
mississaugasnow
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Everything posted by mississaugasnow
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Spring 2021 Medium/Long Range Discussion
mississaugasnow replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
Getting that here in the Western GTA. With heavy rain and temperatures in the 60s the next few days, I think by Sunday the grass looks a lot greener. The buds are getting bigger and first flowers up. Add some green grass and it will have a definite spring feel. -
I use NOHRSC interactive maps. They are decent with small hiccups but thats too be expected with anything like this.
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Im getting a bit concerned for Forest Fire season in Ontario. There is almost no snow cover in the province (the least since March 2012) Even if we go back into a colder wetter pattern there is no way to build up the snowpack back to winter levels. Normally it takes most of April for the snow cover to melt.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Not trying to troll you but you do realize that by late March most of the averages in NY and Ontario are well into 40s and 50s. And spring in NY and Ontario almost always have snow and some cold spells. I actually expect to wake up one morning in April and see 1" of sloppy snow covering flowers and green grass. It happens nearly every year. The fantasy GFS Buffaloweather posted is exactly what happens in late March and April. Buffalo and Cleveland could see 4-8" and be under a winter storm warning and be 31F and heavy snow. While Detroit and Toronto are 40F with sloppy rain and wet snow because the best forcing is south of them. I enjoy watching big spring snowstorms in the midwest and plains. Could be 50F and cloudy in the Dakotas, 32F and blizzard in Minneapolis and 75F and thunderstorms in Chicago. The maps show very clearly where the heaviest precipitation is because its coldest and just cold enough for a big time snowstorm. -
Spring 2021 Medium/Long Range Discussion
mississaugasnow replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
ya, the very first flowers (snow drop flowers) will start appearing probably next week up here and shortly after a wide range of flowers and early shrubs. Im basing this off previous years and the fact that this has been a perfect lead up to next weeks 50-60s and sun. No snow melt, ground thawing, rain today ect.. Trees are generally Late April-Mothers day in the GTA, and unless we really have a warm early April (60s-70s non-stop) it probably will be around then. -
Ontario is starting to spike and Buffalo is seeing numbers start to rise again. Though its comparing apples and oranges between the two countries. Ontarios 3rd wave is 1500+ cases a day.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Thats why I hate March snow. 1-3" covers everything but by lunch its wet and muddy and all gone. In the December-February time frame I enjoy 1-3" mini events because you get a few of those and next thing you know you have a 6-10" base and it looks like deep winter. This time of the year its the big dog march snowstorms of 8-15" or spring for me. -
Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I thought that after mid march more of you guys would come around to the idea of wanting spring. I was wrong haha. You guys are still chasing the snow! Im watching the next few days in dixie as it looks like it could be pretty bad for tornadoes. -
Spring/Summer 2021 Banter/Complaint Thread
mississaugasnow replied to madwx's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
I like that because it should allow for a better chance of a warmer spring. The ground is drying out fast, a few brush fires around here already. -
Ontario is in a race against it and most likely the wave comes before we can get the 65+ vaccinated. Now its how bad is the damage. Toronto hasn't had indoor restaurants/gyms/hair cuts since mid November. The rest of the province is mostly open though. Where I live its vastly different. I can watch March madness at a bar with 50 people inside
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Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
65F and last night never went below 53F so any remaining snow in the shade has been taken care of. The GTA is about to pass the point of no return for snowstorms. Toronto will unlikely see another 6" snowstorm this winter as they become very rare after March 15th, a general 3-6" snowstorm occasionally happens in 2nd half of March but by the last week of March Toronto rarely sees anything bigger than a 2-4" storm. Im putting out the spring furniture ect.. tomorrow and doing my spring clean. Its a bit early for most but my seasonal construction job starts in two weeks. All signs that winter is 99% over. -
Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Each year I get excited for spring and say I dont care about snowstorms in March. But if I could I would lock in this scenario haha. Damn I enjoy winter storms too much haha -
Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
April and May cold sucks but lets not pretend its winter type cold. Its 44F and rain in April (average high in the 50s for most) and May is 50s and rain (average high quickly getting into upper 60s and lower 70s) Toronto averages 2" of snow in April and in all my years living in the GTA only two April storms stick in my mind. April 2003 sleet storm and April 2018 Winter Storm. That 2018 storm was a rare event for me where I genuinely got excited haha. 3-4" of snow/sleet and hours of freezing rain causing an ice storm. Most April snow events are 33F and wet snow at night that accumulates 0.5" a few times throughout the month and its gone by 10am with clouds and 41F. Those events I couldnt care less about. -
