mahk_webstah

The great promise month of December just got better not worse. Plenty of cold air and an active storm track and signs that late month will not warm up.

There’s a lot of scar tissue in this forum. But with scar tissue, you just have to break it up and scrape it away.

And you would think that northern Greenland is a less suppressive for most of New England

Miller A always a bit risky the farther north we get. Could be a problem up here, but you’re pretty close to the coast.

It was a massacre

Same here. It’s cute.

I grew up in Dover, DE. We had lots of good winters between 1977 and 1996. At least 4 16"+ storms and good stretches of deep cold, iced/skating ponds, etc.

If that trough out west progresses east, that could be a good set up?

1st legit possibility. But still a longshot.

Oh my God that has to be saved and used repeatedly this winter

Just saw this. Devastating. So glad to hear about the good news for May!

That’s exciting!!! Time to tap your optimistic side-your baby needs it!

We’re definitely getting used to winning Super Bowls.

I think the green really does look great in the snow. run

This may be the person you’re referring to in Henniker, but we had a sick heron on our property about 10 years ago and we took it to her and about two weeks later we picked the bird up completely rehab and re-released it on our pond. She was great at least with our bird. But I think she specializes in birds And I don’t know her name.

I’m only in if WPC is in

I’m not looking at the data but compared to many recent past years it seemed to cool off more quickly here this year and we’ve had a number of frost and freeze starting in October instead of November like it has been in some years. Seems to be setting up for some good early winter actually Over the next 4 to 6 weeks. I’m looking forward to it.

The best city in the country. The heart of America and the home of the Birds

It is always better to forecast %above or below normal vs specific amounts over such a diverse area

Totally but we’ve had such a warm fall that I wouldn’t mind a quick turn to winter and that pattern could probably yield some early snow

I’m just focused on the development of blocking later this month

From AER blog: Siberian snow cover got off to a quick start in September and that has continued into October (see Figure ii), however it seems to me the rapid advance of late September has slowed a bit in October. In fact in a bit f an unusual twist the surface temperatures have been more impressive this month (as in cold) than the snow cover, typically it is the reversed. Above normal Siberian snow cover extent (SCE) favors a weak polar vortex this winter and more widespread severe winter weather across the NH. But the persistence of the pattern that is supportive of a rapid advance of Siberian snow cover for remainder of the month remains cloudy and uncertain in my opinion. As I thought might happen and mentioned in the last blog, the trough across Siberia transitions to high-pressure ridging, this scenario is now predicted by the models. That would greatly reduce the odds of a weak polar vortex and colder weather this winter. This seems to have been a fairly common occurrence the past few Octobers. If there is a sign that the cavalry is coming (that is if you are a winter weather enthusiast) it is the development and even dominance of Greenland blocking. That should squash any Siberian ridging and resume the rapid advance of Siberian SCE. But predicting high latitude blocking is a known model weakness and confidence for the second half of October is low

Delighted that my tomatoes and peppers shall continue for another couple of weeks. Very late ripening this year, but the sweetness of the tomatoes in unparalled for me, and there are dozens left that are close to ripe. Lotsa gazpacho in the freezer.

Enjoy the summer because it’ll be gone real soon. I’ve been getting over to Ogunquit Beach once every week or 10 days early in the morning to just enjoy the walk and soak in some morning sun. The good life.

Sage advice