tavwtby

vis has gone down considerably in the last 15 minutes, gotta say wasn't expecting this early, nice coating

first flakes 0945...game time, let's go

I think there's going to be a secondary band that sets up a bit west of the goods, just a gut feeling looking at the radar evolution, could be wrong, think more west trending continues to tick

yeah, they were still cool though... I remember one that actually panned out, wanna say 07 maybe, hard to recall, Will or one of them would remember

depends on who you ask, wor folks are happy, SEMA not so much

remember the radio shows for biggins back in the day, was that Eastern days or this forum? those were cool

I'll take it! anything possible at this point, I mean one NAM run ain't going to sway everything here, need to see more, but definitely a step in the right direction for wor

isn't this fun!! gonna be a fun couple days, and if we do get a stall, even better! some obs are going to be insane

wow

this afternoon AFD should be an interesting read based on that run... still holding slight optimism for wor folks to get at least double digits, don't care to jack.

the brevity v longevity

would I like to be doing testing in boxboro this weekend, looking good there

yeah that's what it was, I think I got 11 on both of them, which minus the Jan storm were the highlight of that winter, wasn't a bad one by any means..

I remember that, wasn't there two that week? edit: nevermind I was thinking of 2018

funny you mentioned that, I was just looking at my season to date and almost half are from snow showers and squall type stuff...

I mean we've seen it happen, so...

I don't see nothing wrong with a little contour grind

ALY.. middle approach solution, still given their likely outcome here is 7.0", that at least warrants a WWA, if not a warning, seeing all offices around have already hoisted them, we wait... During Friday night through Saturday night, a deep upper-level trough will become neutral to slightly negatively tilted as it approaches the East Coast. A favorable upper-level dual-jet structure will lead to the development and rapid intensification of a surface low off the East Coast as it tracks north to northeastward. There remains high confidence a coastal low will occur, but where it actually tracks remains uncertain. Latest model suite is split on the track with some guidance more intense and farther west (ECMWF/CMC) and others less intense and farther east (GFS/NAM). Only the CMC is west of the 40/70 benchmark at this time. Upon collaboration with WPC and surrounding offices, we continue to run a `middle approach` at this time with the higher snowfall totals south and east of Albany with little or no snowfall farther north and west. Regardless, a fairly `wide goalpost` of snowfall amounts are still possible. Cold, dry air north and west of this system will likely lead to a sharp gradient in snowfall as well. Winter weather headlines may be needed in later updates, but there was not enough confidence on any winter storm watches at this time.

yeah same here... I kinda lost the monster for entire forum mentality yesterday, looked good for a while, still possible, but so is nothing I guess, not even a WWA here yet, at least last check...

yeah I don't see much more than 6" wor with current guidance, just one of those, too far west for the goods, cutters like last one we were too far east, still managed about 5 before the rain began, so if we pull 5 from this here, we'll have close to 10" otg here.

yeah understandable, still funny though

still laughing at the range here, soon to change I'm sure with current runs, but HA!

ALY has high end 18" and low end of like 0", with likely 8, quite the range there...

I meant the winter as a whole, but that storm was good not great, think I ended up with close to 2', but I was out driving around in it in my first truck, and at one point snowing so hard I could only see by the faint glow of street lights, my opinion was better than 93, imby at least, as a whole, I'd rank 78, 13, 96, and there's a bunch more like 82 in there... this one has that feeling to it, I know now it's way more to it than muh feels, but...muh feels say we snow big