Just checked out the snow cover and it looks like by late next week there will be no snow on the ground in most of the Midwest and Great Lakes. Even most of southern Ontario and parts of Northern Ontario will have little to no snow on the ground (aside from a few areas in Muskoka and around the shores of Lake Superior)
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Interesting that NWS is doing that while Environment Canada in the last year or two has just implemented Winter Weather Travel Advisories instead of the old Special Weather Statements. I find its helped with the general public (family and friends are my data haha) Before a special weather statement for a quick 2" of snow at rush hour didnt get anyones attention. Now a Winter weather travel advisory has them talking about a winter storm (equally annoying haha) but they at least now realize they need to prepare for winter conditions. Heres an example of EC 2:16 PM EST Tuesday 02 March 2021 Weather advisory in effect for: Timmins – Cochrane – Iroquois Falls Winter Weather Travel Advisory in effect for this afternoon A band of heavier snow is moving through the area this afternoon. Snowfall rates of 2-3 cm per hour are possible under this band. Travel will be impacted, especially along Highway 11 between Hearst and Kirkland Lake. Motorists are advised to exercise caution, as visibility may be suddenly reduced in heavy snow. The snow will taper off later this afternoon. Please continue to monitor alerts and forecasts issued by Environment Canada. To report severe weather, send an email to [email protected] or tweet reports using #ONStorm.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
50s and 60s next week will be nice. Isnt the full retreat of winter but even if we sneak in another storm it will be pointless (for me) the ground will warm rapidly and even a 4-8" snowfall in March is normally gone within days. -
Looks like next week we start to see 50s and 60s in the GTA and WNY
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Lol your average high at the end of February is 40F. I think you need to move a few hours north to get what you want. I'm the same as you though where I enjoy longevity of snow on the ground, ponds frozen, and general winter feel. Id take 3 winter storms that only drop 5-9" instead of one that drops 16-20". I think why Toronto, Detroit, Chicago snow weenies are so upset about winter a lot of the times is we are only 150-200 miles away from where winter sets up shop normally in late November and doesnt leave until mid March. Muskoka which is only 2 hour drive north of Toronto gets buried each winter and most times has feet of snow on the ground from December-March. No matter how much Toronto snow weenies wish, that type of winter that is right on our doorstep is never going to appear.
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Thats crazy about Northern Michigan. On the other side of Lake Huron/Georgian Bay in Muskoka, Parry Sound, Algonquin there's 25-40" of snow on the ground.
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Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The snow is taking a beating but holding on still. About 3" here but its going to take all weekend to essentially destroy the rest of it. -
Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Ya, there's something about Toronto and March. Early March is definitely winter and snowstorms happen. But March 15th is like a force field haha. Anytime after that they become very rare. Also March is Torontos least main snowy month. January, February, December, March, is the order. Looking at some quick data you can see why for me in the GTA March can easily be a non-snow month Toronto-7.5" of snow in March Hamilton-8" of snow in March Buffalo-12" of snow in March Rochester-16" of snow in March -
Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It gets increasingly tough for the lake plains to get snow after March 15th unless we really go into the freezer. Torontos daily average increases 12F in March from 34F to 46F. Buffalo is even warmer starting at 37F and ending at 49F I certainly don't discount snowstorms after March 15th as it does tend to happen every 5-10 years but in March every day matters lol. Theres a big difference between March 1st and March 30th Though for you guys with elevation and closer to the coast, I might be wrong but March snowstorms tend to be pound town. -
Yep, early March is like late November. Generally winter with snow, snowstorms and even highs below 32F are still common. Late March and early November are also similar in the sense that you need a perfect pattern to get widespread snowstorm and temperatures are generally in the 40s and 50s (In the eastern Great Lakes)
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Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Once the border opens up Id be excited to see a Lake Erie special haha. Ive always debated driving to one of motels off I-90 south of Buffalo and witnessing one first hand. Ideal set up is Bills game Sunday and big Lake Effect Sunday night into Monday haha. -
Upstate/Eastern New York
mississaugasnow replied to BuffaloWeather's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Its actually kind of funny that late season snowstorms after march 15th actually start hurting winters grade for me personally. I hated seeing snow in early may last year.