mahk_webstah

I noticed that the euro AI is also good. Gets a 992 primary into Michigan though but pops coastal s of LI to 993 at MV and then lingers and eventually goes e ast from GOM.

Interesting distribution of QPF. Maybe high ratios?

Trends on euro AI look good for next week. I’ve been looking at it once or twice a day for about a week now. Also looks like maybe an inverted trough for Friday night and Saturday maybe a small event the 10th 11th and then a bigger one a couple of days later

For you?

Looks to me like euro ai got worse, more cutterish for 14-15th with strong primary Midwest and redevelopment later and on gulf of maine

Saw that on euro AI. Evolution of Feb 13-15 was interesting

Are you suggesting that we just fill it in maybe with concrete or something?

We flirt

Euro AI not too interested in 5-6th except frontal squalls I think. Clipper on the 10th and then swfe string redeveloper 14-15th. Looks like high pressure holds to our north.

I remember that scenario from I think 2023 or was it 2022. I did look at the euro AI which has a couple of minor events until something potentially bigger towards the 15th or 14th maybe. Then something that looks like it wants to cut on the 16th or 17th.

But what about Bering vortex paired with -nao? Wouldn’t nao help maintain highs to dam and or force redevelopment?

Maybe we need to flirt with the edge for a bit in order to get some precip

What’s worked is Southwest flow/over running type situations in the occasional clipper. They are more predictable and dependable. A great coastal can be awesome every once in a while, but they are a few and far between and very fickle. I think towards mid month we get into a much better pattern for snow specially with all the cold air around. I think we’re gonna have a good run.

What’s worked is Southwest flow/over running type situations in the occasional clipper. They are more predictable and dependable. A great coastal can be awesome every once in a while, but they are a few and far between and very fickle. I think towards mid month we get into a much better pattern for snow specially with all the cold air around. I think we’re gonna have a good run.

It’s interesting that you are losing patience after just having had a storm of almost 2 feet. but I understand it. The times I really crave are the couple of days leading up to a storm, obviously the storm itself, and then the next couple of days. That’s why once I have a snow pack I don’t need a big storm as much, I’m happy with 3 to 6 inch storms on top of a snow pack because if you have 20 inches on the ground and it’s snowing hard and you’re getting 4 inches. it feels like a big storm. there is a psychology to this that I don’t fully understand

It’s different up here. The cold is deep and the snowpack isn’t super deep, but it’s very solid and should be for a good long while. I think it’s snow piles up here from mid month on.

-8 here but I think we hit -9 one morning. Grateful that we haven’t hit the peach killing -15. Afraid though that that might happen in this next cold snap which looks pretty fearsome next week.

February 6 eighth does not look exciting but could give us a nice refresher. It appears to me that the next period of interest is around the 13th of 14th. My view is that at some point the dry pattern will break and it’ll probably start to get good around mid month and given the reversal stratosphere thing that might continue through a good part of March. What’s your take?

I look at the euro AI model twice a day now. Looks like the idea of a clipper moving down across New England at a very sharp angle and developing way offshore and hooking into Maritime Canada continues. Would be nice if that blew up closer to shore, but it looks like we get some precipitation. Then the 14th and 15th look interesting with what appears to be a southwest flow event that then re-develops in the mid Atlantic and up just along the southern New England coast line. So seems that there is some potential over the next two weeks.

Kinda missing this analogy.

Looked at the euro AIFS this morning. February 5 is very suppressed but February 7 and eighth look kind of interesting although I’m not sure I understand the evolution. Northern Stream low drops down slips off the coast to our southeast while dropping precipitation on all of New England and then when it’s well offshore it hooks and curls up into southeast Canada. Seems like that could evolve into something really interesting possibly

Wrong board

We’ll get Feb 5-6 warmed up n ready fer ya

Phase change HA storm?