Baum

same idea: THE FORECAST BECOMES MUCH MORE COMPLEX WITH THE PASSAGE OF THE SURFACE LOW SATURDAY MORNING. CAA WILL BEGIN TO TAKE HOLD IN THE LOW- LEVELS, ALLOWING THE RAIN/SNOW LINE TO TRACK SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE REMAINDER OF THE DAY. THERE REMAINS SIGNIFICANT DISCREPANCIES AS TO HOW FAST THIS SOUTHEASTWARD MARCH OCCURS, WITH SOME GUIDANCE HOLDING ON TO WARMER AIR IN THE LOW-LEVELS INTO THE AFTERNOON. ADDITIONALLY, PRECIP RATE WILL LIKELY DICTATE PRECIP TYPE, WITH HEAVIER RATES IN A POSSIBLE AXIS OF MODERATE DEFORMATION PRECIP FAVORING ALL SNOW VS. A RAIN/SNOW MIX OR ALL RAIN. SOME 00Z GUIDANCE (CMC, ECMWF) ARE SUGGESTING THIS POTENTIAL NORTH OF I-80 LATE SATURDAY MORNING INTO SATURDAY AFTERNOON. SO, WHILE THE CURRENT FORECAST INDICATES ONLY LIMITED ACCUMULATING SNOW AWAY FROM THE IMMEDIATE WI STATE LINE, NOTABLE ACCUMULATIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE FOR NORTHERN ILLINOIS, INCLUDING THE CHICAGO METRO NORTHWEST OF AN AURORA TO GLENCOE LINE.

pretty sure we're not going to know what's going to happen until it happens.

improvement for my back yard.

who knew a cold rain at 37 would be a positive step in the right direction on December 12?

damn it.

as long as when winter kicks in it ends on March 10 or thereabouts. 70 day winters with strict cut offs are okay by me.

this is intentional...isn't it?

so rainer for Alek....snow for everyone else. Winter is on.

^ I wouldn't be shocked to see a New Orleans special.

I'll take my 2" of slush and run. Wasn't really banking on winter until after Christmas anyway. So this would be just a bonus event.

positive point of view for the win. "That's a damn rare thing these days"- Del Griffith.

^ when every model shows this 6 hours before "game on" start the thread. not until.

Love this thread: "winters over" " No snow until march" " Our climo sucks" ...post upon post and discussion of futile winters....."I hate brown grass" .....euro rolls in with a 8" snow for some areas ........classic weather weenies delight.

your ouiji board has spoken.

yeah that's what I was doing along with the Illini at 10 pm last night. sorry for the OT...but what's one to do on a weather board with no weather?

I'll take the next 4 winters after 1975.

word of the day: hope.

brilliant.

I was referring to a gulf low moving north/northeast along or just west of the Appalachians. Irregardless, of folks who hinge on every model run. From what I can tell at this distance a good chunk of Ohio stands to get a decent early season snowfall. Seems rare to me. Not every storm is going to be the blizzard of'78. But if you don't want it blow it back my way.

been awhile since we've seen something like this. Good sign for the upcoming winter...me thinks,

better chance you'll be able to smell the snow that's falling 60 miles to your east on a stiff north-northeast gale.

1979

local met in chitown buying in a bit. and this guy is fairly conservative...just to throw some more gas on the embers.....

It doesn't snow in Indianapolis. Easy toss.

congrats, madison.