IUsedToHateCold

Rare occasion I am in the WWA and Winchester and Rockville aren't. 

Never gave up and still hoping for another tick west to put me deep in the wraparound band. 

21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff.

I want more, but the the rational part of my brain says lock this up. 5 inches would be great

The variance in model runs tells me this is a roll of the dice for us west of the bay. Whatever we get, we get. 

The King GFS spares no wrath for the weenies, but the rest of the model kingdom may stand against it. The Queen Euro will take position soon. 

Casts summon @stormtracker

Please giveth your PBP for this most important GFS run

The King GFS has a habit of frying weenies these days. Perhaps it will be merciful and follow the lead of its jester, the NAM. 

With the number of white flags I’ve seen in this thread today I could have covered my neighborhood so that it looked like I had snow on the ground. 
 

18z Euro hasn’t given up on a west trend and neither have I. Huzzah! 

3 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Man I just looked at the GFS.  What a massacre. Back when I lived in Michigan we got more snow than that when my mom sneezed.  This evolution has been a legit travesty.  

Time to get your wife to fire the CEO of the GFS

That said, the actual H5 pattern on the GFS looked a smidge better

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

You got like 7” on the 6z Euro.

Sweet! 

I’m not flying a white flag until the low is somewhere to my north and this thing is over. Play until the end of the game and sometimes you may snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.

5 minutes ago, jayyy said:

What do you think? 00z Euro steps back toward the GFS? Or moves toward the NAM?

The NAM. 

Like I said earlier, hoping the GFS stays true to form for this season and shifts the storm to the west over the next couple of days. Maybe we don't get the 30" snow, but at least a nice 6-8" for most of us.  

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

That's what I'm saying.  People wonder why my reaction was kind muted...because it's the NAM.  If it had been the GFS, I'd be posting nukes

If the GFS plasters us with 30" this place is going to go berserk. Not that I wouldn't be happy, but I would be afraid of it moving even further N/W in the coming few days. Meaning that some or all of us end up raining. 

Let's see that slow transition to victory. 

Honestly I'd be happy if the GFS just puts it a smidge west of 12z - it has continually trended N/W in the few days leading up to the storm with just about every other storm this year. 

Ideally, at go-time the 30" blob is over most of us. 

4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

NAM is a head scratcher. Everything, too and bottom delayed, sw vortex deeper. Timing still way off on the phase. Still looks like the ns would drop down and just drain the four corners, which is now Mexico border, feature.

Its the NAM

It's the NAM out of reliable range

18 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said:

There's your GFS and model cold bias hard at work setting up @clskinsfan for a mauling. This has rainstorm written all over it just like Chuck said.

Do we just let the trolls run amok for fun? 

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

it's a day 6 OP run

Ya but its fate is basically decided by 78 hours

Meaning that there are 3 more days before its fate is decided? 
 

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

IF (MA_weenie_prayers)=.true. THEN

    PRINT, “Gott ist tot”

ENDIF

Failure: unknown token named ‘MA_weenie_prayers’ on line 1

Nothing gets me in the mood for a deep snowy night more than this

2 minutes ago, SnowenOutThere said:

Do not look at the CMC

Honestly the King GFS has been so good in the long range it’s the only model I’ve been paying attention to for storms 3 or more days out. 

1 minute ago, Snowfan96 said:

I hope the next few weeks don't turn out to be like the pattern in March 2018 when New England had 3 blockbuster events and here in the Mid Atlantic we got zilch.

I seem to remember getting 6 inches that March? 

8 minutes ago, SoCoSailer said:

3k NAM is close for DC. Has been trending better the last few runs

Need another 50 miles 

Enjoy everyone. It’s not often that Eastern NC and middle SC gets a major snowfall. Congrats. 

GFS with another slight tick Nw. Still far from being in the game 

GFS doesn’t get there 

5 minutes ago, weathercoins said:

My fiancée has agreed to one very last minute trip per winter chasing a snowstorm.   Probably will go to W. MD or WVA later in the season though 

Sometimes I read comments like this and realize I’m not as crazy about snow as some of you lol. My wife and I have never had this conversation and I wouldn’t drive to chase a snowstorm. Still love tracking them. Wish more would just happen over my house because they are fun.