On the plus side, if we trend towards another nina/neutral, then I can book a long vacation next winter without fear of missing a KU. Everything has an upshot…
Crap.
We don’t want another nina, or even a neutral.
Hope the warm pac ssts hug the west coast, though. That might reverse the pdo base state into a more favorable one
I was telling my wife this morning that with our winters here, we just never know. And that I've experienced winters where we get nothing in December, January, and February... and just when everybody is ready for spring, it snows in March.
That's a pretty good looking wave. More ridge-y over the NE than I would like, though... at least we don't see a ridiculous 594dm bahamas high on this run.
Not liking the latest hrrr runs either, but a comparison between hrrr’s depiction of current radar and the actual radar shows precip is overperforming.
At least on the extent of light precip into northern KY, while hrrr keeps it to the southern half of KY.
Might mean nothing though