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Nomz

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Everything posted by Nomz

  1. Yep, a lot less OTS outliers and the cluster shifted a fair bit NW
  2. EPS 00z Mean is NW of 12z, don't think its enough though.
  3. EPS might come in way more NW than op if the 500mb looks that much better. Will say the euro looks leaps and bounds better than it did at 12z, but not as good as 18z (at least aifs)
  4. GFS: Good, waiting for north trend NAM: Good Canadian: looked good before weird surface modeling Euro OP: West Euro AIFS: West Icon: West UKL West
  5. Just checked 700 and 850 temps on the most aggresive runs and we're nowhere near the danger zone thank god I would have ended it
  6. still haven't seen a screenshot of the 18z run that isn't a single ensemble member.
  7. I wouldn't even be mad if a fujiwhara effect screwed us out of snow. This is some 1991 Perfect Storm shit.
  8. I'm actually laughing, the two cold cores just fujiwhara'd around each other. Never seen a model do that with non-tropical lows.
  9. Is this like when GFS initiates on a weak TS and it progs too much vort in the outer banding and jumps the low there?
  10. I bet that western low deepens and the east low fills in
  11. It's a more classic setup. Cyclogenesis is pretty easy to infer from 500mb, and 500mb at f140 is easier to infer from f60.
  12. Still a whiff though, unless I'm looking at the wrong model run
  13. Full kuchera map. I'd rather be us now than us 10 hours ago.
  14. Talk about diffluence aloft out in front of that thing back to regularly scheduled programming
  15. bncho saying guys while stormtracker says folks says something about america tbh
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