mississaugasnow

Yep. Still hesitant, but I missed the January 17th storm so this could be my biggest if the year. GTA Mets are also torn on what’s going to happen. One of the weather network Mets thinking some freezing rain for Niagara is possible while another thinks suppression may win out. how much snow do you still have on the ground?

Winter Storm Watch issued for Hamilton-Niagara for 8-12" Special weather statement for Toronto for 4-8"

Im getting a bit more concerned with losing current snowpack and getting more rain. EC going nothing but rain for Tuesday night into Wednesday for me. I have 7" OTG and didnt expect so much rain to be forecasted. Unlikely it all washes away, my guess is I lose 3-4" and the rest will turn into a glacier. Also getting a bit nervous Ill be on the lower end of the 4-6" minimum I mentioned haha. Might end up right back at 7" OTG by friday morning so if you slept from today and woke up friday the snow depth wouldnt change haha

Not often I have a chance for over 18" but Im also staying realistic. With so much in the air 4-6" would be alright as it stays looking like winter and builds on snowpack, 6-10" is happy and cant complain at all. Anything over 10" ill be pumped haha. Use this against me if I complain about getting 7" haha

Those storms are normally hybrids from Alberta/Colorado. Most times someone gets owned. Either Buffalo-Niagara are skimmed and Albany/Syracuse get good hit or Buffalo-Niagara get hit and Albany mixes/rains

Ya, weirdly im concerned about both. Wednesday has trended a bit warmer down here in the Hamilton-Niagara region. It will take a thread the needle event for 12" but im enjoying the tracking. I may be wrong but I think YYZ has 4-6" of new snow coming this week all but locked up. Issue for me is it just a winter weather travel advisory for 2-3" of slop Wednesday followed by 2-3" of powder Thursday. Should also mention I enjoy retaining snow packs haha. So we went from thinking this week would bring first 50s to the region in a while and obliterate the snow pack to upper 30s Tuesday, some light rain to begin followed by more snow. This should help create a glacier that will become tougher to melt in the coming days/weeks

Cleveland and Buffalo have held off watches, I wonder if they add them this afternoon. Same for EC. Locally the weather network and a few news stations are starting to say 8-16" over 48 hours is becoming possible.

@snowstormcanuck Oh sorry not for GTA risk is a bit bigger for Niagara Falls Ontario/New York I meant back across Texas-WNY. Whoever is just south of the snow and that exact placement I don’t think we know until now casting. I can see a scenario where it’s snow in Buffalo but 15 miles SE it’s an Ice Storm

Oh sorry not for GTA risk is a bit bigger for Niagara Falls Ontario/New York I meant back across Texas-WNY. Whoever is just south of the snow and that exact placement I don’t think we know until now casting. I can see a scenario where it’s snow in Buffalo but 15 miles SE it’s an Ice Storm

I know we’re all talking snow amounts but I think the Ice signal for one of the bigger ice storms in a while may happen. That one will be tricky because it will come down to miles. Where does the cold front stall and how quick does the cold air bleed in

Ya, Toronto and Hamilton has some room on the southern end. Buffalo-Cleveland along I-90 doesn’t have as much

Ya the models are all over the place. Imagine after all this time it ends up back to original rain storm haha

Its looking likely even if the trends are north that Buffalo-Niagara will be looking at a winter storm. Not sure now whether thats 6"+ or ice storm. But I think rain is almost off the table. Any idea when Buffalo would issue watches? With this high impact of a storm I wonder if they pull the trigger a shift earlier compared to normal

trolling numbers but want to add Toronto for fun haha

That was me two weeks ago when Toronto got smoked. I was down in Fort Myers and like today (Bills fan) I tried to pretend nothing was happening. But then I ended up tracking it and asking my parents in the city how much snow and asked my neighbour to send me pics of my driveway and truck (Just like I turned in to watch KC lose in OT!) Also if my neighbour didnt know I enjoyed weather he sure did when I asked for pictures of snow

Yikes suppressed would make this an almost non-event for GTHA. Sadly for model watching Im more of a far WNY guy and if CNY is getting a good storm normally means not much for Immediate border cities like Buffalo-Niagara Falls and the Canadian Niagara region.

The global warming debate will go on for pages, with a potential winter storm not sure its worth it to debate it now lol

Yep, Im the rare all year long poster. A bit less in the summer but I enjoy big time heat waves almost as much as big time snowstorms. Anyways back to the storm. Its starting to look decent for far WNY/GTHA. Im wondering how/when warnings or advisories become issued. Since it starts late Tuesday night-Friday morning is it one long winter storm warning or a winter weather advisory with a winter storm watch.

the 2011 one stung the most. I was a student at Laurier then and the school pre emptively cancelled class and everyone was hyped. A mediocre 4-8" fell instead of the 12+ forecasted. That dry slot crushed the dreams of many haha

Too early for accumulations but it would be pretty crazy to have two big time snowstorms in the same year. Not unheard of, but would push the winter grade to an A for me. I actually missed the storm two weeks ago so this could be the biggest storm of the year for me.

Im currently liking where we sit in GTHA. With regards to how the last event went I wonder if EC issues special weather statement tomorrow and watch Tuesday.

Just posting in the lakes sub and truthfully wouldn't be upset if this ends up being a run of the mill storm for GTA/WNY of 3-6". A few days ago I thought I was about to lose the entire snowpack and torch with upper 40 to upper 50s. I will be a bit sour if we get nothing but a dusting

haha great now everyone from the NE/Mid Atlantic to Kansas City/Chicago is in the game.

Ya, the south trend I hope stops haha. But overall even another shift south should still have you get 3-6". I know it would be a tough pill to swallow but only a few days ago I was ready for upper 40s and rain so if your telling me I have to settle for a run of the mill snow event and retain most of my snowpack sign me up

lol the SE shift can stop anytime. Before you know it it will be another coastal storm and were cold and dry