IUsedToHateCold

The deathband is real and it’s snowing pretty good. Accumulating on the mulch. 35 degrees. Need it to cool down 

Snow. Huge flakes. 36/34. Not really sticking 

First flakes 38/25. In the game much earlier than expected. 

37/23. Sun peaked out for a bit earlier and now back to fill overcast. 

Clouds. 30/24. Hugging that 6z NAM like a true weenie. 

21 minutes ago, vastateofmind said:

Twitter has become more "thread-based" in recent years with posters sometimes (but not always) "numbering" their "thread" posts....which helps.

On a related note (not necessarily for wx tracking), Snapchat? Only social media platform that actively frustrates the hell outta me. Its UI/UX makes your hair hurt.

Yeah, I’m too old for Snapchat. Lol. But I do not doubt that its interface is horrible. 

Somehow I doubt the modern models perform as poorly as the Eta (I wasn't tracking back then in 2000, but I lived in Asheville, NC and missed this storm as I was too far west). 

The long-range models seem to underdo the precip on the NW side of storms though, especially the GFS. Hence the hoping for the last few days that we'll get some NW movement of the snow totals. 

2-4 inches is the forecast and seems reasonable, but I could easily see a world where I get nothing as the northern system transfers to the coastal before giving me anything and then the coastal misses me. I could just as easily see a world where I get 6-8" as the coastal wraps me in a nice band as it deepens and departs NE. 

Does anybody else not understand Twitter at all? I ask because there is a lot of weather discussion there and I just can't get into it.  

I'm 39 and I build software for a living. I say this to mean that someone like me SHOULD understand Twitter.

The interface, the threads, the entire system just flies straight over my head. I can't even find the post that Jay Kennedy made to Mike Trout. I keep having to hit "show more replies" to keep seeing more, but there is no way to view all of the replies at once. If I scroll down I keep getting more posts. It's confusing because I don't know if those posts were posted by the tweeter (it looks like they did?) or were posted AT the tweeter.  

Rare occasion I am in the WWA and Winchester and Rockville aren't. 

Never gave up and still hoping for another tick west to put me deep in the wraparound band. 

21 minutes ago, NorthArlington101 said:

Didn't see anyone post the HRDPS -- almost all of this D.C.-east is the pre-costal stuff.

I want more, but the the rational part of my brain says lock this up. 5 inches would be great

The variance in model runs tells me this is a roll of the dice for us west of the bay. Whatever we get, we get. 

The King GFS spares no wrath for the weenies, but the rest of the model kingdom may stand against it. The Queen Euro will take position soon. 

Casts summon @stormtracker

Please giveth your PBP for this most important GFS run

The King GFS has a habit of frying weenies these days. Perhaps it will be merciful and follow the lead of its jester, the NAM. 

With the number of white flags I’ve seen in this thread today I could have covered my neighborhood so that it looked like I had snow on the ground. 
 

18z Euro hasn’t given up on a west trend and neither have I. Huzzah! 

3 minutes ago, IronTy said:

Man I just looked at the GFS.  What a massacre. Back when I lived in Michigan we got more snow than that when my mom sneezed.  This evolution has been a legit travesty.  

Time to get your wife to fire the CEO of the GFS

That said, the actual H5 pattern on the GFS looked a smidge better

3 minutes ago, nj2va said:

You got like 7” on the 6z Euro.

Sweet! 

I’m not flying a white flag until the low is somewhere to my north and this thing is over. Play until the end of the game and sometimes you may snatch victory from the jaws of defeat.

5 minutes ago, jayyy said:

What do you think? 00z Euro steps back toward the GFS? Or moves toward the NAM?

The NAM. 

Like I said earlier, hoping the GFS stays true to form for this season and shifts the storm to the west over the next couple of days. Maybe we don't get the 30" snow, but at least a nice 6-8" for most of us.  

1 minute ago, stormtracker said:

That's what I'm saying.  People wonder why my reaction was kind muted...because it's the NAM.  If it had been the GFS, I'd be posting nukes

If the GFS plasters us with 30" this place is going to go berserk. Not that I wouldn't be happy, but I would be afraid of it moving even further N/W in the coming few days. Meaning that some or all of us end up raining. 

Let's see that slow transition to victory. 

Honestly I'd be happy if the GFS just puts it a smidge west of 12z - it has continually trended N/W in the few days leading up to the storm with just about every other storm this year. 

Ideally, at go-time the 30" blob is over most of us. 

4 minutes ago, WinterWxLuvr said:

NAM is a head scratcher. Everything, too and bottom delayed, sw vortex deeper. Timing still way off on the phase. Still looks like the ns would drop down and just drain the four corners, which is now Mexico border, feature.

Its the NAM

It's the NAM out of reliable range

18 minutes ago, Vice-Regent said:

There's your GFS and model cold bias hard at work setting up @clskinsfan for a mauling. This has rainstorm written all over it just like Chuck said.

Do we just let the trolls run amok for fun? 

3 minutes ago, Ji said:

4 minutes ago, brooklynwx99 said:

it's a day 6 OP run

Ya but its fate is basically decided by 78 hours

Meaning that there are 3 more days before its fate is decided? 
 

10 minutes ago, WxUSAF said:

IF (MA_weenie_prayers)=.true. THEN

    PRINT, “Gott ist tot”

ENDIF

Failure: unknown token named ‘MA_weenie_prayers’ on line 1