notvirga!

Was 08-09 the infamous “40 north winter” where a lot of stuff looked good but only ended up up being decent for those north of 40 degree latitude?

Rain hitting a brick wall and evaporating before it gets to Baltimore county. Sigh

Well with the forecast this week you’ll get it eventually

Might be interesting weather day. Flood watches and severe watches are up for many areas east of BR. We got dumped on last night in Owings Mills. Didn’t measure but probably a couple inches of rainfall

Feels like it’s been a month since we had a good down pour in Owings Mills. Most of the storms have evaporated by the time they got here and we just end up with 10 min of light rain

Nice downpour in Owings mills

I was just about to post this lol

Getting some might snow and flurries in Owings Mills

My mom still lived in Winchester during those years so I paid attention and I think at least 3 of those winters were 30 plus inches around Winchester is that about right?

Not a much of a bust here. 3.5 to 4 inches in Owings Mills

Snowing now at deep creek lake per md traffic cams

Was wondering also. precip is depicted on radar scope as rain tho

Euro would be the peaceful solution I think

That’ll be rgem

Amazing!

it’s all snow now Owings Mills.

is this similar to what you are thinking? https://x.com/matthewcappucci/status/1757165780666290588?s=46

Gfs ensembles strong support the op so id be surprised to see a big shift at 18z

Pretty huge shift with 4-5 days still to go. Good trends as others have noted I’m not hugely optimistic but did anyone think the euro was gonna suddenly go all in on a dc snow storm after what it showed 12 hours ago? I think a compromise might get the northern parts of our area into decent snow but I’m not sure if the euro is done trending south.

He’s a good forecaster. I watched his facebook weather 101 yesterday and he talked a lot about the pattern change mid month. He still seems pretty optimistic about our snow chances—as he should be.

With any luck will be tracking something in 5-7 days. Fingers crossed

Did not take the new Orioles ownership long to act. Really good trade

Living in Fredrick county va in the 90s we had a few this storms were so much freezing rain and sleet fell on top of snow that you could walk on top of it but it was extremely icy—occasionally you’d break through it—other times you’d fall on your butt. The last time that happened was probably the Valentine’s Day sleet storm in 07. But it happened several times in the mid 90s notably the great ice winter of 1994 where it seemed to be like that for weeks on end. I think after that winter my mom wanted to move. There were times my dad had to take her to car on the sled it was so icy. And we had long driveway in the woods—like 100 yards and had to park by the road because for much of that winter we couldn’t drive up it.

Yeah it was forecast to be a huge blizzard and it was evident for about a week prior. I was in SC the week before and it was already being discussed on the weather channel. It did have a pretty sharp cutoff in central Virginia though where they got like 6-8 inches of sleet. It was bad storm but not a huge snow event in Charlottesville. The forecast for the northern Shenandoah valley was two feet plus.

Yeah I think even the night of the storm we were expecting 12 plus inches out in Winchester and it did start as snow before quickly transitioning to torrential sleet all night long.