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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. Nomz
    Their crashout would have been worse than ours last week
  2. Nomz
    After looking at f30 and consulting my ouija board: I have no idea
  3. Nomz
    hey I'll take .5 qpf
  4. Nomz
    RGEM west of the GFS but not as negative at end of run. More area to work with, but more work to do. Call it about even.
  5. Nomz
    I was more looking at the western extent of the northern vort. Looked a little bit closer to negative too imo. (Icon left gfs right)
  6. Nomz
    Bleh I lied. Struggling to get negative at h78
  7. Nomz
    At h60 ICON might be a nuke
  8. Nomz
    https://efisher828.github.io/weathernext/ 12 hours delayed with limited maps but this is the best i know of
  9. Nomz
    NAM @ h78 looks better, but remember its still the NAM at range. Although I will say most of the improvements were made at initialization, which makes me think that the drops are probably positive data.
  10. Nomz
    Feels like its favoring the AIFS solution. edit: take that back it looks more GFS-like
  11. Nomz
    The bit of vort near Winnipeg. Further west and more amped/slower have ended up with good solutions so far.
  12. Nomz
    "Everything I don't like is an outlier" not great analysis imo
  13. Nomz
    NAM at h30 looks better than the AIFS (i don't have pivotal+) and UK, and worse than GFS and ICON.
  14. Nomz
    00z NAM is off and running
  15. Nomz
    Also fwiw, some subjective model reanalysis from 48 hours: https://forecastwatch.com/2026/01/27/major-u-s-snowstorm-forecast-accuracy-analysis-january-23-26/ Good to know everyone blew it for us
  16. Nomz
    I believe thats what Euro AIFS and AIGFS do, no? Use AI to adjust raw model outputs?
  17. Nomz
    Was the weekend storm a miller c? From albright and cobb 2004. Checks out pretty well just from a brief look at mesoanalysis archive.
  18. Nomz
    Meanwhile, I will glaze euro aifs till I die edit: can we also get a storm banter thread?
  19. Nomz
    I was not expecting it at all. Tbh very unimpressed by DC snow removal ops.
  20. Nomz
    https://efisher828.github.io/weathernext/ Here's the only public source of weathernext 2 maps I believe. Like 12 hours behind and only ptype, rate, and 500mb heights.
  21. Nomz
    Preschool
  22. Nomz
    Got another day off and my chem exam postponed so I will be staying up for this 00z suite
  23. Nomz
    Why he say fuck me for
  24. Nomz
    Yeah still looks just about the same as 12z and better than the other 12z models
  25. Nomz
    Early returns (h30) say a hold
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