mahk_webstah

We're gonna have a gay old time!

might'nt we triple point and keep the upper levels<32?

yes up here I like a -PNA when we can get enough -AO to Miller B or SWFE. Scott seems to raise the possibility there won't be enough from above to make that happen. It would seem quite possible, perhaps likely, that it will trend to that better scenario though

Lol...its the kiddie playground in some of your pics.

Jeff you are in your 60s with young kids? You also had a kid late Jerry? I should talk to each of you off-line because we are going to make a decision in the next three months about whether to have a couple of kids. Hard to imagine being in my early 70s with the kid just graduating high school.

Oh Cold Miser...it was years not decades

Double nickel here but I’m just slowly and sometimes painfully coming into my own. Sort of like this pattern.

Is the dropping AO, the increasing NAO blocking not enough to push it to redevelop on the coast? Because that is nine days out in the long range forecast has shown a drop in AO and NAO is that not correct? So if it really is a cutter does not suggest that the long range predictions could be wrong yet again?

The LR outlook says “blessed are those who mourn for they shall be comforted.”

more to do in Rehoboth Beach/Lewes

The wait continues, but I like the sound of this from WPC. I also like artic air incursions to be focused to our west a bit at this time of the year, perhaps that leaves room for amplification and Miller Bs for us. And if there s blocking to our NE then does that not also slow the flow and ensure a source of cold air? A trend is becoming evident among the guidance that a rather significant pattern change could begin to unfold toward the latter portion of the medium range and beyond. Model/ensemble solutions continue to trend stronger with the upper ridge across western North America by the middle of next week, while a downstream upper vortex deepens north of Hudson Bay, setting up broad north-northwesterly flow from the Arctic into central Canada. Farther south across the CONUS, the flow appears to remain progressive, originating in the North Pacific, which should limit the southward intrusion of arctic air into the CONUS for now. Nonetheless, would expect an area of arctic air to begin pooling across central Canada by the middle of next week, with the potential for incursions southward, especially into the Midwest/Great Lakes.

You getting into those 35 echoes yet Jeff?

Pivoting!!!!! Enjoy... nothing big here, 2.5 or so, but very very beautiful and a nice morning walk.

2.5 big birch bender here. Looks like Jeff is in the pivot

GYX thinks it will wrap around and has increased us to 1-3 daytime. I see the echoes wrapping back and it should be snowing here again shortly. This augers well for our friends in Maine.

Seems odd but as the heavy echoes pushed away the snow stopped but now is becoming slowly heavier (steady light accumulating but no development of new echoes. Looking at the radar we look done but we arentaren’t

Gyx Writing about potential for a heavy band developing later this morning. I think that’s for me and eventually for you but it’s unclear. They haven’t change the forecast yet though for a half an inch of snow today

Have you switched? Some beautiful snow, pretty much perfect. Hope you get the fluffs

We switched about the same time. Eager to go out and measure but I’m thinking 3. I haven’t seen such fat fluffy snow for a long time. The stuff would pile up 2 inches an hour easy although I think it’s going to end soonI haven’t seen such fat fluffy snow for a long time. If the stuff to our west keeps currently in and re-developing we could actually get close to high end advisory criteria here

Snowing nicely again with fat fluffy dendrites that pile up fast. Looks to be brief though unless more curls in from our west. Dunno if that will happen but at least we have some nice snow cover before the cold comes. Probably near 3 inches looking at the grill

Oh my looks like it snowed a couple inches. Was only mixed at 4:30 when I got up to pee. Hope there is more to come

I didn’t think that the cold advection would be starting so soon. I thought that was tomorrow morning. Is that because the energy starts to go underneath us and cuts off the flow from the south? Sorry for the questions

What is the mechanism that cools us aloft?

I heard sleet briefly. This batch is almost through. The big batch in PA is impressive! I wonder what temps aloft will do after this batch and before the one in PA.

Confusing!!! Lol I’ll see what’s happening when I wake up around 6am