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Nomz
Nomz
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Everything posted by Nomz
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Page 15 of 27
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
I'm actually laughing, the two cold cores just fujiwhara'd around each other. Never seen a model do that with non-tropical lows.
January 28
1,576 replies
4
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Yeah not believing this run lol
January 28
1,576 replies
1
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Is this like when GFS initiates on a weak TS and it progs too much vort in the outer banding and jumps the low there?
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
I bet that western low deepens and the east low fills in
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
It's a more classic setup. Cyclogenesis is pretty easy to infer from 500mb, and 500mb at f140 is easier to infer from f60.
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
all caps folks
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Can we get another JV/banter thread
January 28
1,576 replies
2
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Still a whiff though, unless I'm looking at the wrong model run
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Full kuchera map. I'd rather be us now than us 10 hours ago.
January 28
1,576 replies
1
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Talk about diffluence aloft out in front of that thing back to regularly scheduled programming
January 28
1,576 replies
1
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
fuck south carolina tbh
January 28
1,576 replies
9
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
bncho saying guys while stormtracker says folks says something about america tbh
January 28
1,576 replies
2
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Their crashout would have been worse than ours last week
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
After looking at f30 and consulting my ouija board: I have no idea
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
hey I'll take .5 qpf
January 28
1,576 replies
2
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
RGEM west of the GFS but not as negative at end of run. More area to work with, but more work to do. Call it about even.
January 28
1,576 replies
2
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
I was more looking at the western extent of the northern vort. Looked a little bit closer to negative too imo. (Icon left gfs right)
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Bleh I lied. Struggling to get negative at h78
January 28
1,576 replies
1
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
At h60 ICON might be a nuke
January 28
1,576 replies
2
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
https://efisher828.github.io/weathernext/ 12 hours delayed with limited maps but this is the best i know of
January 28
1,576 replies
1
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
NAM @ h78 looks better, but remember its still the NAM at range. Although I will say most of the improvements were made at initialization, which makes me think that the drops are probably positive data.
January 28
1,576 replies
6
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
Feels like its favoring the AIFS solution. edit: take that back it looks more GFS-like
January 28
1,576 replies
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
The bit of vort near Winnipeg. Further west and more amped/slower have ended up with good solutions so far.
January 28
1,576 replies
1
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
"Everything I don't like is an outlier" not great analysis imo
January 28
1,576 replies
3
The Jan 31 Potential: Stormtracker Failure or 'Tracker Trouncing
Nomz
replied to
stormtracker
's topic in
Mid Atlantic
NAM at h30 looks better than the AIFS (i don't have pivotal+) and UK, and worse than GFS and ICON.
January 28
1,576 replies
1
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Page 15 of 27
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