s raining and we’re waiting.
  8. mahk_webstah
    Colder than forecast here. 33 here now and maybe that means quicker changeover in the am
  9. mahk_webstah
    If you head east, Dover nh is a cool town
  10. mahk_webstah
    You could make a last-minute decision in the morning based on how things look.You could make a last-minute decision in the morning based on how things look.
  11. mahk_webstah
    Yes, it has seem like both you and me would get into that heavy band, especially given the track of the surface low. I don’t know enough to look at all the other stuff like the mid-level low tracks and all that sort of thing.
  12. mahk_webstah
    Given the projected wind and snowfall rates 1 to 3 in./h for a while, would there need to be a blizzard warning for somewhere? Probably somewhere east of me to maybe five or 10 miles from the coast? My forecast has winds gusting to 40 tomorrow and 30 tomorrow night
  13. mahk_webstah
    I guess the question is whether that is legit, I mean the tightening shield. Or will the precip be more expansive
  14. mahk_webstah
    That should translate nicely. 3/hour? Glad it is happening in daylight
  15. mahk_webstah
    helluva forecast to have to make for the first storm, with all of the factors up here...ratios, rates, etc. But the recent models are all 12+ go 8-15? probably more like 6-12. Or live large at 1-2'? Probably only do that overnight if the outputs continue to show ~2"qpf.
  16. mahk_webstah
    It is kinda cool when like 5 models in a row give you 1 to 2'. Could be a lot of very surprised people tomorrow afternoon
  17. mahk_webstah
    Good idea! Town of henniker
  18. mahk_webstah
    I’d keep going up 93 to Loon or Woodstock. Or maybe Plymouth which is a college town. In all these cases you won’t have to drive far off of 93 and you will have restaurants nearby. You will want to have nice places to walk around. If you don’t have the right vehicle though, you won’t be able to leave until 93 is wet. Probably Sunday afternoon
  19. mahk_webstah
    that 23.3 just east of me is through 10pm Saturday night? That must have some insane rates and it might not be over then? Even if we do that old ETA rule to cut qpf by a third, that is a great storm. Also NAM Euro rule here. I was going to set 6" as the over under but now might be 8. Jeff looks right on the edge if that band sets up west of him, but won't coastal ME finish well as it collapses to the coast?
  20. mahk_webstah
    I imagine a whole bunch of watches are going to go up in the afternoon package. Let’s hope Chris and Mike are on the shift today and tonight
  21. mahk_webstah
    a 2ft blizzard for Jeff
  22. mahk_webstah
    these have been gut punches here usually, lately. for you, some deformation band or upslope will suddenly appear and you'll have a foot.
  23. mahk_webstah
    When there is this much uncertainty in models I just assume it won’t work out well. But the Euro-nam thing does have a history so I guess this could be a big interior cne nne storm.
  24. mahk_webstah
    I think that is better for more of us, as opposed to those overwhelming Greenland blocks that shove out everything too far south for us up here.
  25. mahk_webstah
    Psychologically, I believe his melt may have served to clear the Freudian deck, so I think we’re good for snow now.
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