mississaugasnow

Pretty similar feeling. I enjoy deep winter and snowpack retention so I dont really care for March snows. When I hear the CBS March Madness song more times then not in my area its in the 40s, no snow, much longer daylight. Thats when I know im over winter and want spring to settle in. Ideal world Snow cover for most of February and then torch after March 10th

haha hope it happens but this storm has turned into a big dud for Buffalo northtowns-Hamilton. Im pretty much over winter in about 2 weeks so I hope the SE ridge flexes hard and we get 50s haha

ya, I agree. I think I sneak out 3-5" down here in Hamilton/Halidmand. Should be a nice spread the wealth 2-5" though from Kincardine-Toronto and Windsor-London should get 4-6". The next 5-7 days look like the snow won't be going anywhere so we start getting into talk of long duration snow cover which is rare (to a degree) for Toronto

Toronto busted that theory two weeks ago but ya were back. It was kind of weird for YYZ to have two winter storms produce over 12" and averages won out. I wasn't buying your average clipper talk but ya, for GTHA this will be a nothing storm. I am excited to pad the stats and get some fresh snow but unlikely my snow depth changes because of the melting/rain before. Either way I only have about 2-3 weeks left in the winter tank before I start cheering for big SE ridges and 50s/60s haha

Ya, mostly just replaces whatever snow melts from today-tomorrow. lol I hope whatever storm @LakeEffectKingmentioned stays suppressed as Im not home this weekend haha YYZ/Toronto is 2-3" Hamilton 3-5" Buffalo 5-8"

Certainly not one to nit pick often but I’ve never found multi day snow events that interesting. Which is confusing since I love retaining snow pack haha. There’s something about that 12-15 hour storm that puts down 6-8” instead of 10” in 24-30

The models are luckily keeping my expectations down. Could be a big storm or could be a run of the mill light rain to 3-5” event that happens every other November This is definitely what keeps EC from issuing watches so early haha. The moment they issued the watches and special weather statement my group chats started talking about it.

Tonight’s runs are a bit interesting. Lol this thread the needle type of event means I’ll be watching the thermometer and hoping everything pans out on the plus side it’s keeping expectations in check since it’s a 50/50 chance this is a nothing storm

haha ya. It’s also been notoriously north the entire time

Haha rain all the way to Toronto. Somehow one of the worst case scenario’s for me could play out. Rain washes away decent chunk of the 5-8” on the ground and the storm ends up being a mediocre 2-4” Alberta clipper. Only one set of runs but have to imagine Buffalo and EC are nervous they went with winter storm watches so early.

Yep. Still hesitant, but I missed the January 17th storm so this could be my biggest if the year. GTA Mets are also torn on what’s going to happen. One of the weather network Mets thinking some freezing rain for Niagara is possible while another thinks suppression may win out. how much snow do you still have on the ground?

Winter Storm Watch issued for Hamilton-Niagara for 8-12" Special weather statement for Toronto for 4-8"

Im getting a bit more concerned with losing current snowpack and getting more rain. EC going nothing but rain for Tuesday night into Wednesday for me. I have 7" OTG and didnt expect so much rain to be forecasted. Unlikely it all washes away, my guess is I lose 3-4" and the rest will turn into a glacier. Also getting a bit nervous Ill be on the lower end of the 4-6" minimum I mentioned haha. Might end up right back at 7" OTG by friday morning so if you slept from today and woke up friday the snow depth wouldnt change haha

Not often I have a chance for over 18" but Im also staying realistic. With so much in the air 4-6" would be alright as it stays looking like winter and builds on snowpack, 6-10" is happy and cant complain at all. Anything over 10" ill be pumped haha. Use this against me if I complain about getting 7" haha

Those storms are normally hybrids from Alberta/Colorado. Most times someone gets owned. Either Buffalo-Niagara are skimmed and Albany/Syracuse get good hit or Buffalo-Niagara get hit and Albany mixes/rains

Ya, weirdly im concerned about both. Wednesday has trended a bit warmer down here in the Hamilton-Niagara region. It will take a thread the needle event for 12" but im enjoying the tracking. I may be wrong but I think YYZ has 4-6" of new snow coming this week all but locked up. Issue for me is it just a winter weather travel advisory for 2-3" of slop Wednesday followed by 2-3" of powder Thursday. Should also mention I enjoy retaining snow packs haha. So we went from thinking this week would bring first 50s to the region in a while and obliterate the snow pack to upper 30s Tuesday, some light rain to begin followed by more snow. This should help create a glacier that will become tougher to melt in the coming days/weeks

Cleveland and Buffalo have held off watches, I wonder if they add them this afternoon. Same for EC. Locally the weather network and a few news stations are starting to say 8-16" over 48 hours is becoming possible.

@snowstormcanuck Oh sorry not for GTA risk is a bit bigger for Niagara Falls Ontario/New York I meant back across Texas-WNY. Whoever is just south of the snow and that exact placement I don’t think we know until now casting. I can see a scenario where it’s snow in Buffalo but 15 miles SE it’s an Ice Storm

Oh sorry not for GTA risk is a bit bigger for Niagara Falls Ontario/New York I meant back across Texas-WNY. Whoever is just south of the snow and that exact placement I don’t think we know until now casting. I can see a scenario where it’s snow in Buffalo but 15 miles SE it’s an Ice Storm

I know we’re all talking snow amounts but I think the Ice signal for one of the bigger ice storms in a while may happen. That one will be tricky because it will come down to miles. Where does the cold front stall and how quick does the cold air bleed in

Ya, Toronto and Hamilton has some room on the southern end. Buffalo-Cleveland along I-90 doesn’t have as much

Ya the models are all over the place. Imagine after all this time it ends up back to original rain storm haha

Its looking likely even if the trends are north that Buffalo-Niagara will be looking at a winter storm. Not sure now whether thats 6"+ or ice storm. But I think rain is almost off the table. Any idea when Buffalo would issue watches? With this high impact of a storm I wonder if they pull the trigger a shift earlier compared to normal

trolling numbers but want to add Toronto for fun haha

That was me two weeks ago when Toronto got smoked. I was down in Fort Myers and like today (Bills fan) I tried to pretend nothing was happening. But then I ended up tracking it and asking my parents in the city how much snow and asked my neighbour to send me pics of my driveway and truck (Just like I turned in to watch KC lose in OT!) Also if my neighbour didnt know I enjoyed weather he sure did when I asked for pictures of snow