mahk_webstah

Not too much I hope. I like where it is. But it will oscillate and maybe nudge north in the end.

Even if it doesn’t max out, we are in and near the beginning of a good stretch, most likely. It’s gonna be very deep winter here by Monday morning, and we’ll probably keep adding to it even if we get fringed. At some point, they’ll probably be another couple moderate or large storms by March. Been a while since we’ve had this kind of winter, at least the second half. I’m home all the time now with the babies and mostly just focused on the babies and eating and the gym so I’m really able to enjoy the winter unfolding.

In my experience, occasional but not necessarily every year. They are awesome at one level, but you don’t really wanna stay out in it for very long. I think it was the winner of 2013 and 14 maybe where we had a heavy storm with temperatures in the very low single digits. you’re too young to talk about the good old days.

At least around here, I don’t think so. The heaviest stuff will probably be brief, but they have precipitation in the form of freezing drizzle going into the evening.

Sunday is headed in a good direction and that map is only through 7am

We prefer fluff to sand

Structure of system good for many. Northern band and good ratios but south enough for many. 6-10er in general it seems

I’m sure. It is a remarkably fast moving system. But pretty rare to see it so cold just before snow breaks out.

Ranging from -1 to -6 with snow starting in 3 hours or so.

GYX brings good news for many up here and further south .LONG TERM /FRIDAY NIGHT THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... Long Term Update...Main focus for the update was to update this weekend`s snow event. Overall, guidance has slowly trended south with QPF max as the forecast low`s center passes south of Long Island and out into the open Atlantic. It is progressive, but pulls with it a decent plume of moisture. There continues to be a good signal for higher snow ratios with a deep snow growth layer and lift within it. Finer details will come into view, but will need to watch for banding that lingers on the north side of the storm that could enhance snowfall amounts across the southern to central part of the CWA. Timing did shift later with recent guidance potentially not beginning until later Saturday evening through the overnight hours into Sunday morning.

Wpc honking hard for heavy snow Sunday of more than 8” from about the mass ct border up to the southern whites. Looks like a fast moving hard hitting storm

Enjoying what might happen from the day 7 Wpc map for Feb 13:

Wrong thread

This is Coochie Kuo so reduce accordingly. I also realize now that it is not the mean but the operational total. But still respectable after two storms.

I printed out and have in my file his email the night before the January 96 storm. The projected snow totals were so high. He really couldn’t quite believe what he was forecasting. It was a great read if I put my hands on it I’ll take some screenshots and post it on here somewhere

What do you make of the ensembles of the European which show a lot of snow by Monday? Probably close to 10 inches just for you and maybe 13 or 14 for me?

I know it’s been more than 20 years for me. Until 2008 I was in Philly and my screen name was mark in Philly. I think it was 1995 or 96 when I started on that board. I have a memory of a guy named Gary Gray From the DC area and he used to make really long detailed posts and I remember his posts from the blizzard of 96.

New from WPC. One to 2 inch per band but fast moving Farther north into Upstate NY and New England, much of theprecipitation is expected to fall as snow. The intensifying WAAwill result in a band of heavy snow as the resultant 850-700mb fgendrives intense ascent into the DGZ just above. This will cause aburst of snow lifting SW to NE Thursday, first in the Poconos, thenall points northeast, including New York City and Boston. Snowfallrates within this burst could reach 1-2"/hr as reflected by the WPCprototype snowband tool and HREF probabilities, but rapidtranslation of this band northeast will somewhat limit totalaccumulations. Still, substantial impacts are likely, and WPCprobabilities are high (>70%) for more than 4" of snow in thehigher terrain from the Adirondacks into the Greens and Whites,with lesser accumulations likely in the lower elevations.

SOUKD some of us knew different

Your friend Kuchera is always welcome here!!!

It would certainly help me manage my energy during the day. And then the storm should be over by the time the Super Bowl starts.

Having the cowboys suck year after year is helping!

I suppose it depends on how you define big dogs but next week could bring a pretty big snowstorm

From NYC thread. This shows where we’re headed. Well over an inch for most of New England and the Wednesday storm isn’t finished yet. WPC tends to be a little conservative. we are stepping into a fantastic few weeks of winter. We deserve it!

The only one that seems similar to me is PD2. That was a week low with very strong over running with a jet that was five standard deviations I think. February 83 and January 1996 were Miller A