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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    This is what we need to accumulate during the day. Better rates. Weak sauce light precip won’t get us anywhere.
  2. Terpeast
    Welcome back Nor’easter’s! We missed you
  3. Terpeast
    Yet another tick west. Maybe some members capture the better surface based on improved H5. I think you and I are in for a nail biter given our location both in the beginning with temps and the back edge towards the end
  4. Terpeast
    I know this is your thread, but maybe keep the nina talk in banter? Just for storm mode (mods, if you disagree, feel free to remove my post)
  5. Terpeast
    And that should help pull down cold air and cool the column with heavier rates
  6. Terpeast
    Run it back 0z and I bet the sfc will be better
  7. Terpeast
    I love this map. And an extra 30 mile shift NW will be house money
  8. Terpeast
    Just need 30 miles west
  9. Terpeast
    Yeah thats not half bad
  10. Terpeast
    Your forecast gets me into the warning criteria
  11. Terpeast
  12. Terpeast
  13. Terpeast
    3-5 imby, 4-6 DC north
  14. Terpeast
    A good hold by the GEFS. I'd cut those snow amounts by 30% NW of 95 to account for thermals in the first half of the storm, and maybe even by half SE of the fall line unless they get crazy rates (which it looks like they might).
  15. Terpeast
    Yeah, and at least we have the temps going for us as we're well NW of the cities/fall line. Modeled radar shows heavy precip and that could be enough to get accumulating snow during the day time if the GFS is right.
  16. Terpeast
    Still changes with the SW canada shortwave on gfs even at hour 18
  17. Terpeast
    Yep, we've been in a -PNA regime for weeks now. We're lucky we're even talking about snow at all rn
  18. Terpeast
    That's 6z?
  19. Terpeast
    Haha, that’s how he rolls!
  20. Terpeast
    No I mean the thermals part. It was correct about the warm nose on Jan 25
  21. Terpeast
    Probably time to start looking at cams for thermals now though
  22. Terpeast
    High end updated from LWX (low end is 0-T of course haha)
  23. Terpeast
    I think we should be rooting for a later start time either way. Get the clouds here during the day to hold off the sun angle, and then thump overnight for best snow-maxing
  24. Terpeast
    Split them down the middle, and account for temps, perhaps 3-5" for us and 4-8"+ DC and northeast
  25. Terpeast
    Yeah the ratios probably won't be 10:1. I'd probably go with 70% of that
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