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Baum

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Everything posted by Baum

  1. shocker. I still wake up and night and see posts by Chicago Storm posting: "southeast and weaker again"
  2. NICE. "UST BEYOND THIS FORECAST PERIOD, STARTING TO SEE A PRETTY STRONG SIGNAL FOR WHAT COULD BE THE WARMEST AIR MASS SINCE LAST FALL FOR THE FIRST FULL WEEKEND OF MARCH. " - IZZI
  3. turns out I might be ground zero....no pun intended.
  4. I might have busted low on the grass. 2" grass and trees. 0" paved surfaces. Forgot about the Feb sun angle.
  5. I see we've decided to do a semi secret bitch/therapy thread for Chicago posters in the med./long range forum. Good idea. Maybe no one will catch us. edit; I'm off to see if the 12Z NAM corrects 150 miles northwest....
  6. ^ nightmare scenario to top off today's kick to the groin...
  7. I do not believe those type of products are computer generated. That is their up date...and it is 6" or more possible. The noon update stated their thoughts, and I'm guessing another will come shortly. I think you'll see wording in the actual zone forecast start to show a walk back to some areas.
  8. perhaps. I sort of like where much of N. Ill sits for this one. Agreed, anything can happen, shifts, weakening trends, temps. too warm for accumulation, and so on. I've pretty much experienced every way for an event to underperform. Either way, were in the game, and tracking and watching model trends along with forum banter is 80% of the fun for me. Perhaps, we'll end up presently surprised and the naysayers can just sit back and enjoy as well.
  9. too conservative. As currently modeled taking into account enhancement you'd be in the prime area for 6+
  10. another day of model watching....game still on.....
  11. last two winters. Though, sometimes that's a positive.
  12. if your so sure on the UK solution which is still an outlier, though a trend southeast has been apparent vs. a trend NW by all models yesterday than you certainly cannot discount the far north solution of the GFS which has been the most consistent. A consensus puts you at 5-10". I think your okay. That said, it's weather so it could crash and burn. If so, motor on...because today was a nice taste of spring, and I love that too.
  13. would you say you've been modeled consistently for 5"-10" for the last 48 hrs?
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