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notvirga!

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Everything posted by notvirga!

  1. Was wondering also. precip is depicted on radar scope as rain tho
  2. is this similar to what you are thinking? https://x.com/matthewcappucci/status/1757165780666290588?s=46
  3. Gfs ensembles strong support the op so id be surprised to see a big shift at 18z
  4. Pretty huge shift with 4-5 days still to go. Good trends as others have noted I’m not hugely optimistic but did anyone think the euro was gonna suddenly go all in on a dc snow storm after what it showed 12 hours ago? I think a compromise might get the northern parts of our area into decent snow but I’m not sure if the euro is done trending south.
  5. He’s a good forecaster. I watched his facebook weather 101 yesterday and he talked a lot about the pattern change mid month. He still seems pretty optimistic about our snow chances—as he should be.
  6. With any luck will be tracking something in 5-7 days. Fingers crossed
  7. Did not take the new Orioles ownership long to act. Really good trade
  8. Living in Fredrick county va in the 90s we had a few this storms were so much freezing rain and sleet fell on top of snow that you could walk on top of it but it was extremely icy—occasionally you’d break through it—other times you’d fall on your butt. The last time that happened was probably the Valentine’s Day sleet storm in 07. But it happened several times in the mid 90s notably the great ice winter of 1994 where it seemed to be like that for weeks on end. I think after that winter my mom wanted to move. There were times my dad had to take her to car on the sled it was so icy. And we had long driveway in the woods—like 100 yards and had to park by the road because for much of that winter we couldn’t drive up it.
  9. Yeah it was forecast to be a huge blizzard and it was evident for about a week prior. I was in SC the week before and it was already being discussed on the weather channel. It did have a pretty sharp cutoff in central Virginia though where they got like 6-8 inches of sleet. It was bad storm but not a huge snow event in Charlottesville. The forecast for the northern Shenandoah valley was two feet plus.
  10. Yeah I think even the night of the storm we were expecting 12 plus inches out in Winchester and it did start as snow before quickly transitioning to torrential sleet all night long.
  11. Greatest sleet storm of my life. Valentine’s Day 2014. 6-7 inches of sleet in Winchester and then it froze solid and didn’t melt for a month. I remember at my apartment complex we were parking on top of 6 inch blocks of ice for weeks
  12. It’s really come north a ton in the last 24 hours. Not sure it’s done
  13. That’s a wild difference in 1914. I wonder why Philly received so much more snow
  14. More annoying than Taylor Swift are all the air heads already crowning Mahomes as the greatest qb ever. Let’s see Brady still has 7 Super Bowl victories.
  15. Jan to March of 2014 and Feb 2015 were incredibly cold out there. Saw a reading of -8 in Frederick county Va on my way to work one morning. I don’t recall if that was 2014 or 2015 but those two years had a lot of single digits and below zero readings. Probably the coldest winters since either 94 or 96. One more the temperature rose like 25 degrees between western Frederick county and eastern on my way into work (20 min drive). Single digits to 32x
  16. You got crushed. Did you pick up another inch?
  17. that little squall by Manchester means business. cameras show the roads are covered again. hopefully it can make it down to Owings mills.
  18. If you got 3 after nws bumped you to the 5-8 zone this morning I’d call it a bust.
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