IUsedToHateCold

Dime to quarter size fatties, absolutely incredible haven’t seen something like this since 2016

The yellow band delivers. Was tiny flakes at first now flake size has increased. Roads and sidewalks covered again. 

It’s definitely started again here, big flakes

Just measured 6", starting to see some bigger flakes mix in/nicer rates. Everything I get from this point is gravy - it looks like winter and I'm happy with that. 

1 minute ago, jayyy said:

You’ll be alright in Bowie, sir. Dc proper and southern MD should be okay. South of 66 could run into problem if this storm truly has trended 25+ miles north. Models showed the potential of a warm layer intrusion in the SE quadrant of the storm for days. Think many assumed it would be all snow but more coastal development can easily rush warm air on the SE flank as cold air wraps around the NW. 

Yeah I think I will be alright this time. Models don’t show a flip for me but it’s closer than I thought. 

Correlation coefficient radar shows the sleet line has gotten north of Richmond, hopefully it stays south of most of us . 

Good stuff coming down, measured 2.5 inches earlier probably close to 3 now. Let's keep this heavy band going all night. 

SN coming down nicely, road and sidewalk starting to cave.

Legit light snow starting, first flakes accumulating on the fence outside

First light flurries here in Bowie car thermometer has 34. Looks like it’s spreading east fast 

4 minutes ago, luckyamaha said:

Trends to what??? More Rain.. yea that will happen

Sent from my SM-N960U using Tapatalk
 

It doesn’t look like a small amount of rain either. More flood watches to come. 

We do rain well. Continuing to pour here 

It sure looks like it's going to snow but nothing yet. 

2 minutes ago, SnowGolfBro said:

I’m like right on the border of snow and dry air. Hoping the snow pushes north another 20-30 miles before the wall wins out.

My guess is that you'll get in on the action soon. It's pushing north oh-so-slowly. Still holding out for a flurry here, probably won't get it. 

FV3 gets the flurries 15 miles to my south at 48 hours. 

Seems like the models have locked this in, so congrats to everyone. My Mom in Black Mountain looks to get crushed. I lived in NC for many years and if I was southeast of that diagonal from Charlotte to east of Raleigh I'd be wary of that mix line and the slight tick north these things seem to take at the last minute. When I lived in Charlotte it often rained south of the city while the north would get snow. 

Like to see the very slight north trends on GFS and FV3, at least we're headed in the right direction. Perhaps the King will follow?

3 minutes ago, ers-wxman1 said:

All the players will be coming onshore/in play by Thursday. Will have a much better look at things then. 

As much as it's fun to track storms so far out I've never seen models be routinely correct in this time frame. 

We wait. It will be interesting to see which model had the best forecast at this range. 

Gone over to all snow, coming down nicely 

Snow/sleet here in Bowie as well

2 minutes ago, BTRWx's Thanks Giving said:

lol, we all know this is what will happen...

Looks about right. 

41/22

DCA: 11/2

BWI: 11/2

IAD: 11/2

RIC: 11/9

Tiebreaker: 2.1"