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mahk_webstah

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Everything posted by mahk_webstah

  1. It’s not happening, at least down here
  2. that temp profile cools just enough if the low is stronger I would think. Not enough for SNE obviously, but perhaps enough up here. It might not end up stronger, but it seems possible.
  3. Off topic, like this thread, but if you want information, motivation, and direction, read Peter Attia's new book called Outlive. Best thing I've read from a reliable source with the latest research on health, longevity, but also healthspan (living healthy as long as possible).
  4. Ticking towards a moderate storm here. A couple more ticks please at this high point of climo snow. Jeff’s sledding trip looks good.
  5. That was great presentation! I remember the storm. I lived in Dover DE and we were the 25". What a blast walking around in 5"/hour snow. My best storm until Jan 6 96 in Philly.
  6. This is what I am thinking. I wish I understood the synoptic forces better in terms of what would help this to be a stronger, coastal low, that consolidate a little sooner. But this is peak Climo time for snow up here so maybe something can go in our favor. I figure will have a good idea when we wake up tomorrow.
  7. I’ll see if the trend can be our friend and if the GFS can get back to what it was showing yesterday and the day before
  8. The issue is whether we get an actual coastal low. In that case we are n ear the line but probably snow
  9. When I woke up and read GYX this morning, I was a little optimistic. But none of that in here... Above normal temps and dry conditions continue for Thursday, but clouds will increase during the day as low pressure move across the Great Lakes, which will bring our next chance of accumulating precip, and potentially multiple precip types, Thursday night into Friday. There is still spread in the ensemble guidance, but the latest 00Z model suite appears to be coming more on board with a more dominant coastal low, which would bring the potential for snow farther south, but for now the better chances for accumulating snow will be the farther inland one goes. This bears watching in the coming days and will see how trends go, but at any rate, precip will wind down as snow showers Friday night as colder air gets wrapped in as the low departs.
  10. Let’s see if the euro joins a bit of a trend to better for late week
  11. This is basically what qqmega said. Maybe you have to remove his 5ppd?
  12. Even me the optimist acknowledges it looks over for a couple of weeks I'm assuming no significant snow through March 3 just based on ensembles. But, this time of year, and in a season of bad model mid and long range performance, something could shift. The 24th could come back in some form at least up here. And then maybe me sneak in something before the big warmth. Then a few warm days and then we see what comes next. But at least no attachment to anything, so maybe we get some happy surprises.
  13. Will drag mentions that in his post. That Thursday into Friday might be kind of a warm rainer, and then a consolidated coastal storm on the weekend.
  14. We are not adopting. We are working with 2 surrogates. Been an incredible process. The boy due beginning of May and the girl at the end. Great story about your son and his husband! So much positive change in the last couple decades. You have quite the family and it is nice to see flashes of it on here. I’d be happy to be a day of your caliber. by the way if anyone has questions or wants to talk about surrogacy, pm me and I’ll tell you all about it. thanks Steve!!!
  15. This is so awesome!!! All that hair… we have 2 coming in May. Can’t wait!
  16. The storm is not the 24th. By the way, it’s the 23rd may be coming in night of the 22nd in some areas.
  17. Honestly I don’t want to see the perfect setup. I want it to emerge slowly and become more coherent as it gets closer.
  18. Unless there’s back building, this is an inch and done here. The stuff in Vermont is fading away and all the action is over by the coast. It’s been a quick inch but that may be about it.
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