going back in all the data I collected and plotted season totals, you can definitely see a cyclical pattern to the goods, we had a good stretch that peaked in 36, another that peaked in 56, again in 96, there are a couple stragglers in or outliers, put a definite trendline emerges... that said I believe we've bottomed out and will turn the corner eventually and get back to the goods, law of averages given a long enough time line