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Terpeast

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by Terpeast

  1. Terpeast
    Darkening clouds over my house in ashburn. Let’s see if they do produce. Not holding my breath though edit: gusty winds. So maybe
  2. Terpeast
    Finally had a cell jackpot over me. Dropped a nice payload of pouring rain for 20 minutes. All I had to do was water my garden a couple hours beforehand.
  3. Terpeast
    Yeah that’s what we want, but hoping it does not continue trending weaker. Otherwise nino effects will get washed out with background warming
  4. Terpeast
    Whiffed once again. Just a few drops. Let's see what Sunday brings.
  5. Terpeast
    Interesting this graph shows most ninos pause or slow development late spring into summer, then pick up a second wind in the fall into winter.
  6. Terpeast
    0.6” last night. Every little bit helps
  7. Terpeast
    Efficient rain rates. Getting hosed down. Finally. Not gonna have to water my yard for the next few days. Lots of lightning too
  8. Terpeast
    Starting to rain. Some lightning.
  9. Terpeast
    Whoever is under this one must be enjoying quite the show (as long as they don’t suffer any damage)
  10. Terpeast
    Watching that cell pass north of purcellville while I get gapped… AGAIN. Possibly those cells popping up near/north of front royal actually make their way here, but…
  11. Terpeast
    Went over to mom’s house today in fairfax. Lots of cloud cover inhibited convection, and only at 4 pm a cell came over us. Non-severe. Decent downpour knocked temps back to low 80s. Drove back to ashburn at 5 pm, temps shot back up to 92 and sunny. It’s hot out. And dry as a bone.
  12. Terpeast
    Reporting from fairfax, decent downpour with gusts, but no severe characteristics
  13. Terpeast
    Sun is back out. Maybe something pops up later? Not exactly holding my breath
  14. Terpeast
    Wasn’t bullish as soon as I woke up today. Too much cloudiness to really break the cap
  15. Terpeast
    Brief downpour with a few gusts. Nothing to write home about. At least it wet the ground just enough
  16. Terpeast
    Nothing on radar, but clouds are darkening overhead. Dc metro might see something fire up soon
  17. Terpeast
    Why is there such a disparity between these 3? Especially CDAS vs. CRW? Should we take the average of the 3, or toss the outliers?
  18. Terpeast
    And he knows his stuff. When he talks, I pay attention. Doesn’t mean he’s always right, it’s the nature of being a meteorologist.
  19. Terpeast
    Just went out. I could smell it.
  20. Terpeast
    Yeah, and I think one reason this nino has not collapsed (yet) despite lack of wwbs is that there’s a ton of subsurface warmth
  21. Terpeast
    In cpc’s recent update the model anomaly forecasts showed a temporary pause or slight cooling in July, then resume warming up Aug-Oct.
  22. Terpeast
    My mom's house in FXCo is getting hammered now
  23. Terpeast
    Got jumped again. Ashburn. So this is how it’s gonna be…
  24. Terpeast
    Much higher than 6-8k ft. Once you start seeing anvils forming, those towers have already reached the tropopause.
  25. Terpeast
    Yeah, it seemed they carried over the previous AFD
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