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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. FWIW, WeatherNext 18z run https://x.com/PettusWX/status/2016727369034178589
  2. Yeah looks off timing but ton of time for that to change. Not gonna stress about it till JMA hits us with 30".
  3. I'll wait for the 00z euro to say so. 00z UKMET is a vast improvement FWIW, but it went from completely ots to OBX blizzard
  4. Down here in MA we're betting on a 4% chance according to 12z EPS members so... i'll take your odds over ours
  5. GFS joins the party of crapping its pants trying to resolve bombogenesis
  6. Now at f51 it looks like it might end up better, hold on
  7. Agreed. Looks a tick west. We'll see how the trough matures though.
  8. I wouldn't believe it if it weren't repeated across so many model runs on different models
  9. This stupid fucking double barrel low. I know I said I wouldn't be mad if it screwed us but I'm starting to get pretty mad
  10. At f78 kicker is further SE. Probably limiting precip up north.
  11. Improvements continue through f66. Doubt it'll be enough to get it done but we'll see.
  12. crossposting from MA to get y'alls opinions: I don't really buy the extreme east double barrel low depicted on the 18z euro, and to a greater extent, the 00z NAM. Doesn't really feel super realistic.
  13. Idk, I just don't buy the extreme east double barrel low
  14. Is it crazy to say I think the Euro is coming in too south, assuming its first 50 or so hours are correct? Because I don't see this extreme of a double barrel low developing
  15. I would bet it lights up the same exact part of the brain that slots does
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