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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Better confidence we’ll see snow on the ground at Deep Creek when we go on Friday. Might even see clipper-induced flurries on Saturday like the GFS is showing.
  2. Terpeast
    No, that's not it. I have a confession to make... I purchased sleds for myself and my daughter a few weeks before Christmas. (and a shovel) THAT is the reason for the debacle of this winter. Sorry not sorry if "sorry" doesn't cut it. Oh well.
  3. Terpeast
    Booked. Driving up on friday afternoon
  4. Terpeast
    It probably won’t verify verbatim anyway
  5. Terpeast
    Good enough for us if that pans out. Wife is from Vietnam and only has seen snow once when we went trekking in Nepal, and my daughter is only 2. Just seeing snow on the ground will be an experience for both of them. We’ll take some nice photo shots if we can.
  6. Terpeast
    Planning to head up there next weekend. Looks like some upslope is coming after both storms. Hoping that holds
  7. Terpeast
    Still got any snow cover?
  8. Terpeast
    For now that appears to be a clipper swinging by on the 28th. I’m about to pull the trigger on a trip to Deep Creek next weekend. Looks like some upslope there late week.
  9. Terpeast
    Big shift because the aleutian ridge jumped way east, becoming a poleward alaskan ridge. Just one run for now, so we shall see if this becomes a real trend.
  10. Terpeast
    Saw some sleet at a lunar new year festival held outdoors. Good times. And as far as qpf, it’s an underperformer. Good! If we’re going to rain at 38, I rather get 0.1” of drizzle… than get 2” knowing if it were cold enough we could have gotten 20”.
  11. Terpeast
    Drizzle in Vienna. Weather app says snow showers but I don’t see it.
  12. Terpeast
    Yep! No it hasn’t.
  13. Terpeast
    Maybe this will change the storm’s karma
  14. Terpeast
    Front? what front?
  15. Terpeast
    Kinda strange to see the canadian ens being the warmest out of the 3 majors in the LR. usually it’s the coldest. This time it’s probably correct
  16. Terpeast
    Wow that beer was good. Nice to not think about winter on a Friday night for once
  17. Terpeast
    Drinking a St Benardus Abt 12 tonight. Big bottle.
  18. Terpeast
    I don’t have the answers as I’m no expert on models. It does seem to me that they consistently underestimate the SER/WAR. Maybe they need to update them to account for that, especially if it’s become a permanent fixture. I hope I’m wrong and that all we need is a few cyclones to churn up those waters and when this nina is finally dead, maybe the whole thing can get a nice reset.
  19. Terpeast
    Which I’ll take.
  20. Terpeast
    Yep, as soon as that tilt goes neg, it’s going to cut.
  21. Terpeast
    Both euro and gfs cuts on 1/25. Calling that one a L and moving on to the next one. and the next… and the next… … (cue the waiting skeleton meme)
  22. Terpeast
    Psuhoffman log entry #35934
  23. Terpeast
    Well now that may help us a little then. Still need the cold air though, which we don’t have. Yet. Also as a whole, the W atlantic is still warm, but not on absolute fire like it was before.
  24. Terpeast
    More confluence up top, 540 thru dca. Too bad it’s the ICON lol
  25. Terpeast
    Think it’s just a modeling artifact. Wouldn’t read too much into it. When I see something like that I mentally “smooth” the track out, and to factor in the warm waters off NC/VA, adjust entire track west a good hundred miles.
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