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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. Didn’t think I was going to have to pull the tractor out for this two day event. I think I’ve got about 6 inches of fluff between these two storms. Definitely a win for a long lasting snow pack, and some insulation. Hopefully we don’t hit 15 below and ruin the peaches. In fact, if that cold that is model just backs off a little bit it’ll probably let that storm run up here closer.
  2. I was in Philly for that storm and it was tremendous. A lot of small flakes and Arctic sand though but still 18 inches with a lot of sleet at the end on top of that. But I think there was some hugely anomalously jet that was like five standard deviations above normal or something.
  3. What do you mean by lighting up like a Christmas tree?
  4. Fair enough. I’m just saying I feel like I’ve seen this scenario play out many times and it almost always trends north. But not always. So I’m not really taking anything so to speak. It just seems that there are some signals that this will trend north.
  5. I didn’t expect to wake up to accumulating snow. It’s light, but I imagine it’s really high ratio fluff because the radar is not impressive at all. looks like the snow is still going nicely in southeast New England
  6. Suppression risk is high, but we’re five or six days out now so don’t we take the AI models significantly further north output seriously?
  7. Don’t know what I have but steady light accumulating snow is still going. Probably two more inches overnight, but I have to go outside.
  8. You have to think this comes north substantially. Might be on the northern fringe up here but in the end, I bet it’s moderate to heavy all the way from central New England down through DC. I realize that suppression is real and that that could happen but over running trends north usually especially in large scale over running set ups.
  9. This is one of the most ironic comments in the history of the board
  10. I thought you were snowing today? I hope you get five or 6 inches tonight. Fingers crossed.
  11. Absolutely but for meteorologists, and for very skilled and knowledgeable hobbies like yourself, you want to know which models to use at what point and in what context. So if that’s where the AI models are now then that’s where they are.
  12. Maybe that’s the take away. Good with the pattern in the medium range but not great with the details in the short range. If that’s the case, that would be a good thing to know going forward.
  13. I was just about to post that it looks to me like the radar down in the mid Atlantic is heading more northeast. I’m sure it will still give a good snowstorm to southeast New England but I don’t think I’m getting one to 3 inches up here unless there’s some sort of inverted trough.
  14. Surprised to see the snow starting to break out this far up. I don’t think that was in any forecast, but it hasn’t started here yet though it looks like it’s going too soon. I wonder if what we get is just a broader area of 2 to 4 inches and then some areas get six or eight maybe
  15. Sorry to hear about the fall. I’m so conscious about where I’m walking these days because I’m often carrying 20 month old. Hopefully you feel OK tomorrow. Looks like you have a snow pack that’s gonna be around for a long time.
  16. About 2 inches as of 130. 7 inches on the ground in the woods. 3 inches looks like a short bet and maybe a decent shot at four up here. Glad to see that the weekend is shaping up to they are pretty good one for most all of them
  17. Who knows about tomorrow but 3-5 today and 1-3 tomorrow is a good weekend
  18. GYX upping for today. 3-5. Must like what they are seeing upstream
  19. AI with the crossover? GFS and Euro broken ankles?
  20. 12z could be the backing off or leveling out. But it could keep trending. Feels like it’ll keep trending but I’ve been down that road before.
  21. Nothing like being in the middle of a workout when the modelling is suddenly getting better. I was on the elliptical for the “ain’t happening James” storm model drama. Best cardio workout ever.
  22. Sounds like you’ve had your first cup of coffee. Good luck! May we all be snowpacked by Monday
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