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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. Wunderground for here keeps increasing. Now 5-8, but nws is 1-3. What models is Wunderground using? I expect nws to win that battle but clearly some uncertainties and wildcards abound
  2. Euro AI just out and I think the 10th and 11th look better and interesting. And then a few days later the transfer to the coast happens on the low moves just south of Long Island towards the east. The next one for the 18th and 19th still looks like a cutter with a strong primary, but there is a surface reflection clearer now than it was yesterday on the coast. At least that’s how I interpreted it.
  3. You can’t regret something that you don’t have any control over . maybe you are regretting your hope
  4. Wunderground bumped me up to almost 3. So maybe this is slightly amping
  5. Well glad there are some possibilities, but we are slowly and steadily moving to the time of year when I prefer big storms to smaller pack builders. But we’ll see. in the end It doesn’t really matter compared to everything else in my life that has my attention, and of course we have no control over it anyhow
  6. Looked at euro AI, WPC before I looked here. prospects have worsened I think.
  7. What I like about next weekend is there’s been a signal for quite a while now. Probably something decent but uncertain and the euro AI got worse, showing a Miller a sliding off the southeast and middle Atlantic coast although a strong system. But I’m also interested in the 10-11th because euro AI got markedly better with that.
  8. New euro ai 6 z 10-11 look better particularly sne cne 13-14 looks very nice 18th shows a strong primary way north Northwest over the Midwest and then into southern Canada with no strong secondary popping. That’s a big shift.
  9. I noticed that the euro AI is also good. Gets a 992 primary into Michigan though but pops coastal s of LI to 993 at MV and then lingers and eventually goes e ast from GOM.
  10. Interesting distribution of QPF. Maybe high ratios?
  11. Trends on euro AI look good for next week. I’ve been looking at it once or twice a day for about a week now. Also looks like maybe an inverted trough for Friday night and Saturday maybe a small event the 10th 11th and then a bigger one a couple of days later
  12. Looks to me like euro ai got worse, more cutterish for 14-15th with strong primary Midwest and redevelopment later and on gulf of maine
  13. Saw that on euro AI. Evolution of Feb 13-15 was interesting
  14. Are you suggesting that we just fill it in maybe with concrete or something?
  15. Euro AI not too interested in 5-6th except frontal squalls I think. Clipper on the 10th and then swfe string redeveloper 14-15th. Looks like high pressure holds to our north.
  16. I remember that scenario from I think 2023 or was it 2022. I did look at the euro AI which has a couple of minor events until something potentially bigger towards the 15th or 14th maybe. Then something that looks like it wants to cut on the 16th or 17th.
  17. But what about Bering vortex paired with -nao? Wouldn’t nao help maintain highs to dam and or force redevelopment?
  18. Maybe we need to flirt with the edge for a bit in order to get some precip
  19. What’s worked is Southwest flow/over running type situations in the occasional clipper. They are more predictable and dependable. A great coastal can be awesome every once in a while, but they are a few and far between and very fickle. I think towards mid month we get into a much better pattern for snow specially with all the cold air around. I think we’re gonna have a good run.
  20. What’s worked is Southwest flow/over running type situations in the occasional clipper. They are more predictable and dependable. A great coastal can be awesome every once in a while, but they are a few and far between and very fickle. I think towards mid month we get into a much better pattern for snow specially with all the cold air around. I think we’re gonna have a good run.
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