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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. mahk_webstah
    How do you think it plays up my way near Concord? When is good for the coast? It’s usually not good here but if there’s a good easterly flow, we can do pretty well.
  2. mahk_webstah
    A bit low
  3. mahk_webstah
    I was tempted to think we might be more like 12 to 16 but I have seen on a number of the precipitation outputs that they are are lower numbers in the Merrimack Valley like often happens due to banding to our south or north. So I’m also thinking about 10 to 14.
  4. mahk_webstah
    I find the office up here, GYX, it’s pretty darn good. Sometimes I think they’re going to be way off and then in the end their forecast is usually on target
  5. mahk_webstah
    Also looks like the duration has increased. Last night they were saying a start here at 5 PM and now they’re saying 3 PM. But I think it’s gonna be more like 12 or one because that usually happens with these kinds of storms. But they have it snowing until early evening Monday so they are thinking more than 24 hours. I imagine along the coast or closer to the coast where you are, the duration could be even longer.
  6. mahk_webstah
    Wow, that seems to have gotten dramatically better for Maine.
  7. mahk_webstah
    Seems like five straight days or something where the GFS has had a big storm. I think the euro has had a signal, right? No one is really talked about the other model suites during this timeframe.
  8. mahk_webstah
    Why is it increasing?
  9. mahk_webstah
    That’s not a good sign
  10. mahk_webstah
    I sacrifice $5000 of work in 1996 for that blizzard in Philly was probably 15,000 inflation right now. You can’t spend $2000 on the flight ticket get home to a big storm?
  11. mahk_webstah
    Up here GYX is saying we don’t start until after 5 PM on Sunday. That seems late based on what I’ve been seeing and reading. And I don’t think it would be more than maybe three or four hours after you start.
  12. mahk_webstah
    If it makes it across
  13. mahk_webstah
    I haven’t told anyone yet, but Taunton is my life coach
  14. mahk_webstah
    Maybe the thread title, if this continues, could be “I wanna have HECS with you”
  15. mahk_webstah
    I don’t remember the exact set up, but I do remember several days of signals from multiple model suites that there would be a band up here in Dendriteland.
  16. mahk_webstah
    I wish the bulk of this wasn’t falling overnight
  17. mahk_webstah
    I think my forecast has it around four or 5° on Sunday night during the heaviest snow. Don’t think I’ve seen that since maybe 2013 or 14.
  18. mahk_webstah
    The worst punishment for a snow weenie would be no phone or computer and no looking out the window
  19. mahk_webstah
    Seems the GFSAI has a deeper and closer coastal low than the euro AI
  20. mahk_webstah
    And you might be able to say that is quite possible
  21. mahk_webstah
    991 at the Cape? That seems pretty significant.
  22. mahk_webstah
    Unfortunately, there’s still plenty of time for things to go wrong
  23. mahk_webstah
    Oh, I think you’re right. But I think it’s not just weenies who assume that the top range of a forecast is what will verify. The general public I think falls into that trap.
  24. mahk_webstah
    Well, you know a lot more than I do lol. Maybe 10 to 20 would’ve been better.
  25. mahk_webstah
    You are reflecting the trap in snowfall forecasting. if a meteorologist forecasts 6 to 12 inches people immediately say there’s gonna be a foot of snow. One to 2 feet reflects the reality of the models as Jeff said earlier, which is regionwide 12+. It would not be surprising that there would be lollies 2 feet. Yes it’s aggressive three days out, but it lets people know this is gonna be an exceptional storm. Just the cold itself is gonna make it exceptional beyond heavy snow.
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