mahk_webstah

it wants to come north.

50/50 it’s pretty good when it comes to intense coastal storms. But are you becoming one of these AI tech icons? Don’t forget the rest of us back here in the real world where people live not robots.

We don’t have a February thread and we probably should. There are I’m sure other dates of interest for early February. I can start it but it’s not like I have any meteorological knowledge to add. But I’ll do it.

Not for you

It is pretty clear for me after the overnight runs that we are not in the game up here. I still think though, because this will get northerly component and not just slide east that the eastern parts particularly of southern New England are still going to have a decent snowstorm and I think it’ll trend in that direction. Best I can hope for us maybe 2 to 4 inches if lucky. Bummer because it’s fun to get back to back big storms, but it’ll probably snow again in the next 10 days.

I think that is good advice. I like the WPC because they don’t change their view in a haphazard way. I think eastern areas should still have a good sense of optimism. If we can get a little bit of a tick to the west or at least not lose any ground between now and Wednesday then, as you said the early Thursday model runs, will probably tell the tale.

The WPC updated 3 to 7 day discussion and QPF and winter weather maps should keep some level of optimism in here particularly for eastern areas. What they are saying is that a strong storm is going to four and it’s going to come up the coast it’s just a matter of how close. Certainly it could say more out to see, but it is not at all uncommon for those things especially when they’re strong to just move a little closer and have expansive precipitation fields. A few inches to refresh would be very nice if it’s like if that’s all it is.

That’s why I still have some optimism. It wants to come north, and it wouldn’t be so surprising to see a trend West and into the Gulf of Maine.

This hasn’t blurred to nothing. Look at the ensembles. The other thing is that this seems to want to come north the question is how far off the coast is it when it comes north. Check out the WPC depiction, which brings the storm north just outside of the Gulf of Maine. So if the track of this whole thing from off of the Carolinas just adjusts 100 miles west, and if it strengthens, it may curl back a bit as it gets further north. I kind of feel optimistic about this, although I hesitate to say that.

That tracks well with what I saw. We definitely got 6-7 inches yesterday. What a great day of snow.

On this past storm, there were a couple of runs 10 days out or so, maybe the GFS, that had this weekend storm slamming us. Then for a couple days, the models took everything south south south. Then the move north. What I’m saying is I find it’s not uncommon when there’s a big storm shown in the 7 to 10 day window that sort of disappears, it sometimes comes back. Especially with the coastal storm where the set up is a bit more delicate in terms of small things having big impacts. I would say the late night model runs tonight will give us a general direction.

?

You know what’s gonna happen right?

What you said earlier about this coming north and west. Uh-huh I’ve seen an EPS mean that’s look like that before and now we know what’s coming

That’s it? I think I had 6

At least

You are going to be over 14 inches soon. Do I have to take back my congratulations

Here comes the widespread 20 inches for southern New England

You can see the heavier echoes continuing to blossom up here. I mean, maybe we have an hour or two left? This is become pretty special up here as I’m guessing I am at 15 inches but I’ll have to look later or in the morning.

It just keeps going and going and going for most of 30 hours now. Kevin special. 79115603273__C323C0E5-943C-4347-909B-E66E1313C113.MOV

Beautiful scene today 79115272859__BADF9B21-21CB-4D4F-8C09-482A1B5AFF31.MOV

The snow growth is amazing right now. I’m pretty sure by now. I’m at least at 13 inches maybe more than 14. I’m going to be very interested in what Brian’s ratio from today’s snow shows.

Why do you think it will come further northern west if you don’t mind

Interesting GYX discussion. Calling for 3 to 6 through this evening with a period of heavy snow later today in this evening in my zones. Apparently, even though the radar looks like it’s ending there is more energy still to come through and act on the leftover lift and moisture.

Yup. And there’s your double digits. You’re gonna end up comfortably in your 10 to 14 range.