tavwtby

yeah me too, I've been pretty steadfast with my 8-12 since go, but all these numbers I keep seeing got me second guessing, I'm still not sold though on them big amounts, although we are pounding paws atm.

beginning to flip here, some wet flakes mixed with the rain, down to 34, I went from here to work near BDL and was 41 drizzle, down to Meriden and was 45 light rain, Waterbury was 43 when rain got heavier, temp dropped as I drove up 8 by nearly 10 degrees, if we flip here now and stay all snow, we're in the money... ALY still has my area on the edge of 12-18, just south 8-12, and that's what I'm sticking with here

looks like a IVT into CT there

yeah you too, hoping for the best, prepared for the worst

radar looking pretty stout upstream for weenie flakes and filling in south, hope so because I got a lot of running around today before things really kick

sitting at 33.5/30 with flakes flying, should we fire up an obs thread? this is wayyy earlier than I expected to see any flakage

there's actually flakes flying right now in Winsted

that looks like one of those spin paint plates you get at the big e

still sticking with my 8-12... trending in the wrong direction, maybe they should put the algorithm in the models from 10 years ago, it seems like the last few years more often than not there have been major struggles with them even latching onto a solution more than a day out... maybe it's me but it's like we used to have goalposts set a week out with fine tuning as we close in, now it's almost a now cast event all the time, other than sniffing out a sig, of course many other things to look at, such as upper level mechanics, etc. but they just seem awful with handle on systems lately

yeah, believe it was Burnsville, and yeah they closed I think it's I35, was insane a couple days later it was like 50

you see my post a little bit up, described exactly that, was outside Minneapolis and literally 2" otg and completely white out, like 50-60mph winds and cold as I ever felt.

I thought I remembered 96 still having a temp requirement, am I mistaken, when exactly did they nix that? if you recall.

yeah them ground blizzard deals are crazy, I went through one with only a couple dry inches otg, crazy whiteout

oh that's nice, sit down and clean! no fighting the new snowblower

I would love to see it verified, I believe I've only seen it verified a couple times inland in my life, that's usually relegated to the coast where those sustained winds are common, but near the coast with this one may not get three hours of 1/4mi vis snow, hopefully for there I'm wrong... my area doesn't see winds sustained above 35 during storms often, it's usually after when the NW screaming winds come

more reasonable totals imho

as long as the B word doesn't get tossed out there, we're good... that's like the kiss of death

ALY hoisted WSW for my area now, not Wavering on the totals either, still not sold yet but damn if all snow maps and NWS maps have been consistent for a couple days now, we shall see, excited regardless! game on

ALY AFD says WSW will be hoisted once the model consensus occurs..HA, so basically a now cast event, I like how basically all models snow maps, and weather service forecast maps keep hammering my area, but I'm still not wavering from the 8-12 until we get within 24 hours and we have a solid alignment...one thing is certain though, this is going to be a bomb, fun times!

thank you

Friday? 1.4"... funny though, just a couple miles away had 3+, up on top of east main in Torrington got double what I got, very odd little microclimate up here I've found

I'd definitely love that outcome, just haven't felt more than a foot, for reasons I mentioned last post, temps are a big problem, if this can phase in the right location, and rip a hole in the atmosphere maybe we can get some adiabatic cooling to overcome that, but that is a big if.

more in line with what I have been thinking all along, too many uncertain variables, mainly temps, the lack of a strong high in Quebec is a key, phasing is also key, who knows can always go up, but I'd hedge down if anything right now.

a little more on par for what I was thinking for mby, but ALY has me at 18-24, I thought the three stations were going to collaborate with the snow maps, after the debacle a few years ago, I think the box map is what shows all of SNE, no? but I'd be shocked if we get more than a foot here and BDL gets like 2-4, that is a sick gradient... although, I got 1.4 this morning and just up the hill a bit they got close to 4

Albany going big with watches 1-2 feet... sorry I don't see that happening, maybe we get to a foot if all breaks right, sticking with 8-12 here though, and with temps that may be a stretch