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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. One of these days we'll hit the jackpot and it'll be worth it. Or maybe the snow is the friends we made along the way.
  2. If LWX reflectivity is to be believed, DC is about 15 miles from snow.
  3. Spent too much time arguing with people about this. I have 10 bucks coming if we stay under a foot.
  4. Reflectivity region-wide has definitely increased in the last 15 minutes or so. Tiny little band moving w-e into Woodbridge right now.
  5. Here was the IAD sounding from 00z. Moisture starting to build in.
  6. At this point, I'll take it. 9 inches combined for DC. With a little compression, maybe it's 8.
  7. Final call pre precip in DC, sticking with the 6-10" (including sleet) forecast that I've had since Thursday AM. Unfortunately, staying conservative was the right move.
  8. How’s it looking? Haven’t had time to weather nerd today and last night.
  9. I’m unfortunately going to be doing some I Told You So
  10. Seeing clouds with the arctic blast overspreading the blue ridge from 81
  11. AIFS has been deadly this winter so I'll take it in our corner
  12. If we get a sequel event next week, I'm not staying up to see the 00z euro till we're at least within 72 hours.
  13. Winter storm warnings from Mexico to Boston. Anyways Georgetown just cancelled for the poor saps that have classes Sunday.
  14. I was just looking at the 10:1 snow map and it looked off up north and figured it would have upstream effects.
  15. No clue how good the RAP is with winter wx, but I like it more than the NAM for severe wx. Gives us 7.7 inches on 10:1 at the end of the model run and coincidentally right before the changeover
  16. Probably a ratio thing then... lucky fucks up north probably getting 15+:1
  17. AIFS has something at like h300 but its a miller b
  18. Euro seems unusually dry. Even places up north like BOX and ALY only see just over 10 inches on 10:1.
  19. Making hot chocolate again. Are we still cliff diving?
  20. Are ratios solely based on surface temps, assuming there isn’t an above freezing warm nose?
  21. Bit of a culture shock for me man. 6-10 of snow and sleet Sunday AM would have an outside shot of getting us out of Monday.
